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2017 COLLEGE FOOTBALL – 2017 WEEK 4 BIG GAMES

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope Mississippi St. faced off against the best defense they’ll see all season save Alabama and all the Bulldogs did was score 37 on LSU en route to a 30-point win. Hail State beat 3 ranked teams in a row (#8 LSU, #6 Texas A&M & #2 Auburn) back in 2014 before ascending to #1. They’ll get 3 this year (LSU, Georgia & Auburn) and the first domino has already fallen. Both teams have a chance to make a big national mark with a win here no question. Computer Hope
Computer Hope With Texas opening up 1-2, it would seem the Big XII’s top-3 teams are Oklahoma, Oklahoma St. & TCU. This is first tilt between two of these three teams. I think this game will depend on which TCU defense shows up. Is it the stifling D that held Arkansas to 7 points in Fayetteville or will the defense that gave up 36 at home to SMU!? Oklahoma St. is bringing a breathtaking offense to the field so TCU will have to play excellent defense and hope. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Kentucky rolling into South Carolina & beating the Gamecocks transform the East quite a bit. With Florida coming off a stunning last play win over Tennessee, you’re left wondering how the Gators will handle the following week after such an emotional win. Kentucky hasn’t played particularly well, but they’ll be difficult to beat at home & their rush defense is tight. A win here would place Kentucky as a prohibitive favorite in the East with Georgia. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Colorado brought back only 3 starters on defense from their 10-4 season a year ago so there was some thought that the Buffs might struggle a bit to contain teams, but so far Colorado has allowed just 27 points in their first 3 games en route to a 3-o start. It’s true they haven’t really played anyone of note outside a decent Colorado St. squad, but we’ll get a good feel for how good the defense is when they go up against the Huskies. UW wins this big. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I think Iowa gets exposed here. The Hawkeyes have played pretty well to start and QB Nate Stanley looks great, but a deeper look at the stats show that Iowa cannot get loose off the edge on defense. Josey Jewell is going to go up against Saquon Barkley which is going to be a FANTASTIC match-up, but I think Trace McSorley is going to get loose a bit. One thing that is interesting is Iowa’s O-Line. If it controls the trenches, Iowa keeps it close. Computer Hope
Computer Hope NC State has rebounded nicely after losing a stunner to South Carolina to open the season. The D-Line hasn’t gotten as loose as many of us thought going into the season, but this is a big ACC game now that Florida St. has lost Deondre Francois but also because of the rest they might have had after missing the last two weeks of games. QB James Blackman is going to have a hard time against a D-Line as fierce as NC State, but FSU has talent. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Both teams are coming off odd losses. UCLA to Memphis and Stanford to San Diego State. I think both teams are on the cusp of either an abyss or possibly getting their seasons back on track. A win for the Cardinal might show that the SD State loss was a fluke & they still have a shot at the Pac 12 North. A win for UCLA means they are still players in the South. A loss for UCLA might mean the season goes down in flames. It’s a huge contest. Computer Hope
Computer Hope This will be an interesting test for Notre Dame. The Spartans always play the Irish tough and Sparty has gotten off to a  nice 2-0 start after heading into the season thinking it would be a rebuild year. They are going to play tough up front so if the Irish can run the ball on Michigan State then you could maybe make an argument that ND made some adjustments after Georgia. If MSU wins, however, then the Spartans will get more attention. Computer Hope
Computer Hope UCF has a pretty nice offense led by QB McKenzie Milton, but they’ve been hampered a bit by the hurricane season so this is their 2nd game instead of their 4th. With Texas going into USC and taking the Trojans to double-OT, things for Maryland get a bit more interesting. If Texas keeps playing well & Maryland keeps winning, then the Terps make a big case for ranking pretty high. A tricky game for the Terps but I think they’ll prevail here. Computer Hope
Computer Hope The Red Raiders picked up a big win this past week beating Arizona State in Lubbock to improve to 2-0. The slate this week is a little weak in college football, but I think this is an under the radar game. Texas Tech is 2-0 while Houston has started 2-0 as well. I thought Kliff Kingsbury’s seat was a little warm going in, but starting 3-0 would be a great start for the head coach & a win at Houston would be a big one. A win & 7-5 is on the table for TT. Computer Hope
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September 17, 2017 Posted by | AAC, ACC, Big 10, Big Games, Big XII, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Houston, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan St., Mississippi St., Must See Games, NC State, NCAA, Notre Dame, Oklahoma St., Pac 12, Penn St., SEC, Stanford, TCU, Texas Tech, UCF, UCLA, Washington, Week 4 | Leave a comment

NCAA POWER 25 – 2017 WEEK 3

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Colorado St. 41-23. The Rams scored some garbage TDs in the 4th quarter that made the final score appear closer than it actually was. This is the Alabama formula on full display. So far the Tide have ran the ball 120 times compared to 66 rushing attempts. It was the same against Colorado State. I’m surprised the defense is allowing 13.3PPG, but as you saw against Florida St., when the defense shows up fully motivated, opposing offenses don’t score.
#2 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Tulane 56-14. Tulane actually played pretty well in the first quarter being tied with the Sooners 14-14, but over the next 3 quarters, Oklahoma outscored the Green Wave 42-0! The Baker Mayfield show was on full display as he went 17/27 for 331yds/4TD without a pick. Mayfield is on pace for 4,881 yards/47TD. Given what happened to Kansas St. on Saturday & TCU giving up 30+ to SMU, it really looks like Bedlam! is the only thing standing from 12-0!
#3 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Louisville 47-21. Back to back wins against Auburn & Louisville with Louisville being played on the road is easily the most impressive two weeks of football by any team in the nation thus far & Clemson could definitely make a case for being the #1 team in the nation. The Tigers defense flexed hard last night against Lamar Jackson recording 4 sacks, 7 tackles for loss & 5 passes defended. Kelly Bryant is playing well & at this point I don’t see a weakness.
#4 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Texas 27-24 (2OT). How good is USC? It needed double OT to beat a Texas team that gave up 51 to Maryland in their season opener. Yes the Stanford win looks good but Stanford just lost to San Diego State! USC also had a little bit of trouble against a 1-2 W.Michigan squad. I think the reason you rank the Trojans high is because of Sam Darnold. There is enough talent here to never get blown out & I don’t think you bet against Darnold in a close game.
#5 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Georgia St. 56-0. Another week another blow out win for the Nittany Lions but at this point who have they really beat? Two of their wins have come against Georgia St. & Akron. The other against a Pittsburgh team that was destroyed by Oklahoma State. Those 3 teams have a combined record of 2-6 & none of them are a bowl team. Yes Saquon Barkley is on pace for at least 2400 yards from scrimmage but good grief Penn St. play a decent opponent!
#6 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Air Force 29-13. The academies are a lot tougher than people imagine & Air Force is a pretty good football team that can run the football. They tried like crazy to get things going on the ground against Michigan, but the Falcons only managed 168 yards on 49 carries which translates into a great showing defensively for the Wolverines. Wilton Speight is going to have to make some plays at some point though. The Florida wins looks really good now.
#7 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Fresno St. 48-16. Last week Fresno St. faced Alabama! This week they had Washington! They got two playoff teams in back to back week & were outscored 89-26. In some ways that feels like a win! The average score is 45-13 and it seems as if the Bulldogs should have been beaten by a greater margin. QB Jake Browning was almost perfect in this game going 19/22 for 255yds/4TD & no picks. Washington hasn’t played anyone yet, but Colorado is up next.
#8 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Pittsburgh 59-21. Is #10 too low for the Cowboys? Last week Penn St. hosted Pittsburgh and beat the Panthers by 19 points. This week Oklahoma St. travels to Pittsburgh and beats them by 38. Mason Rudolph finally threw an interception yesterday but he also almost threw for 500 yards & had 5TD. The Cowboys had 4 receivers go over 100yds & Justice Hill ran for 2TD and 91yds. The weapons are outstanding here & OK-State should probably be top-5.
#9 Computer Hope Last Week Beat BYU 40-6. Brigham Young is terrible & they have no offense, but the Badgers are completely thrashing teams at this point. Have they played anyone yet? Not really, but Alex Hornibrook is a darn near perfect QB & the Badgers can run with Jonathan Taylor & Chris James. The Badgers are always going to be able to run so if Hornibrook doesn’t make mistakes, they’ll be fine. How about the LB crew from Wisconsin? TJ Edwards, Chris Orr & Leon Jacobs?!!!
#10 Computer Hope Last Week Beat LSU 37-7. WOW! I thought the Bulldogs could win this game in Starkville and I also am getting the feeling that this team has a chance to mimic what the 2014 team did when they were the #1 ranked team in the nation. This wasn’t just a win. It was a THRASHING of a team with ELITE level talent. I know we can get caught in Nick Fitzgerald or Aeris Williams, but the Bulldogs O-Line has been spectacular this season. Next week at Georgia is CRAZY!
#11 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Army 38-7. I’m not sure you can get up too much over this win. Sure JT Barrett looked great, but he’s always going to look great against inferior opponents. Ohio St. was going up against a bunch of 1-2 star guys and they ran wild which isn’t surprising. I like Army and like the Navy & Air Force they try to get after you with their running game with that triple option attack, but the Buckeyes are too fast for that to be very effective. We didn’t learn too much.
#12 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Samford 42-14. The win in South Bend looks good with the Irish rebounding against Boston College. Jake Fromm might have taken the starting QB position from Jake Eason & isn’t looking back. The true frosh QB went 8/13 for 165yds/3TD in a game where Nick Chubb flashed his old self running for 131yds/2TD on just 16 carries. No Sony Michel but UGA played a little smash mouth running it 54 times. Fromm is 2-0 as a starter with a 5:1 TD:INT ratio.
#13 Computer Hope Last Week Game No Game. The Seminoles had another week off before they resume playing next week when they host NC State. That’s an interesting game for the Seminoles as true freshman James Blackman gets the nod at QB & will be facing a pretty stout defensive line from the Wolfpack. NC State had a tough opening loss to South Carolina but have rebounded to win two straight so they’ll be ready to go while FSU might have a little rust from their layoff.
#14 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Mercer 24-10. Not overly dominant but Auburn went off script a bit by passing the ball so much. This almost felt like a game where War Eagle was working out some kinks on offense. Jarrett Stidham threw the ball 37 times which is never going to happen in big games, but he completed 32 of them (86.5%) although he didn’t find the endzone. Nine receivers caught the ball with 8 of them having multiple catches. They are still a solid playoff possibility.
#15 Computer Hope Last Week Beat East Carolina 64-17. Sometimes things make sense. Virginia Tech beat West Virginia. Both teams played East Carolina in back to back weeks. West Virginia beat the Pirates by 36. Virginia Tech beat them by 47. It works out! Virginia Tech is going to run you into the ground & D up against the run, but QB Josh Jackson can make some plays & I think this is what separates the Hokies. They get Clemson & play Miami-FL on the road but 10-2 is the floor.
#16 Computer Hope Last Week Beat SMU 56-36. Give up 7 points to Arkansas on the road, come back home and give up 36 points to SMU? TCU’s defense looked abysmal. No sacks. Just 3 tackles for loss. The Mustangs racked up almost 500 total yards of offense & only had the ball for 26 minutes! The Horned Frogs offense did show up. Kenny Hill threw for 4TD and the TCU rushing attack ran for 254yds/3TD! TCU plays at Oklahoma St. next week & if they just gave up 36 to SMU? Scary.
#17 Computer Hope Last Week Game No Game. Like Florida St., Miami-FL hasn’t played since Week 1 and they’ll finally get back on the field next week when they host a Toledo squad who has started out 3-0 & is playing pretty good football. Rockets QB Logan Woodside is a player so the Hurricanes will have to defend against him, but Toledo’s defense has looked pretty bad all season so I’m guessing the ultra athletic skill players in Miami won’t have any issues getting loose.
#18 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Mississippi St. 7-37. WOW! I thought Mississippi St. would win this game, but by 30 points!? LSU’s defense was absolutely shredded in this game. Aeris Williams ran for 146 yards on 23 carries. Nick Fitzgerald chipped in 88 & 2TD on 14 carries. Derrius Guice ran well for LSU but the Tigers didn’t have the ball much. I also think this was a good example of LSU not creating turnovers on defense. I’m not selling on LSU completely but this was a red flag.
#19 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Wyoming 49-13. The win over Nebraska last week doesn’t look nearly as good as it did when it happened now that the Cornhuskers dropped a home game to Northern Illinois! That being said, the Ducks still ran wild over an over-matched Wyoming squad and the defense made Josh Allen look terrible. Royce Freeman had over 2ooyds from scrimmage & Justin Herbert completed 62% for 251yds. The offense is averaging 56PPG which ranks #3!
#20 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Clemson 21-47. So you lose to Clemson? If the Tigers are ranked #3 then Louisville has an argument for being the #5 team in the nation after Clemson, Oklahoma, Alabama & Auburn. They still have the most electric QB in the country and the defense is super athletic. The Florida St. game will pose a problem because it’s in Tallahassee, but it’s going to be hard for the Redbirds not to finish 10-2 with a shot at an 11-2 season. They are THIS close however.
#21 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Tennessee 26-20. The 63-yard pass from Feleipe Franks to Tyrie Cleveland on the last play of the game to win it was total bananas. The Gators almost threw it away up 20-10 with 5 minutes left in the 4th only to see Tennessee pull off the miracle comeback to tie it up. I think this gives Florida quite a bit of confidence & watching them, you just can’t get away from how extraordinarily athletic this team is. The loss to Michigan stinks, but it was Michigan!
#22 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Oregon St. 52-23. Luke Falk went out of his mind against the Beavers throwing for 396 yards & 6TD on 37/49 (75.5%) passing. Oregon St. isn’t great but neither is Montana & the Cougars beat both of them. Throw in the 3-point win over Boise St. and Wazzou has started 3-0 against teams they should beat. This is a big deal. Washington St. hasn’t started a season 3-0 since 2005. Don’t sleep on the defense either. Not fantastic but very opportunistic.
#23 Computer Hope Last Week No Game. The Terrapins got the week off after great wins against Texas & Towson. The Texas win looks fantastic now that the Longhorns went into the Coliseum and took USC to double overtime. Texas probably wins that game if not for the strip fumble in 2OT that gave USC the ball only needing to score. If you rank USC as the #4 team in then nation, then Maryland makes a good case for being in the top-10. Should be 4-0 when they visit Columbus.
#24 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Boston College 49-20. The Irish rush offense went absolutely crazy against BC rushing for 515 yards on 51 carries with 7TD! RB Josh Adams led the way with 229yds on just 18 carries but QB Brandon Wimbush also chipped in 207yds on 21 carries! This has to give ND & especially Wimbush a lot of confidence, but last week against Georgia you saw ND struggle. To me this is where the Irish are. Good enough to win some games, but not against the elite.
#25 Computer Hope Last Week Beat South Carolina 23-13. I might have been higher on South Carolina more than anyone outside of Columbia, so if Kentucky can go into South Carolina and get a 23-13 win, I have to reward the Wildcats who ran their record to 3-0. I thought UK would be pretty good this year & may even challenge in the SEC East but troubles with E.Kentucky & Southern Miss early spelled disaster. Then they beat South Carolina & now what? Can they beat Florida next?

DROPPING OUT

#11 STANFORD CARDINAL: Losing to San Diego State? Really Stanford? What has Stanford really done this year to be honest? They blew out a terrible Rice team before losing back to back games against USC & San Diego State. USC had trouble with Western Michigan and Texas took them to OT. This same Texas team that gave up 51 to Maryland in Austin! USC blew out the Cardinal so where does that put Stanford? Behind Texas? Behind Western Michigan? Stanford’s defense could not get off the field! At this point Stanford is completely wasting an AMAZING season from RB Bryce Love who nobody can stop at this point. These first 3 games couldn’t have gone worse.

#16 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS: Losing at home to Kentucky!? Kentucky!!?!?!?!!? Carolina didn’t really have an answer for Kentucky’s running game. They couldn’t get off the field on 3rd down and the Kentucky rush defense was excellent. Deebo Samuel broke his leg late in the game and is now out for the year which is a CRUSHING blow to this offense moving forward. Carolina was a little sloppy as well with turnovers and penalties. This went from a year of infinite possibilities to one of distinct questions in the span of a Saturday afternoon. What a tough loss to take and now the season is in jeopardy.

#22 UCLA BRUINS: Riley Ferguson is a decent QB, but in his first game of the year against UL-Monroe, Ferguson was 10/25 for 97 yards and an interception with no TD passes. In his 2nd game of the year against UCLA, Ferguson goes 23/38 for 398 yards & 6TD to just one pick and outplays potential #1 overall draft pick Josh Rosen! The Bruins defense is giving up 38.3PPG and is complete garbage at this point. It sounds absolutely crazy given the talent level on this squad, but UCLA legitimately could go 4-8/3-9. Next year is going to be wild because Rosen will enter the NFL Draft and I think Jim Mora is looking for a job. Crazy times.

#24 KANSAS ST. WILDCATS: You can’t be taken seriously if you travel to Vanderbilt and lose 14-7. K-State ran the ball for over 200 yards and still lost this football game. The Wildcats had more total yards, more first time, greater time of possession and more rushing yards. And lost. Terrible. Assuming they can’t win road games, KSU has at least 3 more losses and play Oklahoma at home meaning another L which limits them to an at best 7-5 record with home games against West Virginia & Texas Tech potentially preventing them from a bowl game. Goodness! A loss to Vanderbilt!?

September 17, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Alabama, Auburn, Big 10, Big XII, Clemson, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Kansas St., Kentucky, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi St., NCAA, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Oregon, Pac 12, Penn St., Power 25, SEC, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, UCLA, USC, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St., Week 3, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

RANDOM NCAA FOOTBALL THOUGHTS AFTER 2 WEEKS

I thought it would be interesting to go over some random thoughts about the college football world  now that we are 2 weeks into the season. What has been surprising? Disappointing? Unusual? Let’s take a look by conference.

SEC

  • I’m surprised that Kentucky has had as hard a time as they have in their first two games against Southern Miss & Eastern Kentucky. EKU gave the Wildcats all they could handle before Kentucky pulled away late, but so far Kentucky has outscored both of their opponents 51-33. Benny Snell has not run the ball well and Denzil Ward has not been nearly as dominant off the edge as I thought he’d be. Getting South Carolina this week on the road could expose Kentucky.
  • Missouri QB Drew Lock went from completing 62% of his passes for 521 yards & 7TD in Week 1 against Missouri St. to completing 44% of his passes for 245 yards & 1TD including 2 picks in Week 2 against South Carolina. Lock can be a very good QB, but we might want to pump the brakes on his Heisman candidacy. He learned quickly that Missouri St. doesn’t exactly play SEC style defense. With that said, Missouri could win 6 games and get to a bowl which should set up a monster 2018 season for the Tigers.
  • He’s not getting attention but Ole Miss’s Shea Patterson has had an incredible first two games. The QB has completed 77% of his passes for 918 yards including 9TDs to only 1 interceptions. Over 12 games that equates to 5,508 passing yards & 54TD. You have to allow for competition as the Rebels have beaten South Alabama & UT-Martin, but given the distractions around the program the last few months, Mississippi has to be thankful for this kind of start and seeing how good Patterson can be.
  • They aren’t ranked yet but South Carolina is a real threat to win the SEC East. Their first two wins over NC State and Missouri are impressive considering neither were home games & SC did a great job in each game. Against NC State the Gamecocks scored 30+ against one of the best D-Lines in the nation. Missouri was coming off a 70+ point scoring effort against Missouri St. and the SC defense held the Tigers to 13 points & made Drew Lock look bad. SC QB Jake Bentley is the best QB nobody is talking about.
  • It was very disappointing to see Arkansas have such a hard time running the ball effectively against TCU. They didn’t look all that explosive against Florida A&M in Week 1 either meaning this could be a long road ahead for the Razorbacks. Seeing Bobby Petrino take this program to the brink of playing for a national title has only hurt Bret Bielema. Arkansas has road games against Alabama, LSU & South Carolina. All are almost certain losses meaning AT BEST Arkansas can go 7-5, but that assumes they can beat Texas A&M, Mississippi State and Auburn. Lose 2 of those 3 and Arkansas doesn’t make a bowl. Can Bielema survive?

BIG 10

  • The dominance of Michigan’s defense has to be an incredible surprise to many. You knew Michigan was going to be good but over their first two games, the defense is allowing just 1.4 yards per rush and opposing QBs are completing just 43.9% of their passes and have thrown for only a single TD while being picked off twice. The Wolverins are +4 in sack differential, +2 in tackles for loss differential, and +1 in TO margin. Those differentials show that Michigan could get even better.
  • I’m surprised at Iowa so far. The Hawkeyes did a good job of shutting down potential NFL 1st Rd. pick QB Josh Allen when the Hawkeyes opened up with a 24-7 win over Wyoming. There was every reason to think Iowa was going to lose their rivalry game against Iowa State, but the Hawkeyes pulled out a huge win in OT on the road to get to 2-0. Akrum Wadley is running well and QB Nate Stanley has been EXCEPTIONAL! He’s on pace for 50+TD passes which is amazing from an Iowa offense! LB Josey Jewell is playing out of his mind. He on pace for almost 140 tackles this season & is playing like a 1st Team All-American.
  • Maybe I shouldn’t be, but I’m surprised at Wisconsin and how dominant they’ve been. Granted they’ve only played Florida Atlantic and Utah State, but the defense has been outstanding. What surprises me most about the Badgers is how much they lost from last year’s team and the squad seemingly hasn’t missed a beat. Losing guys like TJ Watt, Vince Biegel, and Jack Cichy would impact the defense. I thought losing Corey Clement would be hard, but Wisconsin has absorbed these losses and looks even better than they did in 2016!
  • Completely surprised with Maryland! The Terrapins opened up on the road against Texas and beat the Longhorns in Austin 51-41 behind HUGE games from RB Ty Johnson, QB Tyrrell Pigrome and WR DJ Moore. Pigrome had to miss Week 2, but Maryland barely noticed as they took down Towson 63-17. I knew Johnson was a home run hitter at tailback but how could you see what was coming? Johnson is on pace to rush or over 1600 yards while averaging 15+ypc! Texas might stink and I’m sure the Terps are going to be tested more fiercely but right now the team is averaging 57PPG & you can be sure they won’t be intimidated in any situation after winning at Texas.
  • How good really is Ohio State? They lost the 1st half to Indiana in Week 1 by the score of 14-13 before blowing the Hoosiers out in the 2nd half. In Week 2, the Buckeyes hosted Oklahoma and had the doors blown off. If you look at quarters, Ohio St. has basically lost 6 of the 8 quarters they’ve played. JT Barrett doesn’t look good and you have to wonder how far Ohio St. can run this year. The Oklahoma loss doesn’t hurt too much if Ohio St. can run the table, but with Michigan progressing much faster than expected and Penn St. being Penn St., Ohio St. might have a very difficult road ahead.

BIG XII

  • Utterly shocked is the best way I can describe what is going on at Baylor. I’m sure when Matt Rhule left Temple for Waco, he didn’t imagine opening up the season with back to back losses to Liberty & UT-San Antonio, but the absolute worst case scenario has played out for the Bears and now they sit at 0-2 and that record could easily run to 0-8 before they get a road game against Kansas that might not be a victory at all. It would be insane to think Baylor could finish 0-12 and the odds are against it because going 0-12 isn’t easy, but it’s in play.
  • It’s one thing for Baker Mayfield to be a good QB. It’s completely another for the guy to be completing 84% of his passes and being on pace for 5,000 yards & 50TD. As good as Lamar Jackson has been for Louisville, if Mayfield completed 80% of his passes and the Sooners finish 13-0, then I don’t see how he’s not the Heisman Trophy winner. The Big XII has been incredible so far, but right now it looks as if Oklahoma is a notch ahead of anyone. They won’t face a defense as tough as Ohio State’s in conference play and the Sooners absolutely shredded the Buckeyes in Columbus.
  • Speaking of great QBs, Mason Rudolph of Oklahoma St. is completing 73% of his pass attempts and is on pace for 4,000 yards & 40TD. Rudolph might even be posting bigger stats through the passing game if it wasn’t for RBs Justice Hill and JD King who are running the ball extremely well. The Mayfield shadow is so big that Rudolph gets swallowed up by it, but the Oklahoma St. QB is a legit 1st Rd. NFL QB playing for a team that has a tremendous shot at getting to the playoffs. How in the world does a QB like this get overlooked!?
  • I’m not completely shocked by TCU’s 2-0 start but the Frogs absolutely dominated Arkansas in Fayetteville this past week. I think QB Kenny Hill has to play better for the Frogs to challenge either Oklahoma or Oklahoma State, but TCU has a real shot at 10-2 and a possible 11-2 season with a bowl assuming they lose to both Oklahoma & Oklahoma State. Having those two games on the road is a schedule nightmare, but TCU’s defense has been unbelievable so far so who knows. TCU’s defense has been off the charts when it comes to statistics. They’ve only played Jackson St. & Arkansas but right now they look like the best defense in college football.
  • I’m really surprised at how good West Virginia has played. They shouldn’t have lost their opener to Virginia Tech and they followed that up by absolutely destroying East Carolina. QB Will Grier has been amazing and West Virginia can really run the football behind Justin Crawford & Kennedy McKoy. The Mountaineers need to play a bit better on defense, but that is a common theme among Big XII teams. It does seem though that WVU might be able to air it out with anyone if Grier can keep up this pace. Dana Holgorsen is an exceptional HC. I’m very curious to see if he ever gets a top-10 job because the guy can win national championships. Of course it would be awesome if he did so in Morgantown.
  • Overall I’m really impressed with how competitive the Big XII is. Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Kansas St., TCU and West Virginia are really good teams. Texas is super talented although the Maryland loss is a bit rough. Iowa St. probably should have beaten Iowa given they were playing at home & the Hawkeyes gave them plenty of chances. Baylor has had it extremely rough and we don’t really know too much about Texas Tech & Kansas yet, but the Big XII has the chance to go 6-7 deep possibly and that is a lot more than most other conferences.

PAC 12

  • How about the play of the two stud QBs in the Pac 12!? Josh Rosen is on fire. So far this season he’s led the Bruins to a 2-0 mark including an INCREDIBLE come from behind victory over Texas A&M! He’s thrown for 820yds/9TD without a pick while completing 68% of his passes! Rosen is on pace to throw for 5,330 yards with 59TD! Sam Darnold of USC has been pretty darn good too. Darnold had thrown for 605yds/4TD with 4 interceptions while completing 75% of his passes. Darnold shredded a great Stanford defense & re-established USC has a national title contender after a difficult outing against Western Michigan to open up the season. Darnold has been plagued by drop passes and bad routes as well so his numbers could be even better. There is a good shot these two guys are the first two taken in the 2018 NFL Draft. I’d say it’s even likely.
  • I’m pretty surprised at UCLA’s defense. The pass defense is allowing opposing QBs to complete just 47.8% of their passes and are allowing just 4.7 yards per pass attempt. The Bruins are +1 in sack differential and +4 in tackle for loss differential. They are -2 in TO margin which outlines a couple of tendencies with the defense. They don’t create a lot of turnovers and their rush defense is absolutely horrible giving up 6.3ypc! If UCLA can fix those issues then this team could compete with USC for the Pac 12 South.
  • I’m pretty surprised Arizona State has looked as bad as they have. They were able to open up the season with 2 home games against New Mexico State and San Diego State. They got by New Mexico State, but by only 6 points. They were dominated by San Diego St. for the most part losing 30-20. RB Kalen Ballage has had a tough time getting off rushing for only 3.7ypc without facing any real stud defenses. Todd Graham was on the hot seat coming into the season, but I don’t see how he survives it. The Sun Devil defense is atrocious and if Ballage has a rough time this year, I can’t see them winning many games. I think 0-10 is a real possibility before the finish the season up against Oregon State and Arizona. Wow!
  • I was shocked to see Stanford get destroyed by USC. I don’t know if that was a blip or just one of those game where everything goes wrong, but Stanford matches up well with the Trojans & yet were dominated. The loss doesn’t kill Stanford as they are more  than capable of winning out (They get Washington in Pao Alto) and meeting USC again in the Pac 12 championship but they have a couple of tricky games the next two weeks playing San Diego St. (who just thrashed Arizona St.) and UCLA who has proven extremely dangerous no matter the situation. I didn’t see any of this coming.
  • I think everyone has to be pleasantly surprised with the job Justin Wilcox has done so far at Cal. I don’t think anyone really expected Cal to go to Chapel Hill and beat North Carolina, but they did and then followed that up with a shaky win against Weber State. Carolina wasn’t awful against Louisville so if you extrapolate, California could be more competitive than we initially though. QB Ross Bowers is playing well. RB Patrick Laird was dominant against Weber St. and the Bears have a real talent at WR in Demetris Robertson. The Bears are also +3 in TO margin which certainly helps.
  • I do want to mention Oregon. I thought their 2nd half against Nebraska was a disaster but the Ducks were playing not to lose & barely held on to that one. If they can get consistent defensive play, Oregon is going to be factor in the Pac 12 North if anything because they’ll be hard games for Washington & Stanford, but QB Justin Herbert is for real and Royce Freeman can run the ball. I’m not sure I thought this team could win 10 games before the season began, but I think that win total is in play.

ACC

  • Look we knew the Clemson defense was going to be good, but that defense is insane. The D-Line completely bottled up Auburn last week which has to be a harbinger for things to come. I honestly don’t think there is a team in the nation outside of Alabama & Oklahoma and I’m not sure that is going to be enough. I don’t want to minimize the the loss of Deshaun Watson because it was a huge loss, but Kelly Bryant looks more than up for the task. I’d be surprised at this point if Clemson doesn’t finish 13-0 especially with Deondre Francois out for the year at Florida State.
  • I’m not sure there has been any real thoughts on the ACC outside of Clemson’s incredible start defensively. We haven’t really gotten to see Florida St. or Miami-FL outside of their first games because of hurricane issues and neither team will play this week. UNC getting beat by Cal is a bit surprising but it’s a rebuild year in Chapel Hill. Louisville having a hard time against Purdue & North Carolina is a bit troubling but Lamar Jackson has been outstanding. Duke’s start is incredible but they haven’t played anyone yet. At best I think we can say we have an incomplete grade on the ACC thus far.

September 13, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Arizona St., Arkansas, Baylor, Big 10, Big XII, California, Clemson, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Oregon, Pac 12, SEC, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, UCLA, USC, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2017 COLLEGE FOOTBALL – WEEK 3 BIG GAMES

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope What happens when an unstoppable force comes up against an immovable object? We’re about to find out when Clemson’s D-Line goes up against Louisville QB Lamar Jackson! Louisville’s defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone so I think Clemson won’t have any issues scoring points & winning. What will be interesting is to see how Clemson stops Jackson. They dominated Auburn’s run game last week, what will that defense do this week? Computer Hope
Computer Hope I think whoever wins his game starts garnering a bit more attention. LSU is sniffing the top-10 while the Bulldogs have laid the wood against inferior competition in their first two weeks. Last year LSU beat Hail State 23-20 in Baton Rouge despite being 13-point favorites. I think Mississippi St. is better this year so a win is clearly possible. I’m guessing LSU DC Dave Aranda’s going to stop MSU’s run game so Nick Fitzgerald is going to have to throw. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Florida seems like a mess right now. They were humiliated by Michigan on national television in Week 1 & had to miss their 2nd game because of a hurricane. Instead of working out the kinks against N.Colorado, Florida will now host a 2-0 Tennessee team that gutted out a win over Georgia Tech & then dominated Indiana State. This is a huge confidence builder for the Vols, but an opportunity for Florida to right the ship & get back on track. Computer Hope
Computer Hope The last time these two squads met was the 2005 Rose Bowl where a Vince Young led Longhorns squad upset a Matt Leinart led Trjoans squad for the national championship. USC is going to win this game & they are going to win big. When you consider that Texas gave up 51 points to Maryland, USC might end up scoring 60 points. The key will be Texas not being embarrassed which I think will be difficult. Tough start for Tom Herman. Computer Hope
Computer Hope They aren’t beating Clemson & USC, but a win here by South Carolina will put the Gamecocks at 3-0 with a 2-0 record against SEC East teams & a win over a solid NC State squad. That’s a tremendous start to a season when a lot of teams are feasting on Sun Belt & FCS schools. Kentucky has been a bit surprising too. I’m not surprised they are 2-0 but I thought they would have dominated more. This is a big game for both programs. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Stanford has to be VERY careful here. The USC loss stings but this is still a very formidable football team that can win the Pac 12 North & get a rematch with USC in the Pac 12 championship game in which case a win probably means the playoffs. The Sun Devils are for real though. They are coming off a convincing road win over Arizona St. & RB Rashaad Penny is nothing short of outstanding. Stanford should be on upset alert. Computer Hope
Computer Hope BYU should be better than the 1-2 they’ve posted. The offense is downright dreadful & QB Tanner Magnum has been awful. I still think there is some value in this game because LSU beat the Cougars 27-0 & Utah just finished beating them 19-13. Wisconsin has looked outstanding in their first two games so it’ll be interesting where they fall on the spectrum established by LSU & Utah. A 28+ win for Wisconsin puts them with LSU. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Oregon St. hasn’t been able to stop anyone as their defense is allowing 46PPG! That doesn’t bode well in going up against a Mike Leach led offense! I still think this one is interesting though because Wazzou the last few years lets an early one go & I think Gary Andersen is a great head football coach. I’d love to see Washington St. get to 5-0 before hosting USC on September 29th, but they need to keep avoiding oddball upsets. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Ole Miss entered the season a disaster but so far the on-field results have been amazing. QB Shea Patterson has completed 77% of his passes for 918 yards & 9TD to only 1INT! He’s on pace to throw for over 5400 yards & 54TD. AJ Brown & DeMarkus Lodge have been ELITE. California, like Ole Miss, finds itself 2-0 after their upset win over UNC in Week 1. The winner here gets to 3-0 which I think is surprising for either program. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Week 3 isn’t the best slate of games, but I have Purdue/Missouri on here because it’ll be a chance for you to see QB insanity as David Blough and Drew Lock go head to head in what should be a “Defense Optional” backyard pick up game! Lock threw for over 500 yards with 7TD in Week 1 against Missouri State. Blough has the ability to throw for 700 yards whenever the mood strikes him. A meaningless game, but tons of fireworks! Computer Hope

September 10, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Big 10, Big Games, Big XII, BYU, California, Clemson, Florida, Kentucky, Louisville, LSU, Mississippi, Mississippi St., Missouri, Must See Games, NCAA, Oregon St., Pac 12, Purdue, San Diego St., SEC, South Carolina, Stanford, Tennessee, Texas, USC, Washington St., Week 3, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA POWER 25 – 2017 WEEK 2

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Fresno St. 41-10. I think the most surprising aspect of this game is that Fresno St. scored 10 points against Alabama’s defense after the Tide only surrendered 7 points last week to Florida State. Another surprise of this game is Alabama only getting 1 sack and 3 tackles for loss against a severely outmatched Bulldogs squad. It almost seems like the Tide were going in slow motion. QB Jalen Hurts threw for 128yds and also ran for 154yds and had 3 total TDs.
#2 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Ohio St. 31-16. QB Baker Mayfield put on a CLINIC in Columbus taking down the #2 team in the nation. Mayfield passed for 386yds/3TD without a single mistake & completed 77% of his passes! He’s the Heisman leader at this point. The bigger picture is Oklahoma’s O-Line completely shutting down the Buckeyes pass rush! Good grief that was an impressive performance. If you can’t get to Mayfield, you can’t stop this offense & you can’t stop OU!
#3 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Auburn 14-6. Forget that Clemson only scored 14 points. Auburn is a helluva football team. Focus instead on Clemson recording a RIDICULOUS 11 sacks and 14 tackles for loss. And that was a solid Auburn O-Line. Before the season Phil Steele rated Auburn’s O-Line as the 8th best unit in the nation. That speaks to the strength of this Clemson defense. That D-Line is INSANE & after Saturday, a Clemson/Oklahoma title game seems very tantalizing!
#4 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Stanford 42-24. After the Western Michigan game I wasn’t sure about USC, but the tape of the WMU game showed Sam Darnold as sharp as he was last season. That showed up against Stanford as Darnold threw for 316yds/4TD while completing 81% of his passes! USC found a compliment to Ronald Jones in true frosh Stephen Carr who like Jones ran for 100yds. Deontay Burnett can’t be stopped & the Trojans O-Line was outstanding. Incredible win!
#5 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Pittsburgh 33-14. I thought coming into the season that if Penn St. had somewhat of a weakness it might be the edge rushing unit but Shareef Miller flashed a bit against Pittsburgh LT Brian O’Neill who is considered one of the best LTs in the nation. Penn St. now has 8 sacks on the year & they’ve given up just one. You can’t read too much into that because all they’ve played is PITT and Akron, but if the pass rush keeps up this pace, then there’s no weakness.
#6 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Cincinnati 36-14. This game was quite a bit closer than the final score indicates. Michigan was up only 14-7 after the first quarter and after 3 quarters the Wolverines led 24-14. Hayden Moore & Mike Boone would come up with a big play here and then while Michigan never really broke the game open. Michigan’s defense is swarming & the duo of Rashan Gary & Maurice Hurst is incredible, but QB Wilton Speight is going to have to play quite a bit better.
#7 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Chattanooga 45-10. So far, LSU is playing EXACTLY like they need to. QB Danny Etling had another solid game & so far he’s completing 71% of his passes with 1TD. He’s throwing 15-16 passes per game. RB Derrius Guice is on pace to rush for 1,456yds/26TD. LSU is running the football 52 times per game. At some point Etling will have to make plays, but if LSU can get a 7-0 or 14-3 lead, this team is ready made to salt games away. Stay the course!
#8 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Oklahoma 16-31. Not sure what to make of the Buckeyes getting slaughtered in Columbus! I didn’t think the Sooners could win this game and only did they win, they won by 2TDs on the road! I think the take away from this one is that Ohio St. is limited at their QB position and at receiver. JT Barrett is limited & I don’t think Paris Campbell can be a #1 WR against elite teams. At least not this season. The D-Line also only had 2 sacks. Very curious.
#9 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Montana 63-7. The Huskies looked a lot sharper this week against the Grizzlies than they did last week against Rutgers. I thought UW’s defense played extremely well in getting pressure on the Montana offense and collapsing the pocket. I think Washington’s offense is still finding it’s way. Losing WR John Ross seems to be having an effect as Washington doesn’t seem to have that dangerous weapon that can take the top off a defense. They need that guy.
#10 Computer Hope Last Week Beat S. Alabama 44-7. The Cowboys didn’t meet much resistance from South Alabama & to be honest I thought Oklahoma St. used the game to get some guys game experience. He’s not getting tons of media attention but QB Mason Rudolph at this point is on pace to throw for 4,147 yards & 39TD with 0 picks while completing 73% of his passes. With Oklahoma beating Ohio State, if Oklahoma St. runs the table, Rudolph is going to make a big case for the Heisman.
#11 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to USC 24-42. Wow! Talk about a shock! Stanford’s defense was downright awful against the Trojans offense allowing USC to go 10 of 12 on 3rd down which gave the Trojans a 10 minute advantage on time of possession. QB Keller Chryst was decent. RB Bryce Love was exceptional running for 160yds on just 17 carries, but the Cardinal couldn’t stop USC & couldn’t get them off the field. Stanford was even +2 in TO margin. Stanford needs to tighten up that defense.
#12 Computer Hope Last Week Game against Louisiana Monroe cancelled. FSU cancelled their game against UL-Monroe due to the impending disaster known as Hurricane Irma. The Seminoles were 34.5 point favorites in this one so I doubt it would have been much of a game, but it would have give new QB and true freshman James Blackman some game experience. FSU doesn’t play again until 9/23.
#13 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Florida Atlantic 31-14. This is a helluva football team. I thought Wisconsin would suffer a bit after the players they lost due to graduation/NFL. So far they haven’t. True freshman Jonathan Taylor is on pace to rush for close to 1900 yards & he wasn’t even slated to start coming into the season. QB Alex Hornibrook has been solid & TE Troy Fumagalli looks like an All-American. The Badgers should be 10-0 when they lost Michigan on November 18th.
#14 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Notre Dame 20-19. Fast. That is one word I kept coming back to when watching Georgia play Notre Dame Saturday night. The game wasn’t as close as the final score would indicate if you watched the game. The Bulldogs completely shut down the Irish running game, and their edge rushers consistently beat the vaunted Irish O-Line. Georgia was extremely sloppy with turnovers & penalties. If they clean that up they might of won this game by 15-20 points.
#15 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Arkansas 28-7. This was a fantastic win for TCU made especially so because it was a true road game in Fayetteville, and also a game Arkansas desperately needed to win. The Horned Frogs defense made life miserable for Arkansas QB Austin Allen for the entire game & they also did a good job stopping the Razorbacks running game. TCU ran the ball well giving Arkansas a taste of their own medicine. QB Kenny Hill has to play better though. He was a bit rough.
#16 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Missouri 31-13. Quit sleeping on the Gamecocks!!! Amazingly enough Missouri opened as 4-point favorites in this game. The line closed to Mizzou by 2.5, but SC covered that with ease with a convincing 18 point victory on the road! It was ludicrous to think Missouri could win just because they put up 70 points on Missouri State, but South Carolina is for real. I think their first two wins over NC State & Missouri are solid. QB Jake Bentley is the real deal.
#17 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Delaware 27-0. Sort of a ho-hum game for the Hokies after a thrilling win over West Virginia the week before. Tossing a shutout is always a nice thing and edge rusher Tremaine Edwards was an absolute monster in this game, but I would have liked to have seen the offense get a little looser than it did against the Hens. Games like this happen. You are playing lesser competition and it’s hard for the kids to get up for it. They get East Carolina next week.
#18 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Clemson 6-14. I’m not sure you can read too much into this loss. Clemson might actually be the best team in the nation and Auburn lost to them on the road by 8 points. That’s hardly cause for concern. If anything, Auburn has to realize that they need QB Jarrett Stidham to make some plays when opponents take away the run. They have plenty of time to work that out before hosting Alabama on November 25th. The next test will be traveling to LSU.
#19 Computer Hope Last Week Game against Arkansas St. Cancelled. Like Florida St., the Hurricanes cancelled their game this week although Miami-FL was slated to play in Arkansas instead of hosting the Red Wolves. Miami doesn’t play against until 9/23 but a possible 11-0 season is on the table as Florida St. now looks vulnerable without Deondre Francois as their starting QB.
#20 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Nebraska 42-35. Oregon couldn’t get anything going in the 2nd half against Nebraska, but the Ducks outscored the Huskers 42-14 in the 1st half so you could see how they might be thinking about salting the game away & holding on for dear life. What stood out to me was how explosive Oregon is on offense & that the O-line did a good job keeping QB Justin Herbert upright. There is a lot of experience on this team & I think they can win a lot of games.
#21 Computer Hope Last Week Beat North Carolina 47-35. Two things are certain from Louisville’s first couple of games. The first is that this team can’t play a lick of defense. Purdue put 28 on them followed up by the Tar Heels scoring 35. Those teams aren’t prolific offensively. That’s going to be a problem. The other certainty is that Lamar  Jackson is unstoppable. He’s on pace right now to throw for over 5,000 yards, run for over 1500 yards & have 52 combined touchdowns. Good grief!
#22 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Hawaii 56-23. Josh Rosen picked up right where he left off completing 22 of 25 passes for 329 yards & 5TD! So far on the season Rosen is 57/84 (68%) for 820 yards & 9TD without an interception. That’s insane. He’s on pace for almost 60TD! UCLA did a better job running the football although the Rainbows defense isn’t exactly Texas A&M. The Bruins have to work out some kinks on defense but they get another week before having to go to Stanford.
#23 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Louisiana Tech 57-21. The battle of the Bulldogs wasn’t much of a battle. Mississippi St. led 36-14 at halftime & 57-14 after the 3rd quarter before LA Tech scored a garbage TD in the 3rd quarter. Both Nick Fitzgerald and Aeris Williams ran for over 100 yards in a dominant performance. Hail State has a telling 3-game slate beginning next week as they play LSU, Georgia & Auburn in secession. They could easily lose all 3 games & still be a top-20 team.
#24 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Charlotte 55-7. I was a little late to the Kansas St. bandwagon but so far they’ve been dominant. They haven’t played anyone but so far they’re scoring 55 points per game and there is something to be said for dominating the teams you are supposed to. Go ask Baylor about being 0-2! QB Jesse Ertz is playing well and the receivers are making big plays. They are playing flawless football at this point. They haven’t committed a turnover & average just 5 penalties/G!
#25 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Towson 63-17. QB Tyrrell Pigrome missed this game with an injury but the Terps still rolled to a 63-17 win over Towson. This was nothing special to be honest. Maryland should beat Towson by 50 points, but like I said, there is something to be said for dominating teams you are supposed to. Ty Johnson GOT LOOSE again running for 124 yards on just 5 carries. Johnson is on pace for 1,664 rushing yards averaging 15.1ypc! That’s absolutely bananas!

DROPPING OUT

#19 NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH: Notre Dame is in a very tough spot. If you watched the game against Georgia then it was certainly obvious that Notre Dame wasn’t nearly as athletic or fast as Georgia was. It wasn’t as bad as when the Irish played Alabama in the 2012 National Championship game, but it was obvious just the same. When looked through this prism, the Irish are going to have an extremely difficult time with North Carolina, USC, NC State, Wake Forest, Miami-FL, & Stanford. Even a game against Navy won’t be easy and all of a sudden the Irish could be 5-7 or even 4-8 this season. As a Notre Dame fan, I’m going to say what we all don’t want to hear. Notre Dame has already peaked under Brian Kelly and I think Kelly might be out after this season. It might be an overreaction to a depressing loss in a game the Irish should have won, but I don’t see a way out for Notre Dame. I think big change is coming.

September 10, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Alabama, Auburn, Big 10, Big XII, Clemson, Florida St., Georgia, Kansas St., Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi St., NCAA, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Oregon, Pac 12, Penn St., Power 25, SEC, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, UCLA, USC, Virginia Tech, Washington, Week 2, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA POWER 25 – 2017 WEEK 1

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Florida St. 24-7. It’s amazing to consider all the ways that Alabama can beat you and then watch them beat the Seminoles by 17 through special teams. That isn’t to say the defense wasn’t dominant. Alabama totaled 3 sacks, 9 tackles for loss & 2 picks in destroying an exceptionally talented Seminoles squad. Maybe Alabama gets beat this year, but after watching Week 1, Alabama is head & shoulders above every other team in college football at this point.
#2 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Indiana 49-21. Ohio St. trailed at the half 14-13 before blowing the barn doors off the Hoosiers, outscoring Indiana 36-7 in the 2nd half. Watching this game you almost felt as if Ohio St. was feeling their way through the first half before exploding. JK Dobbins was exceptional and the Buckeyes defense came up with 9 tackles for loss, 5 sacks & 2 picks. Tyquan Lewis had 2 sacks. QB J.T. Barrett looked OK at times but I think he still needs to play better.
#3 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Kent St. 56-3. It’s Kent St. so you can’t really get too jacked up on this one if your Clemson but with Deondre Francois going down with an injury for Florida State, didn’t the path to the playoffs just get incredibly easier for the Tigers? Kent St. was down 21-0 after the first quarter, but the Flashes only attempted 5 passes the entire game. If you are wondering why Clemson’s pass rushing numbers aren’t better, it’s because Kent St. never tried to throw the football!
#4 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Rice 62-7. Yes it’s Rice but good grief the Cardinal looked dominant in their opener against the Owls. RB Bryce Love put fears to rest over losing Christian McCaffery by taking the first snap of the game & turning into a 62-yard scamper! Love finished with 180 rushing yards on 13 carries! True frosh TE Colby Parkinson caught 2 TDs! Keep an eye on him all season. The defense could have potentially made a few more plays, but that is nit picking to a high level.
#5 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Akron 52-0. Like with Clemson you can’t get too excited over Penn St. hammering a team like Akron but good grief Saquon Barkley looked amazing going for 226 yards from scrimmage with 172 rushing yards on 14 carries along with 2TD! DT Tyrell Chavis had an incredible day with 3 tackles for loss. As a defense the Nittany Lions racked up 14 tackles for loss & 5 sacks with an interception. If the defense keeps this up then Penn St. defends their Big 10 title.
#6 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Florida 33-17. You make a good argument that this was the most impressive win of Week 1. Michigan is incredibly young. Wilton Speight didn’t play well. Chris Evans didn’t run well. Michigan still DOMINATED Florida like they were playing a decent MAC squad. The defense was downright scary. The Wolverines had 6 sacks, 11 tackles for loss, & forced 5 fumbles recovering 3. They held the Gators to 11 rushing yards on 27 carries and 192 total yards. Great game!
#7 Computer Hope Last Week Beat BYU 27-0. Do you get the feeling that nobody is really paying attention to LSU and that the Tigers sort of like it? BYU is a pretty good football team and LSU dominated them in total. The LSU defense held BYU to -5 yards rushing & 97 total yards. Derrius Guice rushed for over 100 yards while Darrel Williams looked great in relief with almost 100 of his own. An even scarier thought? Arden Key didn’t even play this week so the defense can get even better!
#8 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Tulsa 59-24. Oklahoma St.’s triplets were on FIRE against Tulsa in the Cowboys opening win. Mason Rudolph was 20/24 for 303yds/3TD. Justice Hill ran for 132yds/1TD on 15 carries. James Washington caught 6 balls for 145yds/2TD. OK State’s defense was a little raggedy giving up over 400 total yards to Tulsa and over 200 rushing yards. Mike Gundy & his staff will need to tighten things up, but it’s going to take 40+ points to beat Oklahoma St. anyway.
#9 Computer Hope Last Week Beat UTEP 56-7. QB Baker Mayfield was on fire going 19/20 for 329 yards & 3TD before giving way to the backups in Oklahoma’s blow out opening win. TE Mark Andrews looked like the 1st Team All-American he should be and while Oklahoma wasn’t as explosive at tailback the way they were last year with Joe Mixon & Samaje Perine, the Sooners still rushed for 180 yards. The defense could have been more explosive especially against a team like UTEP. Nit picking.
#10 Computer Hope Last Week Beat W.Michigan 49-31. I didn’t expect USC to come out looking THAT rusty even with how many new players they were breaking in. It isn’t like PJ Fleck left the cupboards bare at WMU, but USC giving up 31 at home to a MAC squad and not covering the spread? That was surprising. The Trojans managed just one sack and 4 tackles for loss which is way too low. Sam Darnold looked bad leaving only Ronald Jones and Deontay Burnett as the lone bright spots.
#11 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Rutgers 30-14. Like USC, it took Washington a little while to get going. After going own 7-0 to start, the Huskies outscored Rutgers 27-0 before the Scarlet Knights got an early 4th quarter TD to make it 27-14. Lavon Coleman struggled in this game & the Washington defense didn’t seem nearly as incredible as I thought they might be. Myles Gaskin had a great game & Jake Browning did too for the most part which makes the final score all the more odd.
#12 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Alabama 7-24. Last year Florida St. lose Derwin James. This year they lose Deondre Francois. Talk about bad luck! The game really came down to FSU’s inability to take the physical pounding from Alabama that we all thought the Tide would revert to. Alabama only passed the ball 18 times, but ran it on 42 occasions. The Seminoles also had a difficult time with Alabama’s Front-7. That isn’t surprising. Florida St. can overcome this, but it’ll be tough.
#13 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Utah St. 59-10. So maybe I should have had Wisconsin in my preseason top-25! We all make mistakes don’t we!? The Badgers offense looked incredible. Alex Hornibrook was outstanding going 15/23 for 244yds/3TD. I thought Wisconsin would struggle at tailback after losing Corey Clement but Jonathan Taylor & Bradrick Shaw combined to rush for 171yds/2TD on 27 carries. The defense didn’t flash that much but the overall effort was great.
#14 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Appalchian St. 31-10. That is a big win right there. Appalachian St. is a solid football team & Georgia came out and dominated them start to finish. Quite a bit will be made of the Bulldogs losing QB Jake Eason early but true frosh Jake Fromm went 10/15 in relief for 143yds/1TD. Sony Michel & Nick Chubb combined to rush for 183yds/2TD on 31 carries. I was a little disappointed to see that Davin Bellamy or Lorenzo Carter didn’t get any sacks.
#15 Computer Hope Last Week Beat West Virginia 31-24. I thought Virginia Tech would struggle a bit in trying to replace QB Jerrod Evans, but freshman QB Josh Jackson did a pretty good imitation throwing for 235yds/1TD while also rushing for 101yds/1TD! The Hokies had a brutal time stopping West Virginia’s offense with the Mountaineers racking up over 500 total yards, but Virginia Tech did a good job of bending & never breaking especially on the final drive of the game.
#16 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Jackson St. 65-0. Ignore TCU at your own peril. Sure it was Jackson St., but 65-0!? Kenny Hill was on fire throwing for 4TDs while the Horned Frogs rushing attack totaled over 240 yards rushing. The defense amassed 5 sacks and an astounding 15 tackles for loss. Jackson St. had only 65 total yards & TCU turned them over twice. With Texas losing, TCU is the 3rd best team in the Big XII. It’s too bad they have road games against both Oklahoma teams.
#17 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Georgia Southern 41-7. I think what we all wanted to see from Auburn in their opener, we saw. The running game was devastating with Kerryon Johnson & Kam Martin combining for 272 rushing yards & 2TD on 30 carries. QB Jarrett Stidham was 14/24 for 185yds/2TD. He did throw a pick, but Stidham showed us that opponents will have to respect the passing game which only opens up the running game even more. Getting to 10 wins is a possibility.
#18 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Bethune-Cookman 41-13. We all wanted to see how new QB Malik Rosier would play now that Brad Kaaya went to the NFL. Rosier didn’t disappoint going 17/28 for 217yds/3TD without throwing a pick. Mark Walton was outstanding rushing for 148yds/2TD on 16 carries but backup Travis Homer didn’t fall off AT ALL rushing for 108yds on 11 carries! WR Ahmmon Richards didn’t play & Miami-FL could have been better on defense, but Rosier showed out.
#19 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Temple 49-16. I said before the year that if QB Brandon Wimbush plays well the Irish should average 40PPG. Wimbush was outstanding against Temple & the Irish scored 49. The Irish had 3 different players rush for over 100 yards en route to racking up 422yds/5TD on the ground. Temple also had no answer for Equanimeous St. Brown on the edge. The Irish need to get a lot better at covering receivers & they need a 2nd receiver for St. Brown, but impressive!
#20 Computer Hope Last Week Beat NC State 35-28. NC State has one of the best D-Lines in college football and Dave Doeren always has his defense hitting hard. You can’t help but be super impressed that the Gamecocks were able to hang 35 on the Wolfpack. It might be one of the most impressive showing from Week 1. For the most part, NC State outplayed SC, but the Wolfpack had no answer for Gamecocks WR Deebo Samuel & SC converted NC State turnovers into 14 points.
#21 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Southern Utah 77-21. Yes it’s only Southern Utah, but everything was clicking for the Ducks on offense and the defense looked great too. Given how the other Pac 12 teams played (excepting Stanford), the Ducks stand out as possibly one of the better team in the conference. Justin Herbert and Royce Freeman look dialed in and I think the Oregon O-Line played very well which is a great sign. Beat Nebraska this week and the Ducks will put people on notice.
#22 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Purdue 35-28. Lamar Jackson got off to his Heisman defense with an incredible statistical game as he passed for 378yds/2TD and added another 107 rushing yards. The final score doesn’t look great especially when you consider how bad Purdue has been in recent seasons, but I actually thought the Boilermakers might have a puncher’s chance in this one & they showed up. Credit Louisville’s defense for being very opportunistic. This might be too low.
#23 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Charleston Southern 49-0. The Bulldogs were smothering on defense allowing Charleston just 33 total yards for the entire game. The Bulldogs weren’t ball hawking too much though. They didn’t create a single turnover and only sacked the CSU QB one time. QB Nick Fitzgerald had a solid game and I was excited to see RB Aeris Williams run the ball well as it’ll take pressure off Fitzgerald. As good as a 49-0 win looks, this Mississippi St. team can get better.
#24 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Texas A&M 45-44. I almost flirted with the idea of putting Josh Rosen himself at #1 over Alabama! Did any QB make a better case for the Heisman than Rosen did on Sunday night? The Bruins QB completed 35/59 passes for 491yds/4TD without throwing a pick. He was hammered most of the game due to a porous O-Line and still managed to led UCLA back from a 44-10 deficit late in the 3rd quarter to a 45-44 stunning victory. What a way to start the season!
#25 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Texas 51-41. A 10-point win over Texas in Austin with Tom Herman making his coaching debut for the Longhorns? Darn right the Terps belong in the Power-25! Yes Maryland gave up 41 points but the Terps put on a clinic. Texas had absolutely no answer for RB Ty Johnson or QB Tyrrell Pigrome or WR DJ Moore. Pigrome got off to a bad start in this game but showed tremendous heart in leading Maryland to a victory. You can’t underestimate this guy.

DROPPING OUT

#18 NC STATE WOLFPACK: Losing to South Carolina isn’t awful, but giving up 35 points when the defense is as good as it is? I’m not sure whether South Carolina is legitimately the best team in the SEC East or if NC State isn’t nearly as good as I thought, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see NC State back in the Power 25 at some point in time. The team is entirely too good and if you look a that boxscore, it is easy to see that NC State dominated the game statistically. Can’t give up huge plays and points off turnovers. That is what cost NC State the game.

#19 TEXAS LONGHORNS: Giving up 51 points to Maryland at home in the season opener? That’s ridiculous but maybe even more of a concern is that Texas’ O’Line didn’t play all that well. Maybe Maryland has a lot better edge rushers than I’m giving them credit for, but if Maryland is teeing off on the Texas QBs then what are teams like TCU & Oklahoma going to do? I really like Tom Herman in Austin so I hope this works out, but the results after Week 1 have to be a bit alarming especially given how the Longhorns were beat.

#21 FLORIDA GATORS: Like NC State I wouldn’t be surprised to see Florida get back into the Power 25 and climb really high. I do think their QB situation is a bit alarming and Michigan completely ran them over which isn’t a good luck for a storied program like Florida has especially considering how young and inexperienced Michigan is as a football team. Florida to me looks like a squad that might have an identity crisis. Coach McElwain is exceptional but winning at Colorado State is a little different than building & sustaining a program like Florida.

#25 SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS: The Bulls are actually already 2-0 but they’ve beaten San Jose St. and Stony Brook and haven’t really dominated either of them which knocks them out of my Power-25. The Bulls have a pretty good football and I think they can get to 12-0 without much difficulty for the most part, but it’s a flawed team to be sure and eventually it’ll catch up to them. Too many teams at this point seem to be better than South Florida.

September 6, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Alabama, Auburn, Big 10, Big XII, Clemson, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi St., NC State, NCAA, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Oregon, Pac 12, Penn St., Power 25, SEC, South Carolina, South Florida, Stanford, TCU, Texas, UCLA, USC, Virginia Tech, Washington, Week 1, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2017 COLLEGE FOOTBALL – WEEK 1 BIG GAMES

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope If you are going to play a game like this then both teams are wise to do it early as an early season loss won’t hurt as bad as a late season one. If you love potential NFL picks then this is the game for you. What will be interesting to me is seeing how well Florida St. handles the old school ways of Alabama’s offense that we’ll surely see. When Alabama just keeps pounding the rock with Bo Scarbrough, can FSU handle the physical pounding? Computer Hope
Computer Hope This game got a lot easier for the Wolverines when Florida announced that star WR Antonio Callaway was suspended. With the Gators still undecided about their QB situation, it’ll be interesting to see how Michigan’s front-5 guys get after the eventual Gators QB. Michigan is exceptionally young on the back end but it might not matter. This game has a lot of meaning for both teams as both have questions that will look better with a victory. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I’m not sure I’d trust Danny Etling all that much as my starting QB so it’ll be interesting to see if Ed Orgeron can avoid the pitfalls that Les Miles fell into by passing the football when LSU should ground & pound and rely on their defense. Derrius Guice is practically unstoppable so playing keep away & keep the defense fresh is optimal strategy. BYU has some upside & returns all 3 starting LBs so it’ll be interesting to see Guice test them. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I think both of these teams are going to be very good this year & it’s almost unbelievable that we get a game like this. South Carolina QB Jake Bentley is poised to become a household name & NC State is going to bring tremendous pressure with the studs they have along the D-Line. South Carolina returns 4 starters on the O-Line meaning this game should be won in the trenches. NC State QB Ryan Finley could decide the outcome. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Maryland is an interesting team and this could be a much tougher game than Texas expects. The Terps are having to replace starting QB Perry Hills, but Caleb Henderson is a solid option & Maryland has some very good weapons on offense like Ty Johnson & DJ Moore. Maryland also returns 7 starters on defense with all their good players returning meaning they’ll be rocks. Huge test for Texas that could give them a lot of confidence. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I think Indiana AD Fred Glass made a masterful strategic move by moving aside Kevin Wilson and giving Tom Allen the HC job. We’ll see how it turns out but I think it was the right move. What’s interesting here is that the Buckeyes lost Malik Hooker, Marshon Lattimore & Gareon Conley from a wicked secondary while Indiana’s strength should be their passing attack. It’ll be almost impossible but Indiana is a lot better than you think. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Technically not a home game, Georgia Tech is playing this one in Atlanta so I think it’s a home game for the Yellow Jackets. I think the heat gets even hotter for Butch Jones if the Vols open with a loss, but Georgia Tech is an under the radar contender in the ACC Coastal after a transition year last season and Tennessee is dealing with a massive exodus of players to the NFL. Win & UT starts thinking SEC East. A loss? The wheels come off. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Trick game for those Hairy Dawgs! Appalachian St. is going to be one of those teams we hear about all season long as potential New Year’s Day bowls if they can get through their schedule. They have a lot of experience coming back from a team that went 10-3 last season & 11-2 in 2015. Georgia might still be working through QB issues and while I think Georgia’s defense could carry them, App State almost knocked off Tennessee last year. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I’m not overly thrilled with this matchup because I think neither team is a title contender but both coaches are on the hot seat and a loss definitely turns up the heat! It will be interesting to see UCLA QB Josh Rosen coming back from injury & see how his command of the offense improves over his freshman numbers. It’ll also be interesting to see how Trayveon Williams & Christian Kirk perform against UCLA’s defense. Both need wins. Computer Hope
Computer Hope I think West Virginia will be one of the weaker teams in the Big XII and I’m excited to see whether or not the Hokies can dominate a game like this. Virginia Tech’s back-7 on defense is NASTY and they should completely shut down the WVU offense which will be significant given Dana Holgorsen’s reputation as an offensive guy. I’m also curious to see how VT’s QB plays. Jerod Evans left huge shoes to fill so getting production from the QB is key. Computer Hope

August 27, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Alabama, Appalachian St., Big 10, Big Games, Big XII, BYU, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Georgia Tech, Indiana, LSU, Maryland, Michigan, Must See Games, NC State, NCAA, Ohio St, Pac 12, SEC, South Carolina, Sun Belt, Tennessee, Texas, Texas AM, UCLA, Virginia Tech, Week 1, West Virginia | Leave a comment

NCAA POWER 25 – 2017 PRESEASON

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Last Season: 14-1, National Runner Up. It’s almost impossible to bet against Alabama. They return just 11 starters but QB Jalen Hurts returns and the depth is so absurd that it almost doesn’t matter who they throw out there. There is talk that DT Da’Ron Payne is better than any DT HC Nick Saban has had in Tuscaloosa. Minkah Fitzpatrick is moving to safety to join Ronnie Harrison for a secondary that is straight FILTHY! They can ground & pound opponents to death.
#2 Computer Hope Last Season: 11-2, Lost Playoff Semifinal. The Buckeyes bring back 15 starters from a team that went to the playoffs but got exposed by a tremendous Clemson team 31-0 in the Fiesta Bowl. Ohio St. is the closest team we have to Alabama as far as overall talent is concerned. What separates Ohio St. for me this year is their ability to get pressure off the edge. The team has a couple of questions but Tyquan Lewis, Sam Hubbard, Nick Bosa & Jalyn Holmes are a nightmare for QBs.
#3 Computer Hope Last Season: 14-1, National Champions. I think Clemson isn’t being favored to repeat because Deshaun Watson is now playing on Sundays but Clemson’s defense is otherworldly and I think Clelin Ferrell, Dexter Lawrence & Christian Wilkins give the Tigers the best DL in college football. Throw in Kendall Joseph, Van Smith & Trayvon Mullen, and I’m not sure how you score on defense. The O-Line is incredible & I think QB Kelly Bryant will make enough plays to win.
#4 Computer Hope Last Season: 10-3, Won Orange Bowl. The Seminoles should be considered national title contenders. They return 9 starters on defense that should be nasty. I love Clemson’s defense but FSU probably has better edge rushers with Brian Burns & Josh Sweat and it’s not like DTs Derrick Nnadi & Demarcus Christmas aren’t beasts! Even scarier is FSU gets a full season of S Derwin James who in my opinion is the best player in college football. They could celebrate like it’s 2013!
#5 Computer Hope Last Season: 10-3, Won Rose Bowl. No team in college football is on a bigger winning streak than the Trojans who after starting 1-3 in 2016, reeled off 9 straight wins including a dramatic 52-49 win over Penn St. in the Rose Bowl. Anytime you have the best QB in college football you should be considered a threat. Sam Darnold  completed 67% of his passes last season for over 3,000 yards & 31TD to just 9INT! The Trojans also return 7 on defense & have a shot at 12-0!
#6 Computer Hope Last Season: 11-3, Lost Rose Bowl. Penn St. returns 15 starters including 9 on offense including QB Trace McSorey, RB Saquon Barkley & TE Mike Gesicki. The Nittany Lions scored 37.6PPG last season & they’ll top that mark this year. I think defense is going to be key for PSU and specifically their ability to get pressure on the opposing QB. DEs Garrett Sickels and Evan Schwan have graduated meaning they’ll need some guys to fill those voids. There is nothing not to like!
#7 Computer Hope Last Season: 10-3, Won Sun Bowl. After a 3-2 start that saw Stanford drop 2 divisional games to Washington & Wazzou, Stanford 7-1 to end the season & rank 12th in the nation. I think the #12 was too low and the Cardinal return 16 starters (8 on both sides) including QB Keller Chryst who started the last 6 games, all Stanford wins. Losing guys like Solomon Thomas & Christian McCaffery is tough but I think the 2017 Stanford team is better than the Stanford of 2016.
#8 Computer Hope Last Season: 12-2, Lost Playoff Semifinal. Seems ludicrous to list Washington at #8 in the nation, but they have to play at Stanford which pushes them below the Cardinal. If the Huskies finish 12-0 I wouldn’t be surprised in the least. QB Jake Browning is a Heisman candidate & UW has incredible talent returning in Myles Gaskin, Dante Pettis & Trey Adams. Defensively replacing Kevin King & Budda Baker will be tough but Azeem Victor and Co. should be stone filthy!
#9 Computer Hope Last Season: 10-3, Won Alamo Bowl. If not this year when? Oklahoma St. flirted with the possibility of a national championship back in 2011 but a loss to Iowa State crushed that dream. This season, Oklahoma State has a schedule that could give them a 12-0 season that could lead to a playoff berth. They get Oklahoma at home & the Sooners are now entering the post-Bob Stoops era & there is opportunity there. They’ll score a ton of points but they’ll need to play D!
#10 Computer Hope Last Season: 11-2, Won Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma should be a massive playoff contender but I think a couple of things work against them. The first is that they play road games against both Ohio St. & Oklahoma State. That could be 2 losses which would be difficult to make up. I think the 2nd thing is that losing Joe Mixon, Samaje Perine & DeDe Westbrook are going to be hard to overcome. I also think there will be transition now that Bob Stoops has resigned. It’ll be tough for OU.
#11 Computer Hope Last Season: 8-4, Won Citrus Bowl. After starting the year 2-2 with losses to Wisconsin & Auburn, LSU fired Les Miles and Ed Orgeron took over on an interim basis leading LSU to a 6-2 record including a 29-9 win over Louisville in the Citrus Bowl. Of course, LSU lost to Florida & Alabama, but LSU rewarded Orgeron with the head coaching position. LSU will always field an incredible defense & Derius Guice is the best RB in the nation. Let’s see how strategic Orgeron is.
#12 Computer Hope Last Season: 10-3, Lost Orange Bowl. Michigan has to be the youngest team in college football this season given that the Wolverines return a total of 5 starters from last year’s squad including just one defensive starter in Mike McCray. On the other hand I’m loathe to place Michigan any lower because the talent Jim Harbaugh has assembled in Ann Arbor is downright scary. The key for Michigan is to get the young players comfortable & working together. If so they’ll win big!
#13 Computer Hope Last Season: 9-4, Won Russell Athletic Bowl. The U isn’t quite back to its recent glory years of 2000-2003 including their 2001 National Championship, but give Mark Richt a couple more years and the Hurricanes are going to be a force on the national scene. They are still a bit young and will break in a new QB this year with Brad Kaaya playing in the NFL, but they draw Virginia Tech & home & only have a couple of other tricky games. Getting to 10-11 wins is in play.
#14 Computer Hope Last Season 8-5, Lost Sugar Bowl. The key for Auburn this year will be the play of QB Jarrett Stidham. Stidham might be the best QB Auburn has had since Cam Newton was screaming War Eagle and the Tigers have plenty on hand to run HC Gus Malzahn’s offense to perfection. Stidham is a better QB than Nick Marshall who got Auburn to the national title game in 2013. Kamryn Pettway is a better runner than Tre Mason. The D will be salty & they get Alabama at home!
#15 Computer Hope Last Season 10-4, Won Belk Bowl. If QB Jerod Evans was returning to Blacksburg, not only would the Hokies be the favorites to win the Coastal but I think they’d have a good shot at giving Clemson or Florida St. all they could handle in the ACC championship game. I’m excited to see this defense in action. Virginia Tech returns 6 of their back-7 and DC Bud Foster is going to get the most out of those players. If the QB situation gets solved, I think the Hokies could flirt with 11-1.
#16 Computer Hope Last Season 6-7, Lost Liberty Bowl. After finishing with a two year record of 23-3 from 2014-2015, TCU had a transition year last season finishing 6-7. There won’t be a repeat performance as the Frogs return 17 starters including 10 on offense & have a schedule that should allow them to potentially win 10 games assuming they lose road dates against Oklahoma St. & Oklahoma. The last time TCU had close to this many returning starters was 2010. TCU finished 13-0!
#17 Computer Hope Last Season 8-5, Won Liberty Bowl. Potentially one of the most interesting teams in the nation that could throw a real wrench into the narrative should they get excellent QB play from either Jacob Eason or Jake Fromm. If RB Nick Chubb is back to 100% health then Georgia is going to be nasty on offense because they’ll be able to spread their receivers out. Defensively, UGA returns 10 starters from a squad that allowed 24PPG. They can legitimately finish with 12 wins.
#18 Computer Hope Last Season 7-6, Won Independence Bowl. Another potential surprise team, the Wolfpack are a dangerous team because their D-Line is going to be incredibly dominant & winning in the trenches typically means winning a lot of football games. QB Ryan Finley had a solid season as a first time starter & I think he’ll get better. It’s wild to think that HC Dave Doeren might be on a hot seat because I think NC State is on the verge of becoming a major factor in the ACC.
#19 Computer Hope Last Season 5-7. Texas got their man when they lured Houston HC Tom Herman away from the Cougars and brought him to Austin. Charlie Strong couldn’t quite get things working with the Longhorns but he hardly leaves the cupboards bare for Herman who inherits one of the most talented teams in the nation. Texas returns 17 starters including 10 on defense & should be A LOT better especially considering QB Shane Buechele was a true frosh last season. They’ll win big.
#20 Computer Hope Last Season 9-4, Lost Citrus Bowl. It sounds wild to think Louisville is barely hanging on for a spot in the top-20 considering they started the 2016 season off 9-1 and have the reigning Heisman Trophy winner in QB Lamar Jackson, but the Cardinals dropped their last 3 games in embarrassing fashion & it seems as if the 2017 version might not be as goo as the 2016 team. I’ll never count out Bobby Petrino in the college game & Louisville has a lot of talented pieces.
#21 Computer Hope Last Season 9-4, Won Outback Bowl. I think Jim McElwain is one of the best coaches in college football, but something seems off about the Gators this year. Their QB situation is still somewhat muddled and they’ve already suspended WR Antonio Callaway for the season opener against  Michigan. There is no question the Gators are talented enough to win the SEC East for a 3rd straight season but so far things are getting off to a great start down in Gainesville.
#22 Computer Hope Last Season 4-8. Brian Kelly might be coaching for his life this year in South Bend, but I think the Irish season might hinge on the play of QB Brandon Wimbush. If the rSO can live up to his recruiting hype, then Notre Dame has so much talent & firepower on offense, they’ll find it difficult not to score 40PPG! That will put pressure on the D which returns 7 starters for new DC Mike Elko. If Elko can get the most out of his defense, Notre Dame will have a shot at the playoffs.
#23 Computer Hope Last Season 6-7, Lost Birmingham Bowl. You won’t find the Gamecocks on anyone’s preseason Top-25, but South Carolina is going to make significant noise this year on the back of QB Jake Bentley. As a true freshman last year, Bentley completed 66% of his passes with 9TD to 4INT. He’s big at 6’4/230lbs & is going to get better. SC returns 10 starters on offense & should see a huge jump in production. Getting LB Skai Moore back this year will even make the defense better.
#24 Computer Hope Last Season 6-7, Won St. Petersburg Bowl. Like South Carolina, Mississippi St. has a QB in Nick Fitzgerald who I think the Bulldogs will ride hard to a lot of wins in 2017. The schedule is absolutely nasty but HC Dan Mullen always gets his teams to overachieve. It will be difficult to navigate a 3-game stretch that sees MSU host LSU followed by 2 road games against Georgia & Auburn. Win those three & will be seeing shades of 2014 when the Bulldogs were ranked #1!!
#25 Computer Hope Last Season 11-2, Won Birmingham Bowl. South Florida is the team you are going to hear a lot about when it comes to non-Power 5 conferences either crashing the playoff party or getting into the New Year’s 6 bowls. The Bulls have to deal with losing their HC Willie Taggart to Oregon but Charlie Strong knows a little thing about winning & he takes over. The schedule is made for USF to finish 13-0 & QB Quinton Flowers deserves to have some spotlight on him.

August 27, 2017 Posted by | AAC, ACC, Alabama, Auburn, Big 10, Big XII, Clemson, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Louisville, LSU, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi St., NC State, NCAA, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Pac 12, Penn St., Power 25, Preseason, SEC, South Carolina, South Florida, Stanford, TCU, Texas, USC, Virginia Tech, Washington | Leave a comment

2017 SEC PREVIEW AND PREDICTIONS

My college previews kick off with the Southeastern Conference! I think there are some very interesting storylines going on within each division this season. In the West I think it’s going to be very difficult to knock off Alabama given all the weapons they return on offense along with what should be another top-10 defense, but after Alabama it gets really interesting. Auburn draws the Tide at home this year and if Jarrett Stidham takes the reigns for War Eagle and starts rolling, Auburn could make a legit run for the SEC West. I don’t think you can say the same about LSU because their QB situation isn’t ideal and they have to travel to Tuscaloosa, but if they beat Auburn on October 14th in Baton Rouge, then LSU could very well be 8-0 and coming off a bye against a potentially 8-0 Alabama team coming off a bye as well. Those 3 teams will make it interesting but the Auburn/LSU game could determine quite a bit.

After the Big 3 in the West it gets interesting. I think Mississippi St. has some of that 2014 feel to them when they started 9-0 and were ranked #1 in the nation before traveling to Tuscaloosa and dropping a game to Alabama 25-20. Nick Fitzgerald could be on the cusp of being a star and it’ll be interesting to see how he plays. Kevin Sumlin is on the hot seat in College Station and I could see the bottom dropping out on on the Aggies as they try to replace so many players on defense and at receiver. Arkansas should be better or even Bret Bielema could start feeling heat and of course the Ole Miss situation is unfortunate as the Rebels looked to have a talented team with a very talented QB in Shea Patterson. The #4-#7 spots could get interesting in the West and I even think Mississippi St. has a chance to climb into that top-3.

The East is even more interesting as I think teams like Kentucky and South Carolina have a real chance to upset the apple cart and move ahead of division stalwarts Florida and Tennessee. Mark Stoops has built up the Kentucky roster to where I think it can compete if it is a veteran led squad with a favorable schedule. The Wildcats have 17 returning starters and get both Tennessee and Florida in Lexington! South Carolina can be a squad that can compete with Florida and Tennessee on the recruiting trail, and I think Will Muschamp is on his way to doing so with the Gamecocks. Carolina returns 10 starters on offense, but QB Jake Bentley is special. SC gets both Kentucky & Florida at home which I think pushes them to 2nd place behind Georgia in the East. I also think it’ll be interesting to see how much heat Jim McElwain’s seat gets in Gainesville if the Gators have a disappointing season and if Butch Jones can survive another year in Knoxville without an SEC title or even a 10-win season. Would 5-years be enough?

Finally, keep an eye on Missouri & Vanderbilt. Missouri under Barry Odom is quietly getting better and while I think they should be better than last year’s 4-8, it’ll be interesting to see what strides they can take in 2017 because 2018 should be their coming out party. Vanderbilt is also interesting to watch. The program is making strides under HC Derek Mason and it’ll be interesting to see if Mason can take the Commodores to the heights that his predecessor James Franklin reached.

The SEC is the best conference in college football for a reason so it’s no surprise the storylines are endless as we head into the 2017 season!

# TEAM SEC WEST
1 Computer Hope Impossible to go against the Tide at this point. QB Jalen Hurts returns behind a dynamic O-Line. Bo Scarbrough & Damien Harris return at tailback and WR Calvin Ridley is poised to become a 1st Team All-American. Lose LT Cam Robinson? Replace him with Jonah Williams! Defensively the Tide lost a truckload of star talent to the NFL, but it’s Alabama where there are 3-4 five star players on the depth chart. Minkah Fitzpatrick could move to safety alongside Ronnie Harrison. Da’Ron Payne & Da’Shawn Hand are going to dominate up front. I think the 2016 version is better, but they’re still good enough to win it all.
2 Computer Hope If the Tigers didn’t travel to Tuscaloosa on November 4th, I probably would have taken the Bayou Bengals to win the West. Derrius Guice is a MAN playing against boys in college. What makes him scarier is that he’s playing in front of a couple of interior O-Linemen in Will Clapp & Maea Teuhema who could be All-Americans. I think QB Danny Etling will make fewer mistakes & keep LSU away from turnovers. The Tigers lost a TON on defense but return Arden Key who is the best pass rusher in American and DC Dave Aranda is outstanding. With the talent LSU has, they’ll post another top-10 defense in 2017.
3 Computer Hope I’m buying QB Jarrett Stidham and he could be the best QB Auburn has had since Cam Newton was screaming War Eagle and we saw how that worked out in 2010! Gus Malzahn is an offensive genius so if Stidham works out Auburn is going to score in spades with weapons like RB Kamryn Pettway, WR Darius SLaton, WR Nate Craig-Myers & WR Kyle Davis. Defensive the Tigers bring back 6 of their top-7 tacklers but losing Montravius Adams & Carl Lawson will be felt. I think DE Marlon Davidson will need to be huge. This Auburn team has crazy upside & gets Alabama at home. They are playoff contenders.
4 Computer Hope In case you didn’t know, his name is Nick Fitzgerald and the QB is a MONSTER! Last year Fitzgerald passed for 2423yds & 21TD while also rushing for 1375yds & 16TD! The Bulldogs have a little but of that 2014 feel to them and if they can beat LSU at home and upset Georgia & Auburn in back-to-back road games, they have a clear path to 9-0 before they welcome in Alabama on November 11th, a week after the Tide host LSU. That’s a lot to ask but back in 2014, Mississippi St. beat 3 top-10 ranked teams in a row (at LSU, Texas A&M, Auburn) en route to 9-0 and the #1 ranking before being upended by Alabama 25-20.
5 Computer Hope Things haven’t gone exactly to plan for Bret Bielema since leaving Wisconsin, but this season should provide him with a chance to play his style of football. The Hogs lose RB Rawleigh Williams, but Devwah Whaley has immense talent and should be able to replicate Williams production because the O-Line he’ll be running behind is tremendous led by All-American C Frank Ragnow. QB Austin Allen is a senior and should be solid. Defensively Arkansas returns 6 starters and 5 of their back-7. They’ll struggle to get pressure on opposing QBs which I think limits their upside but if they ball control they could win close ones.
6 Computer Hope I don’t know if there is a better RB/WR duo in college football than Trayveon Williams & Christian Kirk, but the Aggies are going to try and break in a rFR at QB in Nick Starkel behind a fairly inexperienced O-Line. Even with Kirk returning, the Aggies lost a ton of outside talent. Defensively I don’t even know how A&M replaces Myles Garrett, Daeshon Hall, Justin Evans & Shaan Washington! HUGE LOSSES. I think there is a good chance A&M loses their opener at UCLA and if that happens then HC Kevin Sumlin’s seat is going to be blisteringly hot! A&M also has some brutal home games. This could get bad in a hurry!
7 Computer Hope Ole Miss is somewhat of a wild card with Hugh Freeze leaving the program and Matt Luke taking over as interim HC. It’s too bad really because the Rebels have some upside to this team. The offense has a potentially outstanding O-Line with 4 starters returning and Greg Little manning LT. QB Shea Patterson has some tremendous upside and the Rebels have solid skill position players. Defensively, Ole MIss returns 6 starters & 5 of their top-7 tacklers. DE Marquis Haynes returned for his senior year & he’ll be one of the best edge rushers in the nation. NT Benito Jones should also be a force up front. Very tough to predict.

 

# TEAM SEC EAST
1 Computer Hope There might be some questions surrounding the offense with the O-Line being young and QB Jake Fromm potentially pushing QB Jacob Eason for starting time but worst comes to worst how hard is it to hand the ball off to Nick Chubb or Sony Michel? These hairy dogs have enough talent on the outside to keep defenses honest. What stands out about UGA is their defense. Trenton Thompson might be the best DT in college football while Davin Bellamy & Lorenzo Carter might be the best pair of edge rushers. Georgia returns their ILBs and secondary as well. HC Kirby Smart knows a thing or two about top defenses!
2 Computer Hope This could be the most surprising team in college football this season. QB Jake Bentley completed 66% of his passes last year as a true frosh and the Gamecocks have 10 returning starters back on offense including all their skill players. TE Hayden Hurst has a chance to make a HUGE impact. Defensively South Carolina is going to need Dante Sawyer to provide a legitimate threat off the edge but LB Skai Moore returns & will combine with Bryson Allen-Williams to give SC a solid pair of LBs. Both corners return & I think Will Muschamp is going to do some great things in Columbia just like another former Florida head coach.
3 Computer Hope I think the SEC is a little topsy-turvy this season and Kentucky benefits by getting both Tennessee and Florida in Lexington. If they can get those wins I think the Wildcats could have a banner season. HC Mark Stoops has a talented roster and UK returns 8 starters on offense & 9 on defense. If there is going to be a time for Kentucky to make a move, it’s this season. CJ Conrad, Benny Snell & Stephen Johnson should keep the offense humming with 4 returning starters on the O-Line. Denzil Ware, Jordan Jones & Mike Edwards should be solid up front on defense. Kentucky could potentially get to 8-9 wins this season.
4 Computer Hope I think Florida is in a precarious situation. They are probably already behind Florida St. when it comes to recruiting the top tier talent within the state, but Mark Richt going to Miami-FL makes things extremely difficult as well. I love Jim McElwain as a HC, but right now I’d say he’s behind Richt & Jimbo Fisher in recruiting. Florida also already has turmoil coming out of the program with the suspensions including WR Antonio Callaway for the opener against Michigan. Florida isn’t sold on Luke Del Rio being the starting QB either & the defense returns just 5 starters. After 2 SEC East titles, this year feels like transition.
5 Computer Hope Like Kevin Sumlin at Texas A&M, I’m going to be surprised to see Butch Jones make it out alive in Knoxville this season. The Vols have talent to be sure, but I think losing guys like QB Josh Dobbs, DE Derek Barnett, LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin and CB Cameron Sutton are going to be hard to overcome. UT also has road games against Florida, Alabama, & Kentucky. They get LSU, Georgia & South Carolina at home which are going to be exceedingly difficult games to win. I think losing Alvin Kamara is going to be bigger than people think. Josh Malone is a loss too. I like the talent here but a lot of key pieces are gone from 2016.
6 Computer Hope It is going to be very difficult for Derek Mason to recreate what James Franklin did here at Vanderbilt but Mason is trying his best. In his first year, Vandy went 3-9. Last year in his 3rd,  the Commodores were 6-7 and got to a bowl game. This year Vandy returns 9 starters on offense including QB Kyle Shumur who has generated some buzz this offseason. Ralph Webb is a work horse out of the backfield & Vandy returns their top-9 receivers from a season ago. Defensively, Vanderbilt has made huge strides since Mason’s first season & while they do lose Zach Cunningham, they return 7 starters from a unit that was solid.
7 Computer Hope I would have had Missouri in 6th but they play at Vanderbilt so I put the Commodores one spot ahead. HC Gary Pinkel is a legend in Columbia, but I hope Barry Odom sticks around because he’s on the cusp of doing something great at Mizzou. This season the Tigers have a TON coming back on offense, but I want to see QB Drew Lock improve his accuracy. Missouri has a chance to be REALLY SPECIAL in 2018 assuming Lock comes back. RB Damarea Crockett is a MONSTER. Defensively I think Missouri misses Charles Harris & Aarion Penton quite a bit. They return 5 starters but again look towards 2018 for this unit.



SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

EAST SEC CHAMPIONSHIP WEST
Computer Hope I think this could be a lot closer game than people would expect and here is why. Alabama is going to try and run the football which they should, but Georgia is STOUT in the middle with Trenton Thompson & John Atkins on the line and LBs Roquan Smith & Natrez Patrick filling it up. If Alabama goes pass then UGA has some ELITE pass rushers in Davin Bellamy & Lorenzo Carter. This of course is assuming that Alabama’s offense can actually be stopped and Georgia can get anything going against what will surely be a tough Tide defense. Alabama wins. Computer Hope

August 18, 2017 Posted by | Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi, Mississippi St., Missouri, NCAA, Predictions, Preseason, Previews, SEC, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas AM, Vanderbilt | Leave a comment

RANKING POWER-65 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COACHES – THE TOP 10!

THE TOP 10!!! These are the cream of the crop in my opinion and the most elite of the elite. What’s interesting about this group is the history they are all chasing. Of the top-10 coaches, there are 5 who have won national championships. Those 5 are Bob Stoops, Dabo Swinney, Jimbo Fisher, Urban Meyer and Nick Saban. Even though they’ve won national titles, they are chasing history in their own way. For Swinney is the prospect of becoming one of the greatest head coaches of all time. For Fisher it’s to stand side by side with Bobby Bowden in Florida State history. For Stoops it is trying to get back to what he achieve in 2000. For Meyer and Saban, their chase is for the crown of greatest college football head coach of all time. I’m of the opinion that Saban already holds the that crown surpassing Bear Bryant, but if there is a coach who could challenge Saban, it’s Urban Meyer. For the 5 guys on this list that haven’t won a national title, you can be sure they know it’s the last thing they need to accomplish to cement their legacy. The previous rankings can be found in the following links:

#50-#65
#40-#49
#30-#39
#20-#29
#11-#19

#10 – Bobby Petrino – Louisville

While it’s certainly permissible to question his off-field behavior, there is simply no questioning what Bobby Petrino can do on the field. He took Louisville to national championship contender the first go around with the Cardinals. He did the same with Arkansas. Now that he’s back in the ‘Ville, he tied Clemson for the ACC Atlantic division championship and had Louisville not lost to Clemson, then the Cardinals would have been the ones playing for the ACC Championship and the Clemson dream season would never have happened. That was year 3 and he’s already ahead of Florida State! Only Clemson and Florida St. have won more games than the Redbirds the past 3 seasons among ACC teams. Only Clemson & FSU has a better conference record. Recruiting has jumped about 10 spots already from the time Petrino took over until now. His foray into the NFL was a disaster and his questionable conduct at Arkansas was a bit concerning to say the least but Petrino has reinvented himself at Louisville and once again is proving to be one of the very best college football coaches in the nation! With Lamar Jackson returning next year, Louisville should be in the national championship hunt.

#9 – Jim McElwain – Florida

Some might think this is too high for McElwain but in his first two years in Gainesville he’s gone 19-8 with a conference mark of 13-3 winning two SEC East division titles with the Gators finishing the 2016 season ranked 14th! What’s remarkable about Florida in McElwain’s first couple of seasons is that they’ve been winning this much without any QB play. In his first season, McElwain had deal with Will Grier getting injured and then relying upon Treon Harris who should have never been under center. Last season he had to rely on a Purdue transfer who couldn’t find playing time with the Boilermakers! That same Purdue squad who has a record of 8-28 over the last 3 years! McElwain is an offensive guy so my guess is that it’s only a matter of time before Florida starts playing the kind of offense McElwain wants. They’ll always be outstanding defensively because of the athletes the Gators can attract to campus. What McElwain has accomplished with having to build up the program the way he wants it is incredible. Granted, they’ve been dominated in the SEC Championship game and the SEC East hasn’t exactly been fantastic, but I think that is more of a reflection on missed opportunity for teams like Tennessee, Georgia & South Carolina than it is on McElwain taking advantage of a weakened division. McElwain is starting to dominate recruiting too and Gators fans can be rest assured that McElwain won’t leave Gainesville for Ohio.

#8 – David Shaw – Stanford

Frankly this might too low for Shaw. Jim Harbaugh might have laid the foundation for the Cardinal in recent times, but what Shaw has done since taking over the program is nothing short of incredible. In his 6 seasons in Pao Alto, Stanford has won 4 Pac 12 North division titles. They’ve won 3 Pac 12 championships. They are a perfect 3-0 in the Rose Bowl and they’ve been to 4 BCS bowls. Shaw is on a 3-bowl game winning streak and in 5 of this 6 years the Cardinal have never finished below 12th in the final AP Rankings with 3 seasons in the top-10! He’s consistently bringing in top-20 classes which is incredible given the academic restrictions that Stanford is under. Even in his worst season, 2014, Shaw still guided Stanford to an 8-5 season with a bowl victory! Stanford had a little trouble getting started last year but finished the year on a 6-game winning streak to get to 10-3 which was the 5th time in 6 years Shaw had Stanford with double-digit wins. Shaw’s 64 wins in 6-years is Stanford’s greatest run in Cardinal football history! It’s going to be interesting going forward with Stanford and Shaw. The Cardinal lost to both Washington & Washington St. last season and Chris Petersen and Mike Leach aren’t going anywhere. I’m a HUGE fan of Gary Andersen at Oregon St. and the Oregon Ducks bring in a guy in Willie Taggart who at the VERY LEAST will have Oregon as one of the most talented teams in the nation. USC is starting to flex and Mike MacIntyre put the Pac 12 on notice last season. The Pac 12 is changing and it’ll be great to see how Shaw adjusts to the changes.

#7 – Bob Stoops – Oklahoma

Arguably the most underappreciated football coach in America. The last two seasons Bob Stoops has lead the Sooners to a 22-4 mark with a 17-1 conference record. He’s won the Big XII both years. He’s finished #5 in the AP poll both years. Got to the college football playoffs in 2015 and then won the Orange Bowl last year with a convincing 35-19 win over Auburn. All of that winning and Stoops still gets flack for not having Oklahoma where they need to be! What’s hurt Stoops in recent times is his inability to win big time games. It’s unfortunate that Stoops won a national title in Norman in his 2nd year back in 2000 because since then the expectation has been a national championship (as it should be at Oklahoma) but the Sooners have come up empty over the last 16 seasons! That’s a long time to wait when you are an Oklahoma fan. Oklahoma did play for the national title in 2004 and 2008 but the Sooners were hammered in the Orange Bowl in 2004 by USC 55-19, and then in 2008 Tim Tebow got the better of them in Urban Meyer’s 2nd national championship. The other knock on Stoops is that he hasn’t recruited at an extraordinarily high level the past few years (although his 2017 class is a top-10 class) and the Big XII has the perception of being “weak” which hurts Stoops to a degree because he’s the big fish in a relatively small pond. I’m not sure I buy into either excuses, but getting hammered early last year by Ohio State wasn’t a good look and Texas hasn’t given Oklahoma too much competition in the Big XII for quite awhile now. Stoops makes a VERY compelling case to be #3 on this list and #7 does seem a bit low to me, but he ended 2016 on an incredible note and the 2017 recruiting was fantastic. Stoops could very well creep back into top-3 status sooner rather than later.

#6 – Jim Harbaugh – Michigan

The last 3 coaches before Jim Harbaugh had the following first 2-seasons record at Michigan:

Brady Hoke: 19-7
Rich Rodriguez: 8-16
Lloyd Carr: 17-8

Jim Harbaugh in his first two seasons has gone 20-6 with back to back double digit win seasons! The only other Michigan HC in Wolverines football history to begin his career with back to back double digit win seasons was Fielding Yost who posted back to back 11-0 seasons back in 1901-1902! What Harbaugh has done at Michigan is nothing short of spectacular. Rich Rodriguez was a complete mess. Brady Hoke was lost and terrible once he got his own players to Ann Arbor. I’m a big Lloyd Carr fan, but outside of the national championship team Michigan had in 1997 where they went 12-0, Carr never had a team lose less than 2 games. Carr also lost more bowl games than he won and in his last 7 bowl games, Carr’s Wolverines teams were 2-5! Harbaugh has come in to one of the most significant, historically relevant programs in college football history, that hadn’t been relevant in almost 20 years and immediately made them a top-5 team. His last two recruiting classes have both been top-5 classes. Michigan is now competing with Alabama, Ohio St., USC, Florida, Florida St., and Clemson for recruits. Some might think ranking Harbaugh at #6 could be a bit too high too fast, but look at his track record at Stanford. Look what he did at San Francisco? Sure he hasn’t won the Big 10 East yet. He hasn’t beaten Ohio St. yet either, but Harbaugh’s entrance into the Big 10 made the Big 10 East immediately the best division in college football with the best rivalry now being amped up to all time historical levels. He’s a master motivator and is just getting started. If he can post back to back 10-3 seasons without any firm foundation in place, what is Michigan football going to look like when Harbaugh has the program firing on all cylinders?

#5 – Chris Petersen – Washington

I think some people thought Petersen might struggle a bit at Washington after leaving the comfortable confines of Boise. Dan Hawkins couldn’t make it work at Colorado after he left Boise State. Dirk Koetter had a much tougher road at Arizona State after leaving Boise State although Koetter has reinvented himself and is now the HC of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and has the Bucs close to playoff contention. The same struggle was thought to follow Petersen to Seattle. Most thought Petersen would turn out well, but that it might take a few years…..yeah it took 3. Petersen’s first two years with the Huskies saw Washington go a combined 15-12 with back-to-back 4-5 conference seasons. In Year 3, Washington would finish the season 12-1 (8-1) with a Pac 12 North division championship, a Pac 12 outright championship and a spot in the college football playoff. The playoff wasn’t spectacular as UW lost to Alabama 24-7, but to be honest, Washington played a pretty tight game against the Crimson Tide despite losing the game. Recruiting is improving under Petersen although it’s always going to be hard to pull kids into dreary Seattle over hot spots like USC, Florida, Florida St., Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Georgia, Miami-FL, Texas, LSU, UCLA, Tennessee, Arizona State, Arizona and South Carolina. And that isn’t mentioning traditional powerhouse football teams with less than ideal locations such as Penn St., Ohio St., Michigan, and Notre Dame. With that said, Washington should be able to push their recruiting into the top-20 range annually without a problem and that is more than enough talent for Petersen to win and win big with. I think Rick Neuheisel and Don James showed that the Huskies could be relevant on the national stage and Washington is one of those teams that makes college football better when they are winning. The Pac 12 is changing a bit with a lot of incoming young talent as head coaches so Petersen has his work cut out for him, but he’s got Washington ahead of schedule and I don’t think they’ll regress. Washington should be as good or better in 2017 as they were in 2016.

#4 – Jimbo Fisher – Florida State

It’s easy to forget now that Fisher has the Seminoles back at the apex of college football that in Bobby Bowden’s last 5 years as HC, Florida St. posted a combined record of 38-27, finishing outside the final AP-Top 25 in 3 of those 5 seasons and having a losing bowl record of 2-3. Recruiting was way down and some thought that Bobby Bowden was finished and the FSU program along with him. Bowden was finished, but Florida St. wasn’t. Fisher stepped in immediately and led FSU to a 10-4 season, won the ACC Atlantic division title and got a bowl win, giving FSU their first double digit win season in 6 years! Fisher would win the ACC in Year 3. He’d win a national title in Year 4 and play for a another national title in Year 5! Bowden’s last 5 years in Tallahassee saw the ‘Noles go 38-27, but Fisher’s first 5 years in Tallahassee would see FSU post a 58-11 record with a national title and 3 ACC titles! The turnaround was absolutely stunning and put Florida St. back into the ELITE of the ELITE category. Recruiting soared and Fisher has the program humming with no let up in sight. One of the biggest clues that show how good a place FSU is in under Fisher is their last two seasons. Florida St. has had back to back 10-3 seasons finishing #14 in 2015 and #8 in 2016. Those are great if not spectacular seasons, but at this point in Fisher’s tenure, they seem like rebuilding seasons for FSU or disappointing seasons. When you average being a borderline top-10 over a 2-year period and it’s looked at as disappointing, you know you have expectations at an all time high, and Fisher knows he can meet those expectations!

#3 – Dabo Swinney – Clemson

It’s almost impossible to argue Swinney’s success. I’m trying to keep my analysis to the past 5 years and Swinney has enough success those 5 years, but if we stretch Swinney out to his last 6 years, he’s led Clemson to a 70-13 record including a 6-2 bowl record, a national championship, 2 national championship game appearances, 3 ACC championships and 4 ACC Atlantic division titles! It’s a better resume than anyone not named Nick Saban and Swinney can certainly stack up well with Urban Meyer. He has shown he can recruit top-5 classes to Clemson meaning there doesn’t seem to be any weaknesses to Swinney’s arsenal when it comes to head coaching college football. He’s leaped Jimbo Fisher in the ACC Atlantic which is no small feat and he’s keeping Bobby Petrino at bay, which again is no small feat. Swinney was also able to avenge his 2015 championship game loss to Alabama by besting the Tide in 2016 behind QB Deshaun Watson. Swinney has 6 straight 10+ win seasons at Clemson which is a school record. I’d also say that this year Swinney passed Danny Ford as the greatest football coach in Clemson history. The only question now facing Swinney has he moves forward is sustaining that success. The way you become legendary is winning multiple championships the way Nick Saban and Urban Meyer have been able to do. Note that Bob Stoops couldn’t do it. Mack Brown couldn’t do it. Jimbo Fisher hasn’t done it. Jim Tressel couldn’t do it. Steve Spurrier couldn’t do it. Lou Holtz couldn’t do it. It’s not easy. Winning a championship to begin with isn’t easy, but Swinney has about as much momentum going forward as I’ve ever seen and it’ll be interesting going forward to see how much he goes after a historical legacy. He’s a great head football coach. Is he an all-time great?

#2 – Urban Meyer – Ohio State

Speaking of all-time greats……it’s one thing for Dabo Swinney to pass up Danny Ford as Clemson’s best coach of all time. It’s quite another for Urban Meyer to be on pace to make people forget about the legendary Woody Hayes. Meyer has been in Columbus for 5 seasons guiding the Buckeyes after he left a Florida Gators program he won two national championships with. In those 5 seasons, Ohio St. is 61-6 including 3 perfect Big 10 seasons, one perfect season, a national championship, 5 Big 10 division titles and one outright Big 10 championship. In Woody Hayes’s first 5 seasons the Buckeyes were 33-11-2 with one national championship and 2 Big 10 titles. It’s comparable but I’d say Meyer has Woody. It’s hard to knock Meyer’s success. It’s incredible and he’s VERY DESERVING of being #2 on this list. Ohio St. is a machine at this point and there isn’t a team in America that out-recruits Ohio St. other than Alabama, and even then I’d say the Buckeyes Tide have equal talent. The one knock I have on Meyer is that I think he ran from Saban when Saban took over Alabama. I think this is incredible strategy by Meyer, but it also shows to me why you can never put Meyer ahead of Nick Saban unless Meyer just hammers him head-to-head 3-4 times in national championship games. Meyer took over Florida in 2005. Saban’s last year at LSU was 2004 and remember that Saban won a national title in Baton Rouge in 2003. So Meyer came into Florida without Saban at Alabama and the Mad Hatter at LSU. Fullmer goes 5-6 at Tennessee in 2005 and Mark Richt is in Georgia, but he’s not much of a problem for Meyer. Kentucky & Vanderbilt aren’t issues and South Carolina had just hired Steve Spurrier and it’ll take the Ol Ball Coach a little bit of time to get the Gamecocks rolling. Meyer recruits arguably the greatest college football player in history (Tim Tebow) and wins national championships in 2006 and 2008. Saban comes back to Alabama in 2007. Meyer couldn’t have known this. It takes Saban a season to get Alabama rolling but in Year 2, Saban has the Tide at 12-0 and playing for an SEC championship. Tebow is a junior at this time and in the SEC Championship game, Florida beats Alabama 31-20 although Alabama held a 20-17 lead going into the 4th quarter. In 2009, Timmy Tebow is a senior and Florida is expected to win a national championship giving Tebow 3 in 4 years. Florida goes 12-0, but so does Alabama. They meet in the SEC Championship game and instead of Tebow willing Florida to another win, Alabama DESTROYS Florida 32-13 on their way to Saban’s first national title with the Tide. Without Tebow in 2010, Florida slides to 8-5 and takes another beating at the hands of Alabama 31-6 in regular season play. Urban leaves Florida citing health reasons or family reasons or some combination of the two. It’s suspect timing because Alabama would win 2 of the next 3 national championship games with Auburn winning the other. Of course, a year later Urban Meyer takes over the Ohio State team which is conveniently in a conference without Nick Saban.

It’s an interesting story and probably 100% conjecture although it does make some sense. The irony of course is that Meyer comes to the Big 10 East where in 2012, the conference is in turmoil so to speak. Michigan is somewhat of a joke now that they’ve gone through the Rich Rodriguez era and Brady Hoke is screwing up. Penn State is a complete mess due to the Joe Paterno/Jerry Sandusky scandal that is erupting. Bo Pellini can’t get Nebraska figured out and Ohio St. finds itself in the Big 10 Leaders division with Indiana, Illinois & Purdue! Sure Wisconsin is around, but as good as the Badgers are, Meyer has to know that Wisconsin could NEVER keep up with the influx of talent to Columbus with how Meyer recruits. The problem is that it doesn’t stay that way. Two years later the Big 10 welcomes in Maryland & Rutgers and the divisions change. Michigan & Michigan St. come over to the Big 10 East while Wisconsin changes to the Big 10 West. Penn St. rights the ship quick with Bill O’Brien before turning it over to James Franklin. Mark Dantonio is now in the same division as Meyer and lo and behold, Michigan brings in Jim Harbaugh! The Big 10 Leaders division goes from being a laughing stock division that Ohio St. could have dominated for decades to the Big 10 East which is now arguably the most difficult division to play in with 4 of the best head coaches in all of college football.

This bites Meyer a bit. Ohio St. was ineligible for postseason play in 2012, but in 2013 Ohio St. loses the Big 10 championship to Mark Dantonio and Michigan State. In 2014 Ohio St. does manage to win the national championship in the first ever football playoff scenario beating Alabama 42-35 in the semifinals before beating Oregon, but in 2015 they miss the Big 10 title game because of a tie-breaker loss to Michigan St. and last year they miss the Big 10 title game again due to a tie-breaker loss to Penn State! They get to the playoffs last season, but are humiliated by Clemson 31-0 in the semifinal game. Luckily Ohio St. didn’t draw Alabama because shades of 2008-2009 come to mind if that scenario played out again. Saban would have remembered and the outcome for Ohio St., like it was for Florida, wouldn’t have been pretty. I write all of this not to cast doubt on Meyer’s legitimacy. He’s an all-time great legendary coach. Everyone agrees, but I think an overlooked aspect of Meyer’s career is that he’s been fairly strategic in trying to put himself into the best place possible. You can’t knock him on that. Opportunity doesn’t come often and he’s taken advantage of that opportunity by helping it with putting himself in the right situations. That and winning Tebow from Mike Shula during Tebow’s recruitment has done wonders for Meyer’s status.

#1 – Nick Saban – Alabama

G.O.A.T! He’ll eventually tie or pass Bear Bryant’s record of 6 national championships. Saban already has 5 and to be honest he’s probably the greatest coach in Alabama and LSU history. Hell he might be the greatest coach in Michigan State history as well! Saban has been at Alabama now for 10 seasons. In those 10 seasons he’s gone 119-19! The man has averaged 12 wins per season for a decade! He’s won 4 national championships, 6 SEC Championships, 8 SEC West championships and has finished ranked in the AP top-10 for the last 9 consecutive seasons! This doesn’t even account for the national championship he won at LSU, the SEC championship he won at LSU or the 3 SEC West titles he won at LSU. Saban has also won 8 bowl games in this 10 years in Tuscaloosa. Nobody can out-recruit the Tide & Saban. He deals with a lot of coordinator turnover because everyone wants his coordinators to take over their teams! Jim McElwain was his OC. Now he’s the HC at Florida! Kirby Smart was his DC. Now he’s the HC at Georgia! Lane Kiffin was a former HC for USC, Tennessee and the Oakland Raiders and spent the last few seasons as Saban’s OC! Mark Dantonio was on Saban’s staff for 5 years at Michigan St. and he’s now the HC at Michigan State! Jimbo Fisher was on Saban’s staff at LSU. He’s the HC now at Florida State! The one constant is Nick Saban himself. We could go on and on about his accolades but they’ll all point to the same conclusion. Nick Saban is the best football coach in college football right now. He’s also the greatest college football coach to ever live.

May 27, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Alabama, Big 10, Big XII, Clemson, Coaching, Florida, Florida St., Louisville, Michigan, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Pac 12, Rankings, SEC, Stanford, Washington | Leave a comment