No Sleep Till Football

Like Brooklyn, Except It's Football!



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NFC EAST: Clearly the division is over. The Eagles are easily taking the division & their only worry at this point is playing good enough football to secure the #1 seed which would ensure that the road to the Super Bowl definitely goes the City of Brotherly Love! Because the Cowboys & Redskins play each other this week, the winner is going to get to 6-6, but it might be too little too late given how well the Saints, Panthers, Seahawks, Rams, Lions & Falcons are playing. If the Redskins or Cowboys were to make the playoffs, they’d have to win out and finish to even have a chance to get into the discussion.

NFC NORTH: Like the East, the North has been decided with the Vikings taking the division. Minnesota has a 3 game lead on 2nd place Detroit with just 5 games to play. It’s over. I think the Packers at 5-6 are also out of it meaning the Lions at 6-5 are the only other viable playoff squad. What is absolutely killer for the Lions is that they have lost games this season to the Saints, Falcons & Panthers meaning Detroit loses all head-to-head tiebreakers against those team. The Lions are only 1 game behind Atlanta, but they are effectively 3 games behind New Orleans & Carolina. That’s almost IMPOSSIBLE to overcome and remember that the Lions have road games against the Bengals & Ravens left & both of those squads will be playing for their own playoff chances.

NFC SOUTH: This is the most competitive division when it comes to dominant front teams. Carolina & New Orleans are 8-3 followed by Atlanta at 7-4. Ultimately, this division is far from over. The Saints & Panther have a game left against one another. The Saints & Falcons still have 2 games to play against one another while the Panthers & the Falcons play each other in the last week of the season which could possibly be a game that decides the division. Given all of these games, you have to wonder if these teams are going to beat each other up enough to force one of them to miss the playoffs. One thing to keep in mind is the tiebreaker situation with Seattle. The only NFC South team to play Seattle has been Atlanta & the Falcons won that game. If the Rams are the West team playing for a playoff spot, then remember that the only NFC South team the Rams have faced is New Orleans & the Rams upended the Saints to own the tiebreaker. Tons of football left to be played in this division.

NFC WEST: This division comes down to the Rams & Seahawks. Like the South there is a lot of football to be played. Seattle trails the Rams by just a single game but remember that Seattle beat the Rams in LA back in Week 5 so the next time these teams play it’ll be in Seattle with the Seahawks having a shot to get the season sweep. Seattle has a little bit tougher road than Los Angeles, but if they can beat the Rams at home & stay even with LA then Seattle wins the West. I think a team that could be interesting down the stretch is Arizona. Sure the Cardinals are 5-6, but Blaine Gabbert flashed against the Jaguars last ween in an improbably win for the Cardinals. Arizona’s remaining schedule isn’t brutal and I could see them winning out to get to 9-6 before they play their season finale in Seattle. It sounds far fetched, but it sounded far fetched that Arizona would beat Jacksonville! At least Arizona is interesting now.



Love these matchups. Matt Ryan v. Jared Goff and Drew Brees v. Cam Newton. I can’t help but root for a Jared Goff/Carson Wentz game which in this case would be the NFC Championship game. If the Rams get the #4 seed then those guys would meet in the NFC Divisional round. I think it’s also interesting to see somewhat of a changing of the guard when it comes to young QBs. I’d like to see Aaron Rodgers in the mix just because he’s outstanding, but Goff & Wentz entering the fray should put the rest of the league on notice.


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AFC EAST: The East is out of reach for the Bills because of the Patriots dominance, but Buffalo is still a viable wild card candidate. The AFC is tough because the wild card is such a mess. I think there are still 6 teams fighting for the two wild card spots and the Bills are one of them. What’s tough for Buffalo is that they still have two games left against the Patriots. If you assume they lose both then the best the Bills can finish is 9-7. Would that be enough? It’s certainly possible given that the Ravens are the current #6 seed & they are 6-5 just like the Bills. It’s worth knowing the Bills lost head to head games against the Bengals & Chargers while they won head to head wins over the Raiders and Chiefs. If the Bills can split with the Patriots they could finish 10-6 & potentially avoid some tiebreaker issues.

AFC NORTH: Like the East, the North is pretty much finished with the Steelers penciled in as division champs. Pittsburgh is essentially going to battle New England the rest of the way to decide the #1 seed and they’ll play each other in a couple of weeks. What is most interesting about this division is the battle for 2nd between the Ravens & Bengals. Cincinnati has won 2 straight games & Joe Mixon flashed huge against the Browns last week infusing serious hopes into Cincinnati’s playoff hopes. Cincinnati lost to Baltimore in Week 1 of the season 20-0 and both teams will end the season playing each other. The Ravens have a couple of games left against the Colts & Browns so I think Baltimore has the decisive edge, but the Bengals could make it interesting. At the very least I think we’ll see an extremely competitive Bengals team the last 5 weeks of the season. As for Baltimore, if the Ravens can defend their home turf, they should be able to finish the season 4-1 making them 10-6 which should be enough unless the Chargers win out.

AFC SOUTH: It’s worth noting that the Titans own the tiebreaker against both Cincinnati & Baltimore should they finish with tied records. It’s also worth noting that the Jaguars own the tiebreaker against the Bengals, Ravens & Chargers should they finish tied with any of those three teams. When it comes to tiebreakers, the Titans & Jaguars are in excellent shape to grab a wild card spot for whichever team finishes 2nd. I think Jacksonville is the better team, but both of these squads are seriously hampered by inept QB play so far this season. If Jacksonville can win out at home, at worst they’ll finish 11-5 which will be enough to get into the playoffs as a wild card team or division winner. The same goes for the Titans although I’d argue they have an easier path. Tennessee could legitimately get to 12-4, but remember that if Tennessee wins their home games, it would mean beating the Jags later this season giving Tennessee the season sweep.

AFC WEST: The AFC West plays a lot like the NFC South as it has 3 teams with legit chances to make the playoffs. Let’s look at each one. The Chiefs are in complete free fall at the moment going 1-5 in their last 6 games. They still lead the West with a 6-5 record but they can’t hold off the hard charging Chargers if they keep up this pace. Heck, if the Chiefs keep up this pace they’ll finish behind LA and Oakland! Kansas City’s schedule isn’t horrible. If they win at Arrowhead they should win their last 5 games, finish 11-5 and go to the playoffs. They get both Oakland & Los Angeles at home & if they win those two games the division is basically over. The Chargers are the most talented team in the division. Their schedule is very friendly too and they should easily be able to win 4 of their last 5 games with the tricky game coming on the road in Kansas City. If the Chargers play to talent, at worst they are 9-7. At best they are 10-6 & division winners. The Raiders aren’t out of it at 5-6, but their road is nasty. They have 3 remaining road games against the Chiefs, Eagles & Chargers and they also have home game against the Cowboys. If Oakland gets to the playoffs, they’ll definitely have earned it.



I think this is a pretty fluid situation. The only guarantees in the AFC are the #1 and #2 seeds which are going to be occupied by the Patriots & Steelers. I think the other seeds are still up for grabs. I think what’s so interesting about the AFC is that the teams are effective in different ways. I think Pittsburgh & New England are the clear cut leaders in the AFC but they could run into some odd type of matchups. Nobody really wants to face Jacksonville, Baltimore or Tennessee because those squads could pose major problems with their running game. Nobody wants to face the Chargers because of Philip Rivers & their exceptional pass rush on defense. So much football to be played in these last 5 weeks to determine who actually gets in.


November 30, 2017 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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