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RANKING POWER-65 COLLEGE COACHES – #39 to #30

Here are the links for the first two installments:

#50 – #65
#49-#40

if you need to catch up. Today we hit the thirties and I think the rankings start to become quite a bit more interesting as we start to hit some pretty big names in the coaching world. Let’s get to it.

#39 – P.J. Fleck – Minnesota

Yeah I’m rowing the boat! It’s difficult to argue Fleck’s track record as a first time head coach at Western Michigan. In his first year he led the Broncos to an 1-11 season. By his 4th year, WMU finished with a perfect 13-0 season before losing to Wisconsin in the Cotton Bowl 24-16. Western finished 29-11 (20-4) in Fleck’s last 3 years as HC. Fleck brings an excitement to Minnesota that Gophers fans haven’t experienced since Murray Warmath led Minnesota to back-to-back Rose Bowls in 1960-1961! You probably don’t even remember those teams unless you were born in the 1940s or early 1950s! It’s hard to argue with his success, but Fleck faces a completely different animal in the Big 10. Iowa, Nebraska & Wisconsin aren’t Ball St., Kent St. and Bowling Green. It’ll be interesting to see if Fleck can raise the ceiling for Gopher football.

#38 – Tom Herman – Texas

The hottest coaching prospect last season who happened to have deep roots in Texas wound up as the new HC for the Longhorns after the university had had enough of Charlie Strong’s leadership. As with Fleck, it’s almost impossible to deny Herman’s track record. He was Urban Meyer’s OC at Ohio State before jumping to the head coaching job at Houston where in his first season, Herman led the Cougars to a 13-1 record and a final ranking inside the top-10! I think Herman is a better fit within the Texas culture than Strong was and he’ll do well. He’s a good solid coach that connects with players and it won’t be long before he’s tearing it up on the recruiting trail once he gets the foundation of the program built. As with Fleck, the road will be a bit tougher. Playing in the American isn’t the Big XII and instead of Tulane, East Carolina and Memphis, Herman will go up against Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., TCU, Baylor and Kansas State.

#37 – Willie Taggart – Oregon

Taggart was an interesting hire for Oregon, but once it was known that Chip Kelly wasn’t coming back to college football, the Ducks had to move on and all Taggart has done as his time as a college football coach is build winners. Taggart played prep ball in Florida and then played his college ball at Western Kentucky where he was an assistant for 8 years before taking the RB coaching job at Stanford under Jim Harbaugh. From there he came back to his alma mater to be HC. He inherited a WKU team that went 0-12 the year before Taggart arrived, but in Taggart’s 2nd year, he had WKU at 7-5. In his 3rd and final year he had WKU bowling. Taggart left WKU to return to his home state of Florida and coach USF where he took over a Bulls team that went 3-9 before he arrived. By year 4 the Bulls were 11-2. Now he is going to attempt to bring Oregon back to the heights reached by Chip Kelly. Unlike Herman & Fleck above, Taggart has hit the recruiting trail hard and it is paying off early. It’ll be interesting to see how Taggart does at an elite program with massive resources. His track record speaks for itself.

#36 – Bret Bielema – Arkansas

The decision to leave Wisconsin for Arkansas was an interesting one for Bielema a few years ago and after the Hogs 2016 campaign, the shine is off of Arkansas’s head coach. Bielema took over a program that was in pretty bad shape after a year of John Smith as HC coming off the Bobby Petrino scandal. Bielema’s first year wasn’t pretty as Arkansas went 3-9 without a win in conference play, but by year 3 (2015), Arkansas 8-5 (5-3) and poised to potentially step into the role of challenger to Alabama in the SEC West. It wasn’t meant to be as Arkansas regressed last season to 7-6 (3-5) with a bowl loss. The 7-6 isn’t completely awful, but the losses were terrible. Arkansas was blown out in all of their losses except a close loss to Missouri which itself was inexcusable. I’m not completely sold on Bielema’s style of offense working in the SEC West, and truth be told, the worst thing for Bielema is having to live up the incredible expectations Bobby Petrino set when he was in Fayetteville. LSU has been dealing with a similar situation after Nick Saban took the Tigers to top-5 status.

#35 – Gary Andersen – Oregon State

Andersen is one of my favorite head coaches in college football and Oregon St. is one of my favorite teams. The two coming together was great for me as I think college football is better when Oregon State is relevant. That’s probably just me, but so what! It’s interesting that I ended up with Bielema and Andersen together as both left Wisconsin for other jobs. Andersen is a helluva head coach. He turned Utah State into an 11-win team with a WAC championship in 4 season. He took Wisconsin to a Big 10 West title in his 2nd year. When Mike Riley left Oregon St. for Nebraska, their was quite a bit of uncertainty surrounding the Beavers program. Andersen came in and struggled his first year going 2-10 (0-9) but in his 2nd season last year, the Beavers improved to 4-8 (3-6) with conference wins over California, Arizona and hated rival Oregon! The scoring defense and scoring offense were also improved by 7 points each. The Pac 12 North is getting scary good with Chris Petersen doing work at Washington, Mike Leach winning at Washington St. and Willie Taggart taking over at Oregon, but something tells me Andersen is going to make life hard for those guys.

#34 – Justin Fuente – Virginia Tech

Absolutely love what Fuente did with the Hokies last season. Fuente had a lot of success at Memphis before taking the Virginia Tech job, but he’s been nothing but spades since landing in Blacksburg. Keeping Bud Foster on staff as DC was a genius move and speaks volumes as to the kind of man Foster is. Fuente also brought a run heavy attack to Virginia Tech which I think works in their favor. The Hokies have always been known under Bud Foster for having a very intimidating, turnover causing, very fast defense that hits exceptionally hard. Keeping those guys fresh and healthy by dominating time of possession is outstanding strategy that Fuente used last year to win the ACC Coastal in his first season where VT finished the year 10-4 and ranked #16 in the AP. Fuente is making deep strides in recruiting already and once the talent is assembled, Virginia Tech is going to be extremely difficult to handle.

#33 – Hugh Freeze – Mississippi

Like Bielema, the shine has dulled a bit on Freeze’s tenure in Oxford. After improving by a win each year for 3 straight years after a 7-6 campaign in 2012, Freeze and the Rebels took a tremendous step back last season finishing 5-7 (2-6). The overall records can also be a bit misleading as Freeze’s 5-year record in SEC play is not even .500 at 19-21. The bigger problem is the controversy surrounding the Ole Miss program and the NCAA violations. Ole Miss has taken a hit in recruiting already and if recruiting dries up for the Rebels then that spells disaster in arguably the most competitive division in all of college football. There is no question that Freeze can make Ole Miss great. He proved that in 2015, but how he deals with a potential fall out from these mistakes will be telling. The best news for Freeze at this point is that he’s still head coach and that QB Shea Patterson decided to stick around. With no bowl eligibility this season, Ole Miss should be playing like a teach with a chip on their shoulder.

#32 – Mike MacInytre – Colorado

You knew it was only a matter of time before Coach Mac had Colorado on the cusp of greatness. When MacIntyre got his first job as a HC at San Jose State, he finished 1-12 (0-8) in his first season as the Spartans leader. In year 3, San Jose St. went 10-2 (5-1) and beat Bowling Green in the Military Bowl! MacIntyre used that success to grab the Colorado job and what he did in Year 4 in Boulder almost defies reality. The Colorado rebuild wasn’t going to be easy. Not by a long shot. MacIntyre’s first 3 years as HC witnessed Colorado post a combined record of 10-27 with a conference record of 2-25!!!! Those were 3 straight last place finishes in the Pac 12 South! Last season, MacIntyre broke though HUGE as Colorado went 10-4 (8-1), won the Pac 12 South and drew Oklahoma St. in the Alamo Bowl. The Buffs posted wins over Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, Arizona, Utah, and Washington State! It was a BANNER year that was dampened a bit by losing 41-10 to Washington in the Pac 12 championship and 38-8 to Oklahoma St. in the Alamo Bowl. Was the breakthrough real, or did Coach Mac take advantage of an unusually weak Pac 12? Oregon was way down. UCLA was down. Arizona St. & Arizona were down. They beat Stanford 10-5 in an ugly contest and drew Utah & Washington St. in Boulder. I’m betting on MacIntyre. I think Colorado is good, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Buffaloes regressed just a bit in 2017.

#31 – Larry Fedora – North Carolina

This feels low considering it was just two years ago that Fedora led the Tar Heels to an 11-3 (8-0) record that saw the UNC win the ACC Coastal relatively easy. A deeper look though and you come away disappointed just a bit. That 2015 season was smoke and mirrors as UNC finished the regular season 11-1 but didn’t play a ranked opponent all season. They lost to Clemson in the ACC Championship game and then lost to Baylor in the Russell Athletic Bowl. Last season, the Coastal was again ripe for the taking but UNC gags at home to NC State in the season finale 28-21 and loses to Duke in Durham two weeks before 28-27! That seems ridiculous when you consider just how much offensive firepower the Heels had last season. Fedora has had some good seasons in Chapel Hill but no great ones and that task is going to get tougher and tougher now that Virginia Tech is in seemingly good hands with Justin Fuente and Miami-FL now has one of the best coaches in all of college football in Mark Richt. I really like Fedora and believe he can climb the rankings, but at this point it seems as if UNC has missed a couple of opportunities.

#30 – Mike Riley – Nebraska

The problem with Nebraska is that haven’t found anyone that can take the program to the heights that Tom Osborne did. Frank Solich wasn’t horrible actually and had a few top-10 squads in Lincoln, but not enough big time wins against bit time teams. The hiring of Bill Callahan was a disaster and Bo Pelini couldn’t quite get Nebraska past the 9-4/10-4 mark. Now Mike Riley gets his chance. Riley did wonderful things at Oregon St., and I was a bit surprised that he took the Cornhuskers job, but Oregon St. isn’t Nebraska and Riley now has every resource available to him. In his first season Nebraska wasn’t great at 6-7 (3-5) but last year Riley improved to 9-4 (6-3) with a perfect 7-0 record at home. Nebraska was even ranked #7 in the nation at one point after starting 7-0! It wouldn’t last as Nebraska would go on to lose games to Iowa, Ohio St., Wisconsin & Tennessee, but the season was a win. Riley is making big strides in recruiting and I think he’s putting an emphasis on the Black Shirts which is getting back to Nebraska football.

May 17, 2017 Posted by | ACC, Arkansas, Big 10, Big XII, Coaching, Colorado, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oregon, Oregon St., Pac 12, Rankings, SEC, Texas, Virginia Tech | 2 Comments

NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25 – 2016 WEEK 9

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope If it was possible for Alabama to look better by not playing a game then it happened this weekend as Michigan, Clemson, Washington, Louisville & Ohio State all had tough times despite all five teams pulling out victories. One important development while the Tide was resting is the Auburn 11-point win over Ole Miss in Oxford. Auburn isn’t going away and is getting better week by week. All of a sudden, Alabama looks like it has its two toughest tests of the year still to come when they take on LSU and an excellent Auburn team.
#2 Computer Hope For the first time all season a RB got off against Michigan as Spartans RB LJ Scott got loose for 139 yards & a TD on 22 carries. Michigan has been dominant on the ground all season long but the Michigan St. front-7 did a good job containing the Wolverines running attack. Anytime you can go into East Lansing & pull of a 9-point win you have to be pleased. This is Michigan’s first win against Sparty in 4-years with Michigan being 2-7 in their last 9. This was Michigan St.’s 6th straight loss! Good grief what has happened?
#3 Computer Hope There is a lot of talk about Clemson making this huge rally, but the Tigers were never that far out of the lead against Florida State. It looks big because the Tigers outscored the Noles 17-6 in the 4th quarter, but it was 28-20 FSU going into the 4th. Since 2012, Dabo Swinney is 14-2 in games decided by 7-point or less! That’s an incredible statistic when you think about how regression should take hold. At some point it doesn’t point to luck but rather that Swinney is a tremendous coach. Nick Saban’s record in that time: 9-5.
#4 Computer Hope Going into Utah & getting a 31-24 win is a huge get for the Huskies unless you believe that Utah isn’t a good team & Washington should have won by more than 7. Frankly, I don’t know where I stand on this one. Utah is 7-2 which is solid & losing by 7 to UW is impressive to me. On the other hand, who has Utah beat? UCLA without Josh Rosen? Beating USC before they figured things out? Beating BYU? I like the punishing way Utah plays football so I think it’s a solid win but when you look at resumes, UW needed a bit more.
#5 Computer Hope Speaking of resumes, Louisville needed Lamar Jackson to turn into Superman to escape Charlottesville with a 32-25 win over a Virginia team that currently sits at 2-6! The Cardinals need to be really careful from this point because they need a lot of style points to potentially make the playoffs as an 11-1 team. All I’m seeing now is a team that is living off a win over Florida State, but who has struggled against Virginia & Duke! Louisville should win out, but they need to beat teams by 25-40 points a game instead of seven!
#6 Computer Hope Beating New Mexico State 52-10 was a mere formality for the Aggies. Given the way Louisville & Ohio State has been playing recently, you’d have to think that Texas A&M is the likely 1-loss team to gain admission to the 4-team playoff given their only loss is a road loss to Alabama. The win over Auburn looks better and better while beating Arkansas by 21 points is signficant. When everyone is healthy & things are falling right on defense, this is arguably the 2nd best team in the nation at the moment. They shouldn’t lose again.
#7 Computer Hope Kamryn Pettway had his best game of the season, torching the Rebels defense for 236 rushing yards and a score on 30 carries. In Auburn’s last 3 games, Pettway has rushed for 597yds/6TD (6.2ypc) all of them being victories. Beating Ole Miss 40-29 was Auburn’s last big hurdle before traveling to Tuscaloosa for the Iron Bowl. Keep in mind that if Texas A&M loses to LSU and Auburn beats Alabama, then Auburn would win the SEC West! I’m not sure that happens, but there isn’t a team hotter than War Eagle at the moment.
#8 Computer Hope Northwestern is proving to be an exceptionally feisty team, but 24-20 in Columbus? The Buckeyes have to do better than that. Nothing really stands out to be honest. You have to be impressed with the Wildcats here who have come a long way from the beginning of the season when they opened with back-to-back losses against Western Michigan and Illinois State. The Buckeyes aren’t out of the woods either. This week they have Nebraska with Michigan St. and Michigan still waiting. They need to figure things out quickly.
#9 Computer Hope The Badgers had to withstand a furious Nebraska comeback and take the game into OT, but the Badgers defense was able to stiffen up resulting in a 23-17 win over an undefeated Nebraska squad. Wisconsin still needs Nebraska to lose another game in order to win the Big 10 West, but the Cornhuskers travel to Columbus to take on the Buckeyes which should get the job done. The Badgers can’t overlook Northwestern next week in Evanston. The Wildcats have suddenly become a difficult team to manage so game faces on!
#10 Computer Hope Like Alabama, LSU was on a bye before the enormous SEC showdown. I think it’s really interesting that Nick Saban has referred to LSU as an undefeated team considering the Tigers haven’t lost since Ed Orgeron took over for Les Miles. To be fair, Orgeron has played in Baton Rouge for 3 games against Missouri, Southern Miss & Ole Miss, but 3-0 is better than 0-3! LSU can still win the SEC West if they win out. It’s amazing that despite all the hype around Alabama, there are still 4 teams in the West that could win it!
#11 Computer Hope THEY CAME THIS CLOSE!!! Right now Nebraska has to forget the 23-17 loss to Wisconsin and move on to Ohio State. It’s not going to get easier in Ohio Stadium, but I think the Cornhuskers proved they can stay with anyone in the Big 10. Nebraska still has a shot for a fantastic season. If they beat Ohio State they should be able to win out & get to 11-1. That mean they are likely facing an 11-1/12-0 Michigan team in the Big 10 championship. A win there & it’s playoff time. A loss and they still probably go to the Rose Bowl.
#12 Computer Hope I think there are a few ways to read the Utah/Washington game, but I think Washington is an ELITE team and Utah did a good job playing its game and imposing their will on a Huskies squad that has been utterly dominant all year long. The Utes will probably get a shot at revenge if they can walk into Boulder and beat Colorado in their season finale. At this point I don’t think Utah can crash the playoff party but they could play HUGE spoiler by winning the Pac 12. It would take UW out of the playoffs & out of the Rose Bowl.
#13 Computer Hope The Trojans have really started to figure things out. The 45-24 win last Thursday over California wasn’t insignificant. The Bears have played spoiler a couple of times this year & can put up quite a few points. USC gave Cal their first blowout loss of the season & held the Bears to their lowest scoring output of 2016. Sam Darnold once again was outstanding at QB with 5TD passes giving him 16 in his last 4 games! USC could still win the Pac 12 South. They need Colorado & Utah to each lose another game but it’s possible.
#14 Computer Hope A completely gift of a ranking considering Tennessee just lost to South Carolina. Hard to rank the Vols lower considering they beat Florida fairly easily early on in the season but that win is going to mean less and less as time passes. It has to be brutal in Knoxville right now. If Butch Jones can’t win with the current roster then it’s very difficult to see him getting it done in the next few years. Maybe 4 years isn’t enough but Tennessee at worst this season should have won the SEC East and that is all but a lost possibility now.
#15 Computer Hope QB Luke Del Rio played better against Georgia than he did against Missouri which is a good sign going forward for the Gators, but Florida’s defense is becoming downright disgusting! Florida held Georgia to 21 yards rushing on 19 carries. UGA managed just 8 first downs and less than 150 total yards in UF’s 24-10 victory. Florida now ranks 2nd in scoring defense, 9th in rush defense, 2nd in pass defense & 2nd in total defense. They’ll win the SEC East and then get murdered for the 2nd straight year by the Crimson Tide.
#16 Computer Hope Colorado finally had a bye week this past Saturday after 8 straight weekends where they ended 6-2. Even the most fervent Colorado fan might not have seen the breakout the Buffs are having this season under Coach Mac. With 3 homes games left in the next 4 and their lone road game coming against a terrible Arizona team, Colorado should have their sights set on 10-2 and a Pac 12 South championship. The playoffs are probably out of the picture but if Colorado could see the Rose Bowl if Washington goes undefeated.
#17 Computer Hope The Hogs were on a bye this past week which gave them time to lick their wounds after a soul crushing 56-3 hammering at the hands of Auburn. I’m not going to get too critical of Arkansas for the loss. Auburn might very well wind up in the playoffs. The Razorbacks have losses to Auburn, Alabama and Texas A&M. So would probably 110 other teams who play FBS football. At this point I think a 10-win season would do wonders for HC Bielema & his staff. They’ll have to win out & win the bowl, but they have the schedule to do it.
#18 Computer Hope You really can’t say enough about how much 1st year HC Justin Fuente has improved the Hokies offense. Virginia Tech sits at 6-2 after a FANTASTIC 39-36 win at PITT this past week & offensively they are averaging 36.3PPG. It sounds absurd but the Hokies haven’t averaged that many points per game since 2000 when they finished 11-1 & ranked #6 in the final poll. VT is probably better than #18 but the loss to Syracuse & Tennessee look rough. They should win out & get to 10-2. Then the fun starts when they play Clemson.
#19 Computer Hope The Tar Heels are coming off a by sitting at 6-2 with a schedule they should win out with. Unfortunately for North Carolina, their one loss came to Virginia Tech meaning they wouldn’t win the ACC Coastal unless Va Tech lost again which doesn’t look likely. At this point UNC could get another 11 wins season assuming they win out & get a bowl win. That would be back-to-back 11-win seasons for Larry Fedora and the Tar Heels have a lot coming back next season especially if Mitch Trubisky & Elijah Hood stick around.
#20 Computer Hope Dalvin Cook tried his best but even he wasn’t good enough to beat Clemson by himself as FSU fell to the Tigers 37-34. Florida St. isn’t completely out of the woods just yet. They still have road games against NC State & Syracuse combined with a season finale against Florida who has a defense that should be rowdy. Hard to complain about the Noles at this point. They have losses to Louisville, Clemson & North Carolina. There is no more room for error though. A season in which FSU didn’t win 10 games would be disappointing.
#21 Computer Hope The Cougars showed incredible resiliency against Oregon St. last week as they came back from being down 24-6 at halftime on the road to finishing the game with a 35-31 win which gave Wazzou their 6th straight win & their 3rd straight road win. QB Luke Falk was outstanding throwing for 415yds/5TD. Washington St. now gets back-to-back home games against Arizona & California meaning they should be 8-2 when traveling to Colorado. They are winning close but they are winning and that is all that matters right now.
#22 Computer Hope The good news is that Oklahoma finally looked like Oklahoma in a 56-3 win this past weekend. The bad news is that they did it against Kansas so it’s like it never really happened. With Baylor & West Virginia losing games, Oklahoma is the last undefeated team in conference play. It seems like a disappointing season because of the early losses to Ohio St. & Houston, but if Oklahoma wins out they’ll finish 11-2 as Big XII Champions, on a 10-game winning streak and likely top-5/top-7 ranking. That’s nothing to be ashamed of!
#23 Computer Hope It took Penn St. a half to get it going against Purdue, but the Nittany Lions poured it on the Boilermakers, outscoring them 45-7 in the 2nd half en route to a 62-24 victory. RB Saquon Barkley was unstoppable leading PSU with 207 yards rushing and also receiving with 70 yards. QB Trace McSorley looked very efficient and the Penn St. defense looked loose. They held Purdue to 46 rushing yards & forced 4 turnovers. The difference to me is Penn St.’s defense the last couple of weeks. The Lions should win out & get to 10-2.
#24 Computer Hope The 37-20 win over West Virginia was impressive and it’s good to remember that if the refs would have screwed OK State against Central Michigan, the Cowboys would be sitting at 7-1 with their only loss coming at Baylor by 11 points. Keep in mind that Oklahoma St. isn’t beating cupcakes either. They have wins over Pittsburgh, West Virginia and Texas. The schedule is rough over the next 4 weeks including a road finale in Norman that could very well be for the Big XII championship. This team is a lot better than most think.
#25 Computer Hope West Virginia has won this year by defending the pass exceptionally well in a pass happy league & avoiding bad turnover margins. In their 37-20 loss to Oklahoma St., Cowboys QB Mason Rudolph went 26/36 for 273yds/3TD. WR James Washington was a big play machine & WVU committed 3 turnovers while getting ZERO take aways. It’s extremely hard to win in Stillwater playing like that. WVU can still finish 11-1 and win the Big XII but they need Oklahoma St. to lose another game. Is 11-1 enough for playoff discussion?

DROPPING OUT

#22 BAYLOR: Even if it was by just one point, losing at Texas pretty much finishes Baylor’s season. I suppose the Bears could still finish 11-1 and win the Big XII outright, but they could also lose out and finish 6-6 and I wouldn’t be surprised.

#24 MISSISSIPPI: It’s hard for me to rank Ole Miss when the Rebels are 3-5. Not only that but they’ve lost 3 straight games and 4 of their last 6. On the other hand, their 5 losses have come against Florida State, Alabama, Arkansas, LSU & Auburn. Ole Miss still has Texas A&M on the schedule so they could be looking at a 6-6 regular season, but if you add A&M to the list of losses, how many teams could do better than 6-6 with the schedule they’ve played? The big letdown in Oxford is the defense. Last year Ole Miss allowed 22.6PPG. This season that number has catapulted to 32.5! Giving up an extra 10PPG will cause quite a few more losses.

November 3, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Baylor, Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Louisville, LSU, Michigan, Mississippi, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Penn St., Power 25, Tennessee, Texas AM, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St., Week 9, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2016 NCAA FOOTBALL WEEK 9 – BIG GAMES

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope This might be our first legitimate game that will determine a playoff team. If Clemson can get by Florida St. this weekend then the Tigers have an easy road ahead which should portend to a 12-0 season & I don’t expect them to have trouble in the ACC Championship. A loss for the Seminoles has consequences too. It would mean a possible 9-4 season is a possibility meaning FSU’s last 4 seasons could be: 14-0, 13-1, 10-3 and now 9-4. I don’t think that’s a trend Jimbo Fisher wants to keep seeing. Computer Hope
Computer Hope To be honest I don’t think Utah has ANY IDEA what is in store for them this weekend when the Huskies come to town. If recent trends are any indication then the Utes might lose by 30+. Last week Washington beat Oregon St. 41-17. Two weeks ago Utah beat Oregon St. 19-14. Last week Utah gave up over 500 total yards & 45 points to UCLA. Washington’s offense can run circles around what the Bruins can do. Utah certainly needs the respect a win here would give them, but I think the task is too tough. Computer Hope
Computer Hope This should be a great Big 10 West game with a lot on the line for Nebraska. The once proud & storied program has definitely not seen the heights it achieved in the 1990s which is 20 years ago. A win in Madison could not only drive the Cornhuskers to 8-0, but it would certainly legitimize the team especially if they beat the Badgers by more than 7 which is by how many points both Michigan and Ohio St. beat Wisconsin. It would also set up a tremendous game between Nebraska & Ohio St. next week! Computer Hope
Computer Hope West Virginia has been proving how good they are the last couple of weeks with a dominant defensive win in Lubbock over Texas Tech & then last week’s romp of TCU, but there is still something impressive about going into Stillwater & getting a win. Keep this in mind if you are hoping WVU can get into the playoffs. Earlier in the year Central Michigan went into Stillwater and beat the Cowboys. If West Virginia is for real, this game shouldn’t be anything other than a minor speed bump to 12-0. Computer Hope
Computer Hope It’s not Alabama and it’s not even in Athens, but finally Florida plays AND finally they play someone of merit! The Gators are really hoping Luke Del Rio plays better in his 2nd game back from injury because last week against Missouri he was awful. Florida’s defense is outstanding & the running game did a great job against Mizzou last week, but Del Rio can’t throw 3 picks and expect to beat LSU. Florida can probably get by UGA, but they need avoid that 2nd SEC loss if they want to win the SEC East. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Ole Miss’ season is turning into a dumpster fire although you can hardly blame them given the schedule they’ve played, but this is a huge opportunity for the Rebels to get a win over a quality opponent. Unfortunately I’m not sure it is going to happen. Auburn is playing as well as anyone in the country! If you had to rank the SEC teams on how they are playing right now, I’d have War Eagle at #2 behind Alabama. Speaking of which, the Iron Bowl is going to be amazing if Auburn keeps winning! Computer Hope
Computer Hope You can certainly make an argument that you can throw out the records when it comes to a rivalry game, but in this case you can certainly keep them in! Michigan St. is having a terrible season while Michigan is making a good case for being the best team in the nation. Throw in the revenge factor for the Wolverines after losing in Ann Arbor last season & you have a recipe for a 59-3 blowout for the Maize and Blue. A bigger question might be what in the world has happened to Michigan St.!? Computer Hope
Computer Hope I really like this game. On the one hand I think it’s a good opportunity for Texas to get a solid road win & the Longhorns have been playing better in Austin than on the road. It probably doesn’t matter at this point but Charlie Strong needs all the help he can get. On the other hand this is a good opportunity for Baylor to bolster its resume a bit. No, Texas isn’t a top-20 team, but they do play physical football and it’ll be a good test for Baylor and a chance to get a valuable conference road win. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Virginia Tech can lose this game and still win the ACC Coastal by virtue of having beaten North Carolina, but the even better question might be is whether or not Pittsburgh can win the Coastal if they manage to upset the Hokies!? The answer to that question is probably not because Virginia Tech and North Carolina have easy ACC schedules from this point forward while Pittsburgh has road games against Miami-FL and Clemson after they play VA Tech. Pittsburgh is better than their record. Tough year. Computer Hope
Computer Hope CATHOLICS v. CONVICTS…..well….not really. This is hardly the 1980s when this matchup would have been bananas! Notre Dame is coming into this one 2-5 without a meaningful win to speak of and really no football identity. Miami-FL has lost 3 straight including last week’s 37-16 humiliation in Blacksburg! Jimmy Johnson would have allowed for that when he was in Coral Gables! That said, this is still a cool rivalry game that is fun to watch if only because you are cheering the jerseys! Both need wins badly! Computer Hope

October 28, 2016 Posted by | Auburn, Baylor, Big Games, Clemson, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Miami-FL, Michigan, Michigan St., Mississippi, Must See Games, NCAA, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Oklahoma St., Pittsburgh, Texas, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Week 9, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25 – 2016 WEEK 8

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Texas A&M took a 14-13 lead early in the 3rd quarter but the Tide scored 20 unanswered to route the Aggies 33-14 in convincing fashion. People keep looking for that game that Alabama barely pulls through en route to a championship because teams usually have one game where they need a little help from Lady Luck, but I’m not sure that is coming for Alabama. They are THAT MUCH better than everyone else. Their close call might have been the game against Ole Miss, but still. This is the best Alabama team I’ve seen.
#2 Computer Hope It’s hard to do comparisons but Michigan beat Penn St. 49-10 and Penn St. just finished beating Ohio State! If there is a team that could possibly stop Alabama, it’s the Wolverines and their defense which continues to be incredible. You know the standards are high when a 41-8 route of Illinois is almost seen as a disappointment. QB Wilton Speight doesn’t beat himself & this is a brutally punishing rushing offense. Michigan ran the ball 59 times against Illinois using 14 different players. I think Harbaugh ran it once!
#3 Computer Hope I’ve been trying to watch as much Washington football as I can and what is amazing about this team is the speed. Everyone is fast especially the defense & skill players. UW put a beating on Oregon St. 41-17 but you can see that Chris Petersen is resting the players now. The Huskies were up 31-0 at halftime and at this point it’s about keeping the team healthy. If there are any doubters left, Washington is going to put them to rest over their remaining five games. I’d expect Petersen to understand that style points will matter.
#4 Computer Hope Clemson had an interesting bye week. On the one hand the wins over Auburn & Louisville keep looking better and better. On the other hand, Auburn isn’t the same team Clemson beat opening week and Louisville just demolished an NC State team 54-13 that should have beaten Clemson the week prior. The Tigers got a week off before going down to Tallahassee to face Florida State. If they can convincingly beat the Noles, nothing really stands in their way from 12-0 and a shot at the ACC Championship. They keep winning.
#5 Computer Hope GOOD GRIEF! Louisville put the HAMMER down on NC State 54-13 and looked like the Cardinals team we thought we saw earlier in the year before losing to Clemson and barely getting by Duke. Louisville actually led 44-0 at halftime! Louisville held NC State to 9 first downs & 14 yards rushing while forcing 3 turnovers. It wasn’t a flawless game offensively for the Cardinals but the defense showed up in a big way. NC State might have been tired after playing Notre Dame & Clemson before, but this was an impressive win.
#6 Computer Hope The 33-14 final looks bad but A&M had quite a bit of momentum in the game until Alabama DL Jonathan Allen recovered a fumble and took it 30 yards to the house to put the Tide up 26-14. Giving Alabama that much momentum in their own stadium was too much for the Aggies to overcome so the dream season is likely over. The Aggies aren’t completely out of it yet though. They still get Ole Miss & LSU at home so 11-1 is still on the table. There are a lot worse things than losing to Alabama in Tuscaloosa. They’re alive.
#7 Computer Hope The blocked FG return TD in the 4th quarter that put Penn St. up 24-21 was brutal & the Buckeyes couldn’t find a way to win this time. Ohio St. is fantastic there is no denying that and I’m not trying to say the Big 10 East is equivalent to the SEC West, but I’m not sure it’s that far off either. If Penn St. really does elevate their game then the Big 10 East has Michigan, Michigan St., Penn St. & Ohio St. all playing well. Having to play in Madison the week before didn’t help matters & it’s hard to win 2 HUGE games consecutively.
#8 Computer Hope Gus Malzahn’s offense is beautiful to watch when clicking on all cylinders which is what happened this weekend against Arkansas as War Eagle to the Hogs to the woodshed & spanked them 56-3! Forget the fact that Auburn ran for almost 600yds & 7TD! How about the defensive effort by the Tigers in holding Arkansas to 25 rushing yards on 31 attempts! Before Auburn, Arkansas averaged 4.3ypc on 42 carries a game! Auburn completely dictated the pace of this game & they are proving to have an incredible defense.
#9 Computer Hope Iowa might not be last year’s version but it’s never easy to go into Iowa City and get a win. Wisconsin took care of business beating the Hawkeyes 17-9 in a game the Badgers controlled from the start. Wisconsin held the ball for 37+ minutes & didn’t commit a single penalty. The defense held Iowa to 83 yards rushing & 2 of 13 on 3rd down. The Badgers return home to take on Nebraska & it’s a MUST WIN for Wisconsin if it wants to win the Big 10 West. I think the Badgers win convincingly and head for a 10-2 finish.
#10 Computer Hope At what point does the national media have to start taking West Virginia seriously? They go into Lubbock and hold a Texas Tech team that was averaging 55+PPG to only 17. This is the same Texas Tech offense that dropped 59 on Oklahoma! This past week they welcome TCU into Morgantown and throttle the Frogs 34-10! West Virginia has done a good job defending the pass this season & when you look at the makeup of the secondary it makes sense. They are big & physical. Good pass defense equals a lot of wins in the Big XII.
#11 Computer Hope Welcome back Leonard Fournette! Fournette wasted no time in reminding everyone he’s the best RB in the nation by going for 284 yards & 3TD on only 16 carries against Ole Miss in a LSU 38-21 victory. Fournette went over 300 total yards by tacking on 25 receiving yards! The Bayou Bengals have been a different team under Ed Orgeron going 3-0 with an average victory of 42-13! The schedule stiffens considerably starting this week with Alabama, but note that if LSU wins out, they win the SEC West & likely the SEC!
#12 Computer Hope The Vols got a much deserved bye week after four straight games against Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M and Alabama. Tennessee’s remaining five games should give them no pause to worry and a 10-2 regular season record is in the bag. What Tennessee has to be worried about is Florida figuring a way to win the rest of their games. It seems unlikely given that the Gators still have Arkansas, LSU & Georgia on the schedule, but if Florida wins out, Tennessee actually loses the SEC East to Florida despite beating them 38-28!
#13 Computer Hope The Trojans had a bye week after winning 3 straight games & improving to 4-3. USC has played a lot better since Sam Darnold has been inserted into the starting lineup as QB but the Trojan defense has gotten quite a bit saltier over the last 3 weeks than earlier in the season. USC gets a couple of home games against Oregon & California that should push them to 5-3 before trudging up to Seattle to take on Washington. That’s actually too bad because a loss there probably ends their slim hopes of winning the Pac 12 South.
#14 Computer Hope Sometimes you win ugly and Colorado did just that beating Stanford 10-5 in Pao Alto! If you want an indication of just how far coach Mike MacIntyre has taken this football team, consider that Colorado joined the Pac 10 in 2011 and since that time has played Stanford 3 times. They’ve lost all 3 by the combined score of 138-17! Last year Stanford beat UC 42-10 in Boulder. Now Colorado is winning! When was the last time Colorado beat Stanford? It was 1990 which also happened the be the year Colorado won a national title!
#15 Computer Hope It was an embarrassing loss to Auburn to be sure, but in a game like that the winner was going to be the one who could establish the run and dictate the time of possession. The Razorbacks tried to do this and succeeded at some level because they won the time of possession battle but turnovers & 3rd down conversions did them in. Auburn simply imposed their will & made too many big plays on defense. It happens. I can’t knock Arkansas too much. They have losses to Auburn, Texas A&M and Alabama. What can you do?
#16 Computer Hope RB Joe Williams had a record setting day going for 332 yards & 4TD in Utah’s 52-45 win over UCLA, but the 45 points given up is the problem itself. Josh Rosen didn’t even suit for the Bruins in this one. UCLA rushed for 46 yards & committed 5 turnovers yet Utah squeaked it out by 7 points? A win is a win and 7-1 is 7-1, but Utah is living off a win over USC in Sam Darnold’s first start. This week they host Washington. A victory over the Huskies will get everyone’s attention, but right now the schedule seems like a lot of fluff.
#17 Computer Hope It feels like Florida has barely played this year given that they’ve had 2 off weeks in the last 3 given their bye week and then the rainout game against LSU that they’ll make up. Florida was on their bye week this past week. The schedule starts to get interesting this week with Georgia. Florida’s 5-1 but their 5 wins have come against Kentucky, UMass, North Texas, Vanderbilt & Missouri. It’s the softest 5-1 in the nation! At least Utah has a win over USC. The SEC East is starting to become a punchline and that’s a problem.
#18 Computer Hope Nebraska is being ranked the top-10 by the polls because they are 7-0 and they’re Nebraska, but the past two weeks have seen the Cornhuskers play those DOMINANT Big 10 teams Indiana & Purdue and come away beating both by the combined scored of 54-36. They barely escaped Bloomington with a win & when you look at the schedule, their best win to date might actually be the road win over the Hoosiers! Nebraska finally plays someone this weekend. Let’s see how they do when they walk into Camp Randall Stadium!
#19 Computer Hope Another week another win for the Cougars who took down Arizona St. 37-32 in Tempe which makes it Wazzou’s 5th straight win & improved their record to 5-2. How is this for an amazing statistic. Washington St. ran for -52 yards in the game. They were out rushed by the Sun Devils 113 to -52 yet won! The big news coming out of the game was Mike Leach accusing ASU of stealing signs, but the Cougs still got a win. Washington St. has a real shot at getting to 9-2 before hosting Washington to see who takes the Pac 12 North.
#20 Computer Hope If you like offense then you loved Oklahoma 66-59 win over Texas Tech. Baker Mayfield passed for 545 yards & 7TD while Joe Mixon ran for 263yds & 2TD. For the Red Raiders, Patrick Mahomes passed for 734 yards & 5TD & Texas Tech averaged 5.7 yards per carry. Big picture this was a terrible effort for Oklahoma considering that West Virginia came in the week prior and held Texas Tech to 17 points & 379 total yards. Oklahoma gave up 59 points & 854 total yards! Oklahoma almost gave up 1000 yards on defense! Awful.
#21 Computer Hope It’s really tough to figure out how Virginia Tech can beat North Carolina 34-3 one week. Follow that win with a 31-17 loss to Syracuse and then follow that loss with a 37-16 win over Miami-FL. The Hokies remind me of some of Frank Beamer’s great teams. They ground & pound on offense effectively. QB Jerod Evans is playing extremely well. They get after it on defense with a lot of pressure on the opposing offense. They really should win out and get to 10-2 which would be fantastic but they can’t have another Syracuse game.
#22 Computer Hope Baylor and Florida might as well be the same team. Neither team has beaten anyone and both teams have played once in the last 3 weeks. The Bears are 6-0 which I guess means something if Nebraska being 7-0 means something. The schedule gets quite a bit tougher for the Bears moving forward starting this week with a road trip to Austin. Baylor should start moving up the rankings with more wins under the belt and if they & West Virginia can hold serve, both could be 11-0 when they meet on December 3rd in Morgantown.
#23 Computer Hope The Tar Heels would be much higher if they didn’t have the huge blunder against Virginia Tech. North Carolina went into Charlottesville and hammered Virginia 34-16 behind great efforts from Mitch Trubisky, Elijah Hood and a good defensive effort. You have to wonder what sort of impact Hood would have had on the Virginia Tech outcome. He’s missed one game this season & it was against the Hokies. Carolina certainly has the talent to win out but they need another Va Tech loss to win the Coastal & get to Charlotte.
#24 Computer Hope What a year Ole Miss has had!? They are 3-4 with their losses coming to Florida St., Alabama, LSU & Arkansas. Three of those 4 games were on the road and the lone home game came against Alabama! It’s hard to believe that the 23 teams I have ahead of Ole Miss are actually better than the Rebels but this is life in the SEC West. It doesn’t get any easier either. This week the Rebels strap it up against Auburn, and they still have Texas A&M later in the year. A 6-6 season is a distinct possibility & that would be a disappointment.
#25 Computer Hope OK Penn State! You had no business winning that football game, but you got the signature win over Ohio State. Let’s see you run with it! Penn St. has a couple of landmines to dodge in Indiana & Iowa, but Michigan St. shouldn’t be a problem so the Nittany Lions have a legitimate shot at 10-2 & 2nd place in the Big 10 East. That’s a major win for James Franklin and the program & hopefully Franklin can use to his benefit on the recruiting trail & get Penn St. back on par with Michigan and Ohio State. I’m rooting hard for them!

DROPPING OUT

#20 BOISE ST.: The Broncos didn’t do anything to not be ranked, but the schedule is so soft. I would have liked to have seen a better performance against BYU. They are pretty much living off the Washington State win at this point although I’m not sure Boise could beat the Cougars if they played tomorrow. What’s even more sad is that this week’s game against Wyoming is being billed as a competitive game. Come on!

#21 HOUSTON: You can’t lose to SMU 38-16. Tom Herman’s star is fading just a bit after losses to both Navy & SMU! He better take that LSU job while he can!

#25 NC STATE: I don’t want to bang NC State too hard after getting crushed by Louisville. Just ask Florida State what that feels like. When Louisville is firing on all cylinders they are probably the 2nd or 3rd best team in the nation. NC State is still arguably the 3rd best team in the ACC and they can make a pretty good argument they are the 2nd best team behind only Louisville.

 

October 25, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Baylor, Boise St., Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Houston, Louisville, LSU, Michigan, Mississippi, NC State, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Penn St., Power 25, Tennessee, Texas AM, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St., Week 8, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2016 NCAA FOOTBALL WEEK 8 – BIG GAMES

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope Settle in because up to this point this is the most important game of the season. The Aggies got a week of rest while the Tide were in Knoxville destroying Tennessee 49-10. The task here is to try and figure out a way for Texas A&M to win on the road. I think more than anything QB Trevor Knight cannot turn the ball over and DEs Myles Garrett & Daeshon Hall have to have big games getting pressure on Tide QB Jalen Hurts. This is essentially the de facto SEC Championship game. Computer Hope
Computer Hope It was interesting to watch the Wolfpack defense defend Deshaun Watson last week in a game NC State should have won & gotten themselves on the national map. They’ll get another chance this weekend in Louisville which shouldn’t be as difficult a place to play. Watson couldn’t get loose against NC State’s defense & I think his draft stock went down a bit because of it. I’m curious to see how Lamar Jackson plays against the Wolfpack & if he can keep his Heisman campaign going. Computer Hope
Computer Hope A white out in Beaver Stadium is  a beautiful sight to behold so there will definitely be pressure on Ohio St. to get it done in yet another road game on the heels of their OT win over Wisconsin in Madison. I don’t think the atmosphere will be insane as it was in Camp Randall, but it might not matter because JT Barrett seems impervious to pressure! Keep in mind though that this is a huge game for James Franklin & the Lions. They need to start proving they belong with Ohio St. and Michigan. Computer Hope
Computer Hope This could turn into the most interesting game of the weekend. Wisconsin is in the middle of brutal stretch of their schedule but they are coming off a home game against Ohio St. and next week they are at home against Nebraska. In the middle is a road game against Iowa against a Hawkeyes team who is starting to play a lot better. Wisconsin’s win over LSU seems like a lifetime ago so they need to start building up some wins. A win here is one step closer to the Big 10 title game. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Both teams come in with 2 losses but while Arkansas had a rough game at home against Ole Miss, the Tigers of Auburn had the week off. I think this is a really cool game because either team has the chops to finish 10-2 which would be a huge win for both programs and huge confidence boosters for the teams & coaches. Auburn is likely to lose to Alabama to end the season so a win here allows the possibility for a 10 win season. Same goes for Arkansas with a win. Both teams need it. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Lost in all the uproar over the Les Miles firing is that the Tigers still control their own destiny despite the losses to Wisconsin & Arkansas. If LSU wins out, they win the SEC West. Win the SEC championship game & make it to the playoffs! It sounds odd, but this is still a very talented & experienced team. Danny Etling gives them a better chance to win over Brandon Harris & Derrius Guice has proven to be a monster. A big win over Ole Miss will start to get people discussing their chances. Computer Hope
Computer Hope While Charlie Strong might not get fired after this game, coaches are now starting to drop. Les Miles was first and now Darrell Hazell from Purdue was let go. Kansas St. isn’t a bad team and a loss here could definitely be the difference between a bowl for Texas. At 3-3, the Longhorns aren’t in any danger of winning the Big XII, but the job is a huge one & everything Strong does is going to be under the microscope which almost makes every week a must watch affair. Another must win. Computer Hope
Computer Hope The loss to North Carolina last week all but killed Miami-FL’s chances at winning the ACC Coastal, but Virginia Tech still controls their own destiny even after the road loss at Syracuse this past week. The Coastal is a complete mess at this point and it’s hard to see if anyone is really good considering their out of conference opponents haven’t been so hot. VT lost to Tennessee. UNC lost to Georgia. If Virginia Tech wants to win the Coastal, they need to win this game & beat Pitt next week. Computer Hope
Computer Hope TCU’s defense hasn’t been what it has been known for under Gary Patterson so West Virginia should be able to score some points, but this will be the biggest win to date for WVU if they can get the W in Morgantown. TCU is 4-2 & flying a bit under the radar but both losses were close ones against Oklahoma & Arkansas which is more than understandable. Holding Texas Tech to 17 points in Lubbock was a statement for the Mountaineers. Beating TCU & getting to 6-0 will be another. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Last week against UCLA, Wazzou QB Luke Falk was held without a passing TD for the first time in his career & the Cougars were held without a passing TD for the first time since 2013! Don’t expect a repeat against a Sun Devils defense that currently ranks as the worst pass defense in college football! This is one of those tricky games because ASU can score points too & they’re 5-2. Washington St. is coming off 3 GREAT wins over Oregon, Stanford & UCLA. I hope they don’t let down here. Computer Hope

October 17, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arizona St., Arkansas, Auburn, Big Games, Iowa, Kansas St., Louisville, LSU, Miami-FL, Mississippi, Must See Games, NC State, NCAA, Ohio St, Penn St., TCU, Texas, Texas AM, Virginia Tech, Washington St., Week 8, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25 – 2016 WEEK 7

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Tennessee is a good football team and Alabama went into Knoxville and proved the Vols to be nothing more than a  high school football team by comparison. The Tide ran for 400+ yards and had more than 600 yards of offense en route to a 49-10 route of UT. It’s worth pointing out that Alabama has wins over USC, Tennessee, Arkansas & Ole  Miss & none of those 4 quality victories came in Tuscaloosa. The gap between the Tide & the rest of college football is considerable. This might be Saban’s best ever Alabama team.
#2 Computer Hope Michigan had the week off but good things happened because their 14-7 win over Wisconsin looks pretty darn good now that Ohio St. needed OT to put the Badgers away. The one difference is that Ohio St. won in  Madison while the Wolverines got it done in Ann Arbor. That actually sort of gives the Buckeyes the advantage but at some point you start rewarding the team with the best player on the field and there isn’t a better player on the field than Jabrill Peppers. He’s the difference maker that can win close games.
#3 Computer Hope Wisconsin is no joke and going into Camp Randall and in that type of environment is a difficult proposition for any squad. That game could have went either way, but the Buckeyes found a way to win and that’s huge. In fact, the win over the Badgers in Madison might be the most impressive win of the season. Ohio St. has two road victories over Oklahoma & Wisconsin which is about as impressive as you can get. This is a young team that has grown up exceptionally fast. Now it all comes down to beating Michigan.
#4 Computer Hope With all due respect to Michigan and Ohio State, the national championship game that I’m rooting for is Alabama taking on Washington. The Huskies are a team that doesn’t beat itself and I’m not sure there is a QB playing better right now than QB Jake Browning. Given that Alabama prides itself on forcing other teams to make mistakes, it’ll be interesting to see them play a team that refuses to beat themselves. The Huskies rush defense would need to get better in the meantime. They couldn’t allow Alabama to run at will.
#5 Computer Hope Another team on bye! I’m sure the Aggies would have loved to have seen Tennessee put up a bigger fight against the Crimson Tide knowing they travel to Tuscaloosa next week. At least Texas A&M gets an extra week of rest in the meantime. Next week’s game should be interesting from a strategy perspective. The problem with playing Alabama is that they can load the box because the corners are so good. A&M has great receivers but they’ve been a running team this year. They’ll need to do both & I’m not sure they can.
#6 Computer Hope If Kyle Bambard has a decent day kicking the ball, Clemson is sitting at 6-1 hoping against hope they win out and 12-1 is enough to get back into the playoffs. Instead, the Clemson D came up big in OT with a Ryan Finley pick to preserve a 24-17 victory and keep them unbeaten at 7-0. The more I watch Clemson the more I think their defense is the reason they are 7-0. Wayne Gallman was knocked out of the game early & Clemson couldn’t find anyone to pick up the slack running the football. Offensively it wasn’t pretty.
#7 Computer Hope More methodical than impressive, Louisville has earned the right to go through the motions every now and then. The 24-14 win over Duke doesn’t look so hot, but it didn’t change anything. Lamar Jackson didn’t have a great day but still ran for 144yds/1TD and passed for 181yds/1TD. One interesting thing about this game is that Louisville ran one more play than the Blue Devils but Duke had the ball for 15 minutes more than the Cardinals. If time of possession was reversed, Louisville wins this game 39-9. Interesting.
#8 Computer Hope You can do a lot worse than go into Ann Arbor and lose by 7 points to Michigan and then host Ohio St. and lose by 7 points in an overtime game. Remember too that Wisconsin is doing all this with a freshman QB making it only more impressive. This is what’s impressive to me about Wisconsin: against both Michigan & Ohio St., the Badgers on average gave up 158 rushing yards on 45 carries (3.5ypc). Against their other opponents, Michigan & Ohio St. average 6.3ypc! The Badgers will win out & get a chance for revenge.
#9 Computer Hope Now THAT was Arkansas football! The Razorbacks had to hold on tight there at the end to get the 34-30 win over Ole Miss, but when you look at the blueprint, it was a masterful job by the Hogs. Austin Allen was good enough throwing for 229 yards & 3TD while the rushing attack carried the day running for 200 yards on 51 carries! Rawleigh Williams had 180yds on 27 carries! Arkansas had the ball for almost 41 minutes and that’s great because Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly was making plays. 10-2 is a real possibility now.
#10 Computer Hope Losing to Alabama 49-10 isn’t the prettiest thing especially when you are in Knoxville and Peyton Manning is in the house, but Alabama is Alabama so it isn’t completely surprising the Vols finally get blown out after living dangerously all season long. Tennessee’s final 5 games are a joke so finishing the season 10-2 should be an afterthought. More importantly is Florida losing another game to give the Vols the SEC East crown. Like Wisconsin, Tennessee should have a chance at the ultimate revenge by the end.
#11 Computer Hope If you love Arkansas then you love Auburn even more. War Eagle goes about their offensive system a little different than the Hogs do but with similar results. Auburn’s 2 losses came in the first 3 weeks against Clemson and Texas A&M, two teams with a combined record of 13-0! Since the loss to A&M, Auburn has won 3 straight by the combined score of 114-34! Sean White has been the answer at QB & the Tigers defense is solid. They host Arkansas this week which should determine who is the 3rd best in the SEC West.
#12 Computer Hope I love West Virginia football but have been hesitant to rank them thus far because I’m superstitious and didn’t want to jinx them! They’ve also had a 2 byes already and after a couple of close wins over BYU & Kansas St., I got the feeling that maybe they were more bark than bite, but not anymore. Beating Texas Tech isn’t amazing, but going into Lubbock and holding the Red Raiders to 17 points & less than 400 total yards!? The Big XII might finally have a team capable of playing defense! This team is for real.
#13 Computer Hope This isn’t the same USC team that started the season 1-3. While I don’t believe the outcome of the Alabama game would be any different, if the Trojans faced  Utah & Stanford again, I think USC comes out ahead by a considerable margin. Sam Darnold has been a revelation. In his last 3 starts, Darnold is completing 67% of his passes for 315yds/G with 11TD to 1INT! This has opened up the rushing attack and consequently the defense is playing even better. Talent has never been an issue, but now said talent is playing!
#14 Computer Hope QB Sefo Liufau was back in the starting lineup after having missed 3 games and didn’t disappoint completing 74% of his passes for 265 yards! He didn’t have to do too much as RB Phillip Lindsay got loose for 219yds/3TD in Colorado’s 40-16 win over Arizona State! It’s amazing to see the difference between the Buffs this year & last. Last year Colorado lost to ASU 48-23! That’s a 49-point swing! Colorado controls their own destiny now. If they win out, they are Pac 12 South champions regardless of what USC does.
#15 Computer Hope Close losses are the worst! Ole Miss can’t hang their heads too much after losing 34-30 to Arkansas in Fayetteville. In my opinion Arkansas is a top-10 team so no shame in losing but Ole Miss is going to have to start winning some of those big close games. This year their 3 losses are to Alabama, Florida St. and Arkansas. They lead by good margins against both the Noles & Tide. They let this one slip away. A telling stat is this: Ole Miss: 1.55pts/min; Arkansas: 0.84pts/min. If TOP is reversed, Ole Miss wins 63-16! Crazy!
#16 Computer Hope The 19-14 win over Oregon St. is a lot better than you think. We all know Gary Andersen can coach and after having got by California the week prior, the Beavers had to be brimming with confidence as they welcomed the Utes into Corvallis. Utah did what Utah does which is run the ball heavy & play good defense. The gameplan didn’t go exactly as planned because Oregon St. did a masterful job controlling the clock themselves with their running attack, but Utah was able to hold off a 2nd half comeback to win it.
#17 Computer Hope The Gators had to feel pretty happy after their 40-14 win over Missouri to see Tennessee get rolled up by Alabama. Now Florida controls their own destiny in the East although that road had away games against Arkansas & LSU that should prove to be more than a bit difficult. QB Luke Del Rio returned to action & looked rusty at best. The Gators did a great job running the ball behind Lamical Perine, Jordan Scarlett & Mark Thompson which took pressure off Del Rio. Florida needs to keep running the ball effectively.
#18 Computer Hope Nebraska has to feel pretty good escaping Bloomington with a 27-22 win over the Hoosiers as Indiana is fast becoming the Big 10 team nobody wants to face for fear of showing up a bit off and having Indiana take advantage en route to an upset victory. The Hoosiers had a disastrous first quarter which gave Nebraska a 17-0 lead, but from that point forward IU beat Nebraska 22-10! The Huskers get a week off before hosting Purdue and then it’s back-to-back road games against Wisconsin & Ohio State. Good luck!
#19 Computer Hope It took the Tigers a half to warm up, but LSU blew the barn doors off Southern Miss in the 2nd half outscoring the Eagles 35-0 in the final 2 quarters in route to a 45-10 win. Once again no Leonard Fournette proved to be a non-issue for LSU as Derrius Guice took the game over rushing for 162yds/2TD on just 10 carries! QB Danny Etling threw 3TD passes & Malachi Dupre & DJ Chark made big plays. The LSU defense also racked up 10 tackles for loss, a season high. It’ll be interesting if the Tigers start playing to their talent.
#20 Computer Hope Boise St. improved to 6-0 with their 28-23 win over Colorado State. I feel about Boise State much the same way I do about Utah. They don’t do anything that is going to make your jaw drop, but they play efficient football with solid defensive effort and that combination leads to victories. The Broncos hear this every season but they can only beat who is on the schedule. The Washington St. win is going to continue to get better and at this point Boise St. going 13-0 is pretty much a foregone conclusion & a major bowl bid.
#21 Computer Hope Beating Tulsa 38-31 doesn’t look like much but Houston did a lot of things right against the Golden Hurricane. Tulsa is a big ground and pound team yet Houston wasn’t affected as they held Tulsa to 94 yards & 35 rushing attempts. Tulsa racked up most of their yardage through the air but it took them 51 passing attempts to get to 365 yards. Houston won time of possession, but shot themselves in the foot with regards to turnovers & penalties. Greg Ward was just OK but Houston ran the ball well enough to get a close win.
#22 Computer Hope The 38-17 win was finally a convincing win for the Sooners after having close calls against TCU & Texas. Oklahoma is now 4-2 but more importantly 3-0 in the Big XII. They get an easy next 3 games which should allow them to run their record to 7-2 before hosting Baylor on November 12th. I wish I could get more excited about Oklahoma, but the Houston loss looks worse & worse now that the Cougars aren’t playing fantastic & the Sooners still don’t play much defense. It’s a dark time for the Big XII and that’s sad.
#23 Computer Hope How about Wazzou’s 27-21 win over UCLA! Talk about Jekyll & Hyde! Washington St. couldn’t get anything going on offense & Luke Falk didn’t have a passing TD for the first time in his career! It was also the first time Wazzou didn’t have a passing TD since Week 2 of 2013 when they beat USC 10-7! The Cougars couldn’t run the ball either so instead they played great defense & forced the Bruins into turnovers. The Cougars are undefeated in conference play & control their own destiny although the Huskies await!
#24 Computer Hope If you want to build up quite a bit hype by the middle of the season, make sure you schedule tremendous cupcakes early in the season to get 3-4 blow out wins. Then get lucky & play the weakest teams in your conference first so it looks like you are blowing everyone out. This is the 2016 Baylor recipe. Sure the Bears are 6-0 and they are winning by an average score of 44-17, but their best win so far is a road win over an Iowa St. team that should have beaten them! The schedule is considerably tougher from this point.
#25 Computer Hope The Wolfpack should have beaten Clemson yesterday & if that happened, how high does NC State climb? The week 2 33-30 road loss to East Carolina seems like a huge outlier at this point and if NC State could get that game back I’m sure they win it by 20-30 points. What was most impressive watching the game yesterday is how much more physical NC State was than Clemson. They beat the Tigers up & bruised them despite losing in OT. If they beat Louisville next week, we are looking at the 2nd best team in the ACC.

DROPPING OUT

#9 VIRGINIA TECH: Beat North Carolina in Chapel Hill 34-3 the week prior. This week lose to Syracuse? The ACC is a mess at this point. From what I can tell Louisville, Clemson & NC State are for real, but the rest of them? The Hokies only real win is against North Carolina. Their next best game might be the loss they took to Tennessee.

#14 GEORGIA: Lose at home to Vanderbilt!? GOOD GRIEF! Georgia can win out & still not deserve to be ranked!

#15 NORTH CAROLINA: The Tar Heels have two losses on the season. The first to Georgia who just lost at home to Vanderbilt. The 2nd to Virginia Tech who just lost to Syracuse! Carolina has some decent wins over Florida St., Miami-FL & Pittsburgh, but FSU is 3-2 in their last 5 and 2 of those 3 wins (against Miami-FL & Wake Forest) are iffy at best. If there is a 4th team after Louiville, Clemson & NC State, it’s probably the Tar Heels but they need to put in some work.

#16 FLORIDA STATE: They were only able to beat Wake Forest 17-6? At home!? In 2013, FSU beat Wake 59-3. In 2014 they beat them 43-3! A win next week over Clemson would be redemptive but I don’t see it happening.

#19 MIAMI-FL: Bad luck is dooming the Hurricanes. They’ve dropped their last 2 games by a total of 8 points. Granted, it was to Florida St. & North Carolina so that’s a couple of losses for most team, but Miami has to be kicking themselves for missed opportunities.

#25 ARIZONA STATE:  They were barely hanging on anyway so the loss to Coloardo simply pushed them out of the top-25.

October 16, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arizona St., Arkansas, Auburn, Baylor, Boise St., Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Houston, Louisville, LSU, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi, NC State, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Power 25, Tennessee, Texas AM, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St., Week 7, West Virginia, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2016 NCAA FOOTBALL WEEK 7 – BIG GAMES

Week 5 already!! This is crazy! I hate how fast the college football goes by. After this week there will be some teams that are one win away from bowl eligibility. That sounds crazy but it’s true. Let’s get to this week best 10 games.

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope Wisconsin did an outstanding job locking Michigan’s running attack down a couple of weeks ago in a 14-7 loss. The Wolverines ran for 130 yards but it took them 44 tries to get to that number. Ohio St. averages 51 rushing attempts per game so while Ohio St. & Michigan are run first teams, they are a little different in how they get there. This is a monster game at Camp-Randall & I don’t think it’ll be much different than the Michigan/Wisconsin game. Can the Badgers score enough? Computer Hope
Computer Hope Forget losing. Tennessee needs to show up and not completely embarrass themselves in this one. The Vols have played with fire all season long and finally their magic ran out against Texas A&M last week, but things could get ugly in Knoxville and here is why. The Tennessee rush defense is pitiful. Alabama is a PUNISHING running football team. Tennessee is the 4th worst team in turnovers committed. Alabama is 13th in turnovers gained. Put that together & Bama might win by 40! Computer Hope
Computer Hope Sort of an under the radar SEC West game because both Alabama & Texas A&M are undefeated, but there are pretty cool implications here. Both teams have 2 losses so the loser here can’t win 10 regular season games which I think is a pretty big deal for both clubs. Arkansas wants to take the next step while Ole Miss needs 11 wins on the season to keep their 1-win per year improvement streak going. Another incentive for Ole Miss is that they can still finish 2nd in the SEC West. Solid game. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Colorado suffered a heart breaking loss to USC last week in SoCal 21-17 but this week come back against Arizona St. with a chance to right the ship & stay atop the Pac 12 South standings. Arizona St. lost to USC 41-20 so maybe that is a harbinger of things to come for the Buffs. It’ll be an interesting game for Colorado because they’ve had a bit of a problem with teams who like to grind out games on the ground. ASU wants to run first so Colorado better come ready with their rush D. Computer Hope
Computer Hope If either of these teams want to win the ACC Coastal then the most important aspect of this game might be the remaining schedule for Virginia Tech. The Tar Heels have to win out and hope the Hokies lose two conference games. That isn’t going to happen so at best UNC can play spoiler to Miami-FL. The Hurricanes lost a brutal 20-19 gut check game in a Hurricane to Florida State! It’s not a season ender, but Miami-FL has to win this game & they have to beat VT just five days later! Wow! Computer Hope
Computer Hope It’s interesting that the Cougars couldn’t beat E. Washington & Boise St., but can beat Oregon & Stanford in back to back weeks by the combined score of 93-49! While that might not be as impressive as Washington’s combined 114-27 over those 2 teams, there is no question that Wazzou could easily be 9-2 when they host the Huskies for the Apple Cup on November 25th! UCLA isn’t a bad team so this will be tough for Wazzou but it’s another opportunity for WSU to make a statement. Computer Hope
Computer Hope It can’t feel good for Houston to have to suit up for Tulsa after having lost to Navy. Tulsa runs the ball like they don’t know how to do anything else. The attack is different than Navy’s but Houston is in for another smash mouth football game. The Golden Hurricane defense isn’t the best, but their only loss has come to Ohio State & they’ve been racking up the points against everyone else. Houston can get right back on the horse with a win here, but I think this could be a very close game. Computer Hope
Computer Hope The last time Indiana hosted a ranked team in Bloomington was……HEY it was two weeks ago!!! The Hoosiers took down a ranked Michigan St. team 24-21. This week Indiana welcomes Nebraska into Memorial Stadium in the hopes of beating 2 ranked teams in a 3-week span! For all intents & purposes, this looks like a Husker walk, but everyone thought that about Sparty too. If Indiana wins this game they are capable of getting to 9-3. A  bowl win and Indiana could finish 10-3! Computer Hope
Computer Hope Oregon St. finally caught somebody sleeping last week and beat Cal 47-44. The Bears play practically no defense so Oregon St. was able to gouge them for almost 500 rushing yards! The Beavers are going to face a MUCH tougher defense in Utah, but the game is in Corvallis and Gary Andersen is a helluva coach so he’ll have Oregon St. ready for the Utes. This is certainly a trap game for Utah who needs a win here before traveling to UCLA. They can’t over look Oregon St. or they’ll lose. Computer Hope
Computer Hope This game could have some massive implications because I think Iowa St. HC Matt Campbell is throwing down the gauntlet in the Big XII. The Cyclones probably should have beaten both Baylor & Oklahoma St. these past two weeks which would have put them in the hunt for a Big XII title at this point! The Longhorns are reeling & you get the feeling ISU is going to catch somebody slipping. Charlie Strong is hanging by a thread but could he survive a home loss to Iowa St. & a 2-4 record? Computer Hope

October 10, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arizona St., Arkansas, Big Games, Colorado, Houston, Indiana, Iowa St., Miami-FL, Mississippi, Must See Games, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oregon St., Tennessee, Texas, Tulsa, UCLA, Utah, Washington St., Week 7, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25 – 2016 WEEK 6

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope How much of a difference does Damien Harris make? Harris didn’t get much run time against Kent St. & Kentucky because of health but when the sophomore gets at least 9 touches he averages 112 rushing yards per game and averages 9.2ypc! Forget about the 30 points Arkansas put up as a knock against the Bama defense. Arkansas is a running team and Alabama only gave them 73 rushing yards on 36 carries. The Tide completely took their offensive game plan away. A 35-17 score at halftime left no doubt.
#2 Computer Hope The Tigers clearly had no emotional letdown after a dramatic win over Louisville last week as they went up to Chestnut Hill and destroyed Boston College 56-10! Clemson averaged about 8.4 yards per play while Boston College averaged 3.5 yards per play. What’s interesting about this game though is that BC had the ball for 38+ minutes & ran the ball twice as much as they passed despite the deficit. I like that Steve Addazio kept to the game plan however misguided, but Clemson’s big play ability is outstanding.
#3 Computer Hope There is winning big and running up the score and then there is what Michigan did on the road at Rutgers on Saturday. Michigan DEMOLISHED the Scarlet Knights 78-0 but it could have been much worse. Had Ty Issac ran for one more yard, the Wolverines would have had 3 rushers go over 100 yards for the day. Michigan ran for 481 yards & 9TD! Jabrill Peppers even ran for 2TD in what is becoming an obvious Heisman winner. And I’d be remiss not to mention that Michigan has the #1 scoring defense in the nation!
#4 Computer Hope Indiana doesn’t have the best defense in the nation but you can’t help but be impressed by Ohio State’s running attack. JT Barrett didn’t have a great passing day but he ran for 137 yards & a TD. Curtis Samuel chipped in 82yds/1TD and Mike Weber ran for 71yds/2TD! As a team Ohio St. ran for 290 yards & 4TD! Beating the Hoosiers 38-17 doesn’t look great but it got the job done. The Buckeyes travel to Madison next week & that should be a doozy! It could also be a preview of the Big 10 championship!
#5 Computer Hope I said last week that in order to be the man you had to beat the man. Over the last two weeks Washington has beaten both Stanford & Oregon by the combined score of 114-27. The Huskies didn’t just beat the Cardinal & Ducks. They humiliated them on national television including a massacre of Oregon in Autzen Stadium by the score of 70-21! QB Jake Browning threw 6TD and ran for another 2. The Huskies rank #5 in my Power-25 at the moment but going by the eye test they might be the best team I’ve seen so far.
#6 Computer Hope The Aggies almost succumbed to Tennessee’s juju late in the game but a double OT interception of a Josh Dobbs errant pass preserved the Aggie’s 45-38 victory over the Vols. It’s hard to argue with Texas A&M’s resume. They are now 6-0 with wins over Tennessee, UCLA, Auburn & Arkansas! They have a week off before heading to Tuscaloosa in a game that should decide the SEC West. QB Trevor Knight has been a huge asset to this squad. He’s accounted for 18TD thus far & I think is a sleeper Heisman candidate.
#7 Computer Hope The Cardinals were on bye this week but things didn’t go so well for the Cardinals as Houston lost to Navy. That hurts Louisville a bit because now Houston can’t be undefeated when Louisville faces them. A win over an undefeated team looks a lot better than a win over a 1-loss team. On the other hand the Cardinals need some help in getting to the playoff and Houston loses pretty much eliminates any non Power-5 conference team from stealing a bid. They still need help but 11-1 should be in sight.
#8 Computer Hope You play with that much fire and eventually you are going to get burned. Tennessee once again came out flat in the first half, losing 21-7 after 30 minutes. Once again UT storms back in the 2nd half & beats A&M 28-14, but the Vols couldn’t get it down in OT and lost 45-38. The Vols dominated this game statistically but they committed 7 turnovers and 12 penalties for almost 100 yards. Tennessee is a very good football team, but you can’t turn the ball over against an equally good A&M squad and expect a road victory.
#9 Computer Hope The 34-3 win over North Carolina in Chapel Hill was eye-opening. If Virginia Tech was able to close out Tennessee in Week 2 then we might be talking about a 5-0 Hokies squad that is making a good case for being a top-5 team! The Hokies are starting to resemble vintage VA-Tech defense. Carolina coming into this game was averaging 40.4PPG and Bud Foster’s squad held them to just 3. This was the same Tar Heel team that put up 37 on an FSU defense that is filled with 4 and 5-star recruits. Keep a close on them!
#10 Computer Hope Wisconsin caught a nice break getting a bye week before welcoming Ohio State to Camp Randall! I think Wisconsin also got a bit lucky because Indiana isn’t awful so the Buckeyes had to play harder than maybe they would have in recent years. The game is also extremely important for the Badgers because they aren’t completely out of the playoff picture. The loss to Michigan stinks but it was just 14-7. If they were able to win out & get to 12-1 as Big 10 champions then it’s likely they grab one of the four spots.
#11 Computer Hope Mississippi St. isn’t the same Mississippi St. they’ve been recently when they had Dak Prescott under center, but this was a huge win for the Tigers! MSU plays well at home and Auburn beat the bricks off the Bulldogs taking a 35-0 into halftime! War Eagle ran the ball with abandon going for 228 yards on 56 carries! Kamryn Pettway ran for 169 yards & 3TD on 39 carries. QB Sean White was brutally efficient once again & let’s not discount the Auburn defense which is now allowing just 16PPG! Loving this team!
#12 Computer Hope So you lose to Alabama 49-30. It happens to the best of them. This is a solid football but they played right into the hands of Alabama. The Tide took the running game away and jumped out to a lead forcing Arkansas to throw the football. I’m a big Austin Allen guy and he had a good day throwing for 3TD but he also threw 3INT which once again is exactly what Alabama was hoping for. Arkansas has more than enough ability to win out and that is what they need to focus on. I’d love to see them finish the season at 10-2.
#13 Computer Hope The Rebels were on a bye this past week but a few things happened that helped their cause. Alabama beat Arkansas by 19 points and Ole Miss lost to the Tide by only 5 so you can argue the Rebels are ahead of Arkansas. Florida St. got back on the winning track by beating Miami-FL which is a solid win & makes Ole Miss’ loss to the Seminoles not as ugly as it has looked the past couple of weeks. Texas A&M beat Tennessee which means the Aggies keep winning & Ole Miss gets a shot at beating a better team late in the season.
#14 Computer Hope That is the kind of Georgia football I want to see!! I know it’s South Carolina but the Bulldogs ran wild on the Gamecocks with both Nick Chubb and Sony Michel going over the 100 yard mark. The win over North Carolina doesn’t smell as sweet now that the Tar Heels were throttled by Virginia Tech but UGA is 4-2 with their two losses coming to Ole Miss & Tennessee. It could be worse. They need a lot of help winning the SEC East but getting to 9-3/10-2 with a first year HC and a frosh QB? That’s a great season.
#15 Computer Hope Very sloppy play by North Carolina in a demoralizing 34-3 home loss to Virginia Tech. You can make a pretty good argument that Hokies might be a top-10 team, but losing 34-3 after wins over Florida St. & Pittsburgh? The Tar Heels were without RB Elijah Hood & TJ Logan couldn’t pick up the slack. Mitch Trubisky had a terrible game & the Heels shot themselves in the foot with 8 penalties and 4 turnovers. They can still win the Coastal, but I don’t think the Hokies have another loss on the schedule so they need help.
#16 Computer Hope Dalvin Cook got loose in brutal weather down in Miami rushing for 150 yards & receiving for 59 with a TD catch. Deondre Francois put in a solid game going 20/31 for 234yds & 2TD despite playing with a drenched ball and outshining his Miami-FL counterpart Brad Kaaya. It was a solid for FSU, but the North Carolina loss looks a lot worse now that UNC took a beating at the hands of Virginia Tech. FSU looks like a 10-3 team, but I’ve said this before in that you know FSU is back when 10-3 is a big disappointment.
#17 Computer Hope Florida’s game against LSU was postponed due to Hurricane Matthew which seems odd given how many games were played in terrible conditions yesterday. The Gators are barely hanging onto a spot in my Power-25. A win over LSU would have bolstered their resume quite a bit even if the Tigers are a bit down, but we are getting into the middle of the season and Florida’s best wins are over Vanderbilt & Kentucky. The 38-28 loss to Tennessee shows they belong, but can they please play someone of substance!?
#18 Computer Hope The Cornhuskers are a tough team to judge at this point. It’s Nebraska and they are 5-0 so it feels like we should be respecting them, but their best win is a 3-point home win over Oregon which looks terrible now that we are seeing Washington & Washington St. absolutely wax the Ducks! The Huskies just finished beaten Oregon by 49 points in Eugene! Nebraska could only manage a 3-point win in Lincoln! They have upcoming road games against Iowa, Wisconsin & Ohio St. so we should get a better feel for them.
#19 Computer Hope The weather in Miami was absolutely abysmal but the Seminoles had to play in the conditions as well and Miami couldn’t find a way to close out the game losing 20-19 to Florida St. after having led 13-3 at the half. This game shouldn’t concern the Miami faithful too much but the Hurricanes need to get back on the horse fast next week as they host a North Carolina team that was just brutalized by Virginia Tech. THE U can still win the Coastal no problem, but their rushing defense has me a bit concerned after this week.
#20 Computer Hope The dream season for the Cougars came to a screeching halt on Saturday as Houston fell on the road to Navy 46-40. Navy is a tough team to play against. Their rushing attack is hard to prepare for and nobody really runs it as well as they do. Houston lost the time of possession battle by a significant margin & were -3 in TO margin. Navy would beat a lot of teams with those advantages. The Oklahoma win looks a bit better now that the Sooners beat Texas, but I don’t have any confidence Houston can beat Louisville.
#21 Computer Hope I would have liked to have seen the Sooners get a better win than 45-40, but remember that some of this is perception. Texas is on the ropes so it would seem Oklahoma should get a bigger win, but Texas is a talented team. There isn’t much defense being played in the Big XII and the Sooners are dangerous when the running game behind Samaje Perine & Joe Mixon get going. Perine went for over 200 yards & Mixon put in 50 total yards. Only Baylor stands in the way of a Big XII title and a 10-2 season. Not bad.
#22 Computer Hope Beating Arizona 36-23 is a solid enough win and Utah might be the favorite to win the Pac 12 South at this point given that they’ve already beaten USC. This isn’t a sexy team. They play solid defense and do just enough on offense to win games. It’s a ball controlled offense that relies mostly on running. The one mark Utah has is a road loss to California, but the Bears are becoming one of those squads that is hard to figure so I can allow some grace there. At the end of the day Utah is 5-1 with a real shot at finishing 10-2. I’d take it.
#23 Computer Hope Beating Colorado 21-17 is a lot more impressive than it might seem. The problem with USC at this point is perception. There are questions surrounding head coach Clay Helton and even if it did happen in Week 1, there is perception that USC is still off because Alabama beat them 52-6 to open the season. Moving QB Sam Darnold into the starting lineup was a bold move for Helton & it has paid off. The talent here is undeniable and the Trojans still have a chance to be a player if they can keep the momentum going.
#24 Computer Hope Gut wrenching 21-17 loss to USC in the Coliseum on Saturday but as much as I’ve been rooting for Colorado this season, all is not lost for the 4-2 Buffaloes! With Stanford playing as badly as they’ve been, Colorado could conceivably win out as the schedule is good to them with Arizona St., UCLA, Utah & Washington St. all having to come to Boulder. At some point you knew it was going to catchup with Colorado. Steven Montez is a freshman QB and the Buffs defense couldn’t quite get a hold of all of USC’s talent.
#25 Computer Hope What an amazing turn around for the Sun Devils rush defense. The two previous weeks against USC & Cal, Arizona St. gave up 316 rushing yards, but yesterday against UCLA, ASU held the Bruins to -1 rushing yards en route to a 23-20 win. It’s interesting to see Arizona St. win more of a defensive struggle, but the Devils are now 5-1 with their only loss coming on the road to USC which isn’t too bad. The resume is pretty good too with wins over Texas Tech, California and now UCLA. The Pac 12 South is wide open.

DROPPING OUT

#22 BAYLOR: The Bears didn’t play but they didn’t do anything to drop out of the polls this week but they also didn’t do anything to stay either. Baylor is 5-0 but they barely got by Iowa St. and didn’t exactly dominate Oklahoma State. Their other wins have come against SMU, Rice & Northwestern State. Nothing really to brag about. It might be time to come to the realization that the Big XII is terrible. I still have Oklahoma ranked, but the Sooners only losses have come to Houston & Ohio State. The Houston loss doesn’t look great but I’m trying not to be too harsh on Houston just yet for the loss to Navy. The rest of the Big XII? It’s rough.

#24 LSU: The Florida game being postponed didn’t help the Tigers too much as they drop out of my rankings. LSU needs signature wins to show the program is still strong. I think they can get them, but it’ll be tough. I pointed out last week that the quirkiness of the Pac 12 prevented me from ranking a lot of those teams last week. That quirkiness is still apparent, but for the most part the week broke the way it would need to for a lot of those Pac 12 teams to deserve being ranked. LSU was a victim of that.

#25 STANFORD: Losing to Washington I can understand but losing to Washington State as well? The Cardinal lost to both Washington schools by the combined score of 86-22! That’s insane! If you believe in the Pac 12 you could make an argument that Washington, Washington St., Stanford, California, UCLA, USC, Arizona St., Colorado & Utah should be ranked. That’s 9 teams for crying out loud! I have five of them ranked and what’s interesting to me at this point is that the Pac 12 is definitely going to suffer some attrition because they’ll beat up on each other, but this conference is certainly one to watch for during bowl season to see just how good these teams really are.

October 9, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arizona St., Arkansas, Auburn, Baylor, Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Houston, Louisville, LSU, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Power 25, Stanford, Tennessee, Texas AM, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Week 6, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25 – 2016 WEEK 5

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope There is nothing Alabama has done to hurt their ability to be the #1 team. In fact, you can make a case for the Tide, Ohio St. or Clemson & it would be hard to think any of them aren’t deserving. One thing that Alabama isn’t doing over the last two weeks is putting the hammer down on their opponents. Over the last two weeks Alabama has beaten Kent St. 48-0 and Kentucky 34-6. Those are beatings to be sure, but I think we are all waiting for Alabama to beat those teams 63-0. A bit more style from Alabama please!
#2 Computer Hope Clemson needed a late 4th quarter TD drive to beat Louisville 42-36, but the Tigers got a HUGE win over a Louisville team that can certainly make a case for being the best team in the nation. QB Deshaun Watson had an incredible game but to me the story of the game was Clemson’s D-Line. The Tigers sacked Louisville QB Lamar Jackson 5 times, picked him off once, had 10 tackles for loss and 9 QB hurries! If Clemson’s D-Line continues to play like that for the rest of the season, they have the ability to win a championship!
#3 Computer Hope Right now it’s hard to argue Ohio St. isn’t the hottest team in the country. They aren’t simply beating teams. They are destroying teams. There was a lot of talk this weekend about how much difference Ohio St. is this year than last because of how bad they are beating teams. Last year Ohio St. won their first 4 and were +89 in point differential. This year through their first 4 games the Buckeyes are +191 so there is some validity for that argument. At the same time, the schedule has been about as soft as Charmin.
#4 Computer Hope Going on the road to Clemson and losing 42-36 is hardly anything the hang your head over. I think Louisville came out a little flat in the first half & gave up a few too many big plays. It took Lamar Jackson a couple of series to really get warmed up and the defense gave up a couple of big plays. It happens. Louisville didn’t do anything to diminish their playoff resume in my opinion. The Cardinals need Clemson to go 13-0, to hammer Houston, &  hope there aren’t 4 undefeated teams from Power-5 conferences.
#5 Computer Hope If Michigan doesn’t miss 3 field goals then they beat the Badgers 23-7 instead of 14-7. I really liked Michigan’s dedication to the run despite not being terribly successful with it. Wisconsin’s defense is no joke & the Wolverines were able to make big plays at times. A lot of credit goes to Michigan’s defense. They all but shut down Wisconsin’s running game and picked off QB Alex Hornibrook three times. Michigan St. losing to Indiana throws the Big 10 into a bit of turmoil. It’s not entirely clear how good team are.
#6 Computer Hope Michigan looks like a playoff caliber team and Wisconsin went into the Big House with a rookie QB and almost pulled off a stunning victory. It’s almost IMPOSSIBLE for a team to beat 3 top-10 teams in the same season especially with those 3 games away from home. The fact that Wisconsin was able to pull off wins over LSU & Michigan St. speaks volumes for the team. Like Louisville, Wisconsin didn’t do anything to damage their playoff chances. They get a bye week before Ohio State. Win that one & everything changes.
#7 Computer Hope The 44-6 win over Stanford was the type of win Washington needed to establish the program as a national power once again. It’s debatable as to how good  Stanford is, but after watching this game I feel as if Washington might be the most complete team in the nation. Jake Browning is a QB that isn’t going to make mistakes. Myles Gaskin is a tremendous RB but Lavon Coleman stole the show for me. The D-Line is relentless & the receivers are blazing fast especially John Ross. The have to win at Oregon.
#8 Computer Hope Beating South Carolina 24-13 was a little too close for my liking but the Aggies were without DE Myles Garrett, WR Ricky Seals-Jones and WR Speedy Noil. WRs Christian Kirk and Josh Reynolds were still around but obviously A&M wasn’t at full strength. Trevor Knight continues to do a tremendous job running & throwing the football. Along with Trayveon Williams, A&M’s rushing attack is as lethal as any in the nation. Their next two games come against Alabama  & Tennessee. That should tell us quite a bit.
#9 Computer Hope Houston is entirely too good for the American Athletic Conference. This week the Cougars hammered UConn 42-14 as Greg Ward passed for 389 yards & 3TD while also running for 65 yards & 2TD. Houston’s rush defense was also tremendous. The Oklahoma win is going to look better & better especially if the Sooners wind up winning the Big XII, but what  Houston needs to focus on is getting to Louisville. If Houston can get a win over the Cardinals & win the AAC, then the playoffs are in play.
#10 Computer Hope Don’t be shocked if Memphis is 10-1 when they host Houston on November 25th. It’ll be for the AAC-West title with the Tigers likely having a chance to derail Houston’s dream season assuming the Cougars defeat Louisville. With that said, Ole Miss ripped through Memphis like it was nothing en route to a 48-28 win in Oxford. Chad Kelly threw for almost 400 yards and the Ole Miss running attack almost went for 300! The defense could have been a bit tighter but did force 4 turnovers. This was a solid win.
#11 Computer Hope GOOD GRIEF THEY DID IT AGAIN!!! Tennessee is sort of becoming reminiscent of Auburn when the Tigers won the national championship in 2010 or Clemson last year when they got to the title game. The Vols looked like they were in for their first loss between the hedges when Josh Dobbs hit the Hail Mary to Jauan Jennings for a 43-yard game winning TD. Never mind the fact that Jacob Eason hit Riley Ridley for a 47-yard TD with 10 seconds left to give Georgia a 31-28 lead. UT just keeps winning.
#12 Computer Hope Auburn played Auburn football Saturday & blitzed UL-Monroe 58-7 behind 410 rushing yards & 5 rushing TDs! Gus Malzahn probably didn’t handle the QB situation that great in Week 1 against Clemson, but Sean White has been the starter ever since & in his 4 starts he’s gone 68/93 (73%) for 843 yards & 5TD without throwing an interception. In those 4 games the Tigers are averaging 5.5ypc. War Eagle isn’t getting a lot of love but they’ve only lost to A&M and Clemson and both were close losses. This team is dangerous.
#13 Computer Hope As I said last week when Clemson faced Georgia Tech, road wins over the Yellow Jackets aren’t easy. Miami-FL’s defense wasn’t as disciplined as Clemson and had a hard time stopping the GT running attack, but Miami did enough on offense and forced GT into 3 turnovers which was enough for Miami-FL to get a 35-21 win. I love that Miami-FL is playing well because I think they are good it’s good for college football but THE U gets FSU, UNC, VT, Notre Dame & Pittsburgh in their next 5 games! Good grief!
#14 Computer Hope I knew something was different about Colorado when they hammered Colorado St. to open the season 44-7. Since then they’ve done nothing to dispel that notion. This week’s 47-6 win over Oregon St. is exactly the kind of performance you’d expect from a contending team. Freshman QB Steven Montez was a bit sharper & UC’s running attack is nothing if not punishing. The Buffs led 37-6 at halftime! Colorado’s only loss is a road loss to Michigan. They get USC next week. They’ll move up with a win there.
#15 Computer Hope Georgia is a tough team to rank right now because they’ve lost two straight games, but the losses have come against Tennessee & Ole Miss so how bad can the Dawgs be? The opening week win over North Carolina looks amazing now that the Tar Heels beat Florida St. this past weekend. Georgia can make a strong argument they should have beaten Tennessee, but you have to remember that Georgia got pretty lucky taking the lead with 10 seconds left. If UGA can beat Florida, they could finish 10-2.
#16 Computer Hope That was a huge win for North Carolina and even though the final was 37-35, it’s worth remembering that the Tar Heels took a 28-14 lead into the 4th quarter. It’s even more amazing that UNC got a win with Dalvin Cook rushing for 140 yards & 3TD and totaling 106 receiving yards! The Heels lost their first game to South Carolina last year before winning 11 straight & winning the ACC Coastal. With no Clemson or Louisville on the schedule, the same could happen again this year which is an amazing run for the Heels.
#17 Computer Hope Not ready to give up on Florida St. just yet but the defense is a serious problem. Against FBS teams, FSU is allowing 42.3 points per game. That would rank as the 6th worst defense among FBS teams thus far. With the sort of talent Florida St. has on that side of the ball, giving up 40+PPG is criminal. We saw what happened at Notre Dame when the defense was garbage. I don’t know if DC Charles Kelly is in danger, but he’s got to get the defense turned around. They can’t score 35 points and lose games.
#18 Computer Hope Oklahoma had a solid attack in a 52-46 road win over TCU. It’s the Big XII so we can sort of expect that defense is optional at this point, but QB Baker Mayfield was very efficient and the rushing attack behind Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine ran extremely well. To be fair to Oklahoma, their only losses are to Ohio State and Houston, two undefeated teams. It’s entirely possible those teams finish 13-0. If the Sooners win out they are 10-2. They are probably out of playoff contention but can win the Big XII & a bowl.
#19 Computer Hope Arkansas got busy Saturday against Alcorn St. in a 52-10 win that saw the Razorbacks rush for 353 yards & 3TD while averaging 9.3ypc! Arkansas is a solid team, but like the days under Bobby Petrino, they need to start making a splash in the SEC West. Being 4-1 is nice but they can make big gains over the next two weeks as Alabama & Ole Miss come to Fayetteville. The remaining schedule is about as nasty as you can imagine so it’ll be interesting to see if Arkansas can stay in some low scoring affairs.
#20 Computer Hope Beating Vanderbilt 13-6? Color me unimpressed. The Gators couldn’t get loose on the ground and Austin Appleby couldn’t find the endzone. If Vanderbilt doesn’t turn the ball over 3 times the Gators might have been up against their 2nd straight loss to a team from the Volunteer state. At some point Florida is going to have to score some points which is odd to say considering Jim McElwain is an offensive guy. At this point Florida’s defense is carrying the team, but they’ll face much tougher teams than Vandy!
#21 Computer Hope Eeek. It took Nebraska 3 quarters to wake up against Illinois but managed to score 21 points in the 4th quarter to defeat the Illini 31-16 and get to 5-0! The Oregon win doesn’t look nearly as good now that the Ducks are completely in the tank and have lost to both Colorado and Washington State. I love how the Huskers are playing ball. Tommy Armstrong has never looked better while Terrell Newby & Devine Ozigbo keep running wild. Indiana & Purdue should be wins but Ohio St. & Wisconsin come calling.
#22 Computer Hope On the one hand you can argue that Baylor didn’t really deserve to win that game. On the other hand, you can argue that Iowa St. should have never really bee in the game given that the Bears rushed for 469 yards & 5TD while averaging 7.6ypc! Baylor is going to keep winning but the Big XII is so damaged that even if they go 12-0, could you argue the Bears should be a playoff team over an 11-1 Louisville squad? I guess they need to keep winning games, but the Big XII is a disaster. They need to fix the conference.
#23 Computer Hope The Hokies are coming off a bye week and although they haven’t really beaten anyone yet, the loss to Tennessee keeps looking pretty good especially when you consider that Virginia Tech beat Tennessee for a half. Their schedule isn’t exactly easy but the Hokies do avoid Clemson, Florida State and Louisville. A win in Chapel Hill could catapult Virginia Tech into the national discussion. I don’t think they can win the ACC but finishing 11-2 with a Coastal title is nothing to cry about. It’s a huge step for this program.
#24 Computer Hope Missouri isn’t a very good team, but LSU played the kind of football it can play & still win out. They might need some luck to beat Alabama, but they get the Tide in Death Valley so who knows. Derrius Guice and Darrel Williams are outstanding and if Leonard Fournette comes back, the Tigers have a RB capable of taking it to the house on every single down with almost no chance of anyone getting tired. If Danny Etling can manage games & the defense gets loose, why can’t LSU finish 10-2 or 9-3?
#25 Computer Hope Let’s just say Stanford caught Washington at a really bad time combined with the Cardinal having a really bad game. On the bright side Stanford still has wins over UCLA & USC which look pretty good and should continue to look better as those two squads are actually good football teams albeit not ELITE ones. Stanford can right the ship over the next three weeks with win over Washington St., Colorado & Notre Dame. That would make them 6-1 and an 11-1 season isn’t out of the qustion for the Cardinal.

DROPPING OUT

#21 MICHIGAN STATE: Losing to Wisconsin is one thing. Losing to Indiana? That’s unacceptable. The win over Notre Dame is garbage now given that the Irish lost a home game to Duke. I don’t know what Michigan St. does from here. They still get Ohio St. & Michigan which means 8-4 is the best they can hope for. Just a brutal 24-21OT loss to the Hoosiers that effectively kills their season.

#23 SAN DIEGO STATE: A loss to South Alabama? That went south fast for the Aztecs.

#24 UTAH: The loss at California isn’t that big of a deal I suppose but the Pac 12 gets quirky. Utah loses to Cal but Cal lost to Arizona St. who just got blown out by USC. Either the Pac 12 has a lot of teams that should be ranked or it has a lot of teams that are just OK with one really potentially great team in Washington. Who knows? Utah still has a shot to win the South, but every week seems to be confusion for most of the Pac 12.

#25 ARIZONA STATE: Losing to USC isn’t the end of the world, but what a mess the Pac 12 South is. It’s crazy to think the Sun Devils defense is this bad.

October 2, 2016 Posted by | Alabama, Arizona St., Arkansas, Auburn, Baylor, Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Georgia, Houston, Louisville, LSU, Miami-FL, Michigan, Michigan St., Mississippi, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Power 25, San Diego St., Stanford, Tennessee, Texas AM, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Week 5, Wisconsin | Leave a comment

2016 NCAA FOOTBALL WEEK 5 – BIG GAMES

Week 5 already!! This is crazy! I hate how fast the college football goes by. After this week there will be some teams that are one win away from bowl eligibility. That sounds crazy but it’s true. Let’s get to this week best 10 games.

AWAY QUICK THOUGHTS HOME
Computer Hope Clemson’s win over Georgia Tech last week was nice & the Tigers defense came out to play, but playing against an offense like Tech’s is inherently difficult because of the blocking scheme employed by those triple option types of offenses. We’ll really see how Clemson does this week after playing the Jackets last week. Lamar Jackson has to be licking his chops at this one. Louisville has destroyed everything in their path but this is the first real road test for the Ville! Computer Hope
Computer Hope If Wisconsin walks into Ann Arbor and does to the Wolverines what they did the Spartans last week, how are they not the #1 team in the nation with wins over LSU, Michigan and Michigan St. with NONE of them coming in Camp Randall!? I’d like to say Wisconsin hasn’t seen a rushing attack quite like Michigan’s yet, but they locked up Leonard Fournette for crying out loud. Michigan is averaging 52PPG. They aren’t going to come close to that even if they win. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Huge game for both teams and probably the game that will decide the Pac 12 North. Washington was almost caught sleeping last week down in Arizona as they needed OT to pull out a win over the Wildcats because they were looking ahead to Stanford. Stanford on the other hand hasn’t been that great. Sure they’ve won all their games, but those wins haven’t exactly moved the meter. There’s no dominance to this Cardinal team. A win by either vaults them in the rankings. Computer Hope
Computer Hope It would be great if Tennessee could put together two halves of a football game so we could see how dominant the Vols can be. We were somewhat saying the same thing about Ole Miss last week before Georgia came into Oxford. Ole Miss didn’t disappoint taking Georgia to the woodshed early & often. Tennessee has the same opportunity this week & Nick Chubb might not be playing. Beat Georgia and there really isn’t anyone left in the East to challenge Tennessee. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Isn’t it amazing that TCU is ranked despite beating South Dakota St., SMU & Iowa St. but losing to Arkansas? This is a good game for Oklahoma to get back on track. The Frogs do a few things well, but defensively this is not one of Gary Patterson’s best units. Oklahoma should be able to exploit that and flex a bit on the TCU defense. I don’t think Oklahoma can tank the season simply because they have 2 losses. They still could win the Big XII & hope for a miracle. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Nobody is really talking about Memphis, but the Tigers beat Ole Miss last year 37-24 en route to starting the season 8-0 & being ranked #15. You’d think Memphis would be down a bit after losing their HC (Justin Fuente) & QB (Paxton Lynch), but new HC Mike Norvell has this team humming. In their first 3 games, the Tigers have outscored their opponents 155-27! QB Riley Ferguson is playing well, Memphis runs the ball well & the defense is great! Very interesting. Computer Hope
Computer Hope This should be a great game not many people will see. Utah has a window in the Pac 12 South that could catapult them into national contention if they keep winning. Cal has shown an ability to get loose at home with wins over Texas and Hawaii. If the Bears can allow Davis Webb to play within himself the Bears could win this thing. Cal hasn’t faced a defense as staunch as Utah’s though. If Utah can win this one they could be 8-0 before hosting Washington on 10/29! Computer Hope
Computer Hope Cool opportunity for the Hurricanes to once again show they are better than the team that just beat their opponent. Earlier in the year Tennessee needed OT to beat Appalachian St. in Knoxville. Miami went into Boone & hammered the Mounties 45-10. Last week Clemson went into Atlanta & beat GT 26-7. This week Miami-FL will follow & it’ll be interesting to see if “THE U” can win by a more convincing score. We’re still in wait & see mode with Miami at this point. Computer Hope
Computer Hope Texas had an extra week to stew over their road loss to California, but I’m excited to see what the Longhorns can do against Oklahoma St. in Stillwater. Last week the Cowboys went on the road to Baylor & played the Bears pretty tough despite losing. The win over Notre Dame doesn’t look so hot but it’s still hard to deny the talent on Texas’ roster & how exciting the offense & defense could be. Like Oklahoma, Texas still has a shot at winning the Big XII championship. Computer Hope
Computer Hope How cool is it that Navy and Air Force are 3-0 and facing off! This will be a great game if you like rushing offense, but I’m excited for this because of Air Force. Navy has Houston, Memphis & Notre Dame on the schedule, but if the Falcons can get a win here, they could be 11-0 when they host Boise St. on November 25th. Get by Boise St. and they’d get San Diego St. in the MW championship game. There is a lot going on outside the Power 5 with a few teams. Computer Hope

September 27, 2016 Posted by | Air Force, Big Games, California, Clemson, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Memphis, Miami-FL, Michigan, Mississippi, Must See Games, Navy, NCAA, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Stanford, TCU, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Washington, Week 5, Wisconsin | Leave a comment