Fantasy Gunslinger

Football with an Emphasis on Fantasy & Gambling

NFL POWER 32 – 2017 WEEK 10

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. Philly moves up a spot to #1 heading into their bye week at 8-1 & the best record in the NFL. The Eagles have done what we’ve thought them capable of, but the real test starts this week when they play their last 7 games. To date, they’ve played 2 playoff teams (Carolina & Kansas City) and have split with those squads. There is something to be said for beating the teams you are supposed to beat, but to this point that is what Philadelphia has done. The schedule gets a bit tougher from this point forward.
#2 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Colts 20-17. I thought Indianapolis might be rallying the team after releasing Vontae Davis, but the Steelers had way more trouble than I expected. It was almost as if Pittsburgh sleep walked through this game. They were still good enough to beat a bad Colts squad, but Pittsburgh can’t expect to play like this against legitimate teams & come away with wins. Then again, if you are going to take a game off, why not against the Colts? JuJu Smith-Schuster’s emergence makes this an even better team.
#3 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Bills 47-10. There is no question I’m high on the Saints, but what they are doing is now bordering on ridiculous! It’s one thing to hammer teams in the Superdome, but when the Saints are going on the road to play wild card caliber squads and pasting them by 37, you know New Orleans is a FORCE. Mark Ingram & Alvin Kamara both ran for over 100 yards each and combined to score 4TDs! The Saints defense essentially destroyed any job security Bills QB Tyrod Taylor had. The defense is scary now!
#4 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Broncos 41-16. Tom Brady threw for 266 yards & 3TD in New England’s win over Denver that sent the Patriots to 7-2. Brady leads the league in passing yards with 2,907 & is completing 67% of his passes. He has 19TDs to  only 2INTs thus far & it’s hard to believe he’s the oldest starting QB in the NFL. Health is a skill and if Brady has mastered this skill, he’s going to break every record in history of QB in the NFL. I love Peyton Manning. I love Troy Aikman, but it’s getting harder to argue that Brady isn’t the GOAT.
#5 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Texans 33-7. Houston stink, but last I checked Deshaun Watson played QB and not on the defense! Houston is supposed to have a respectable defense. The Rams offense is a thing of beauty at this point. Jared Goff is on pace to finish with over 4200 passing yards which is nuts considering what happened during his rookie season. He’s pushing the ball down the field & not turning the ball over. The Rams have an excellent defense which is gravy because it’s going to be hard to stop them from scoring 30.
#6 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Chargers 20-17. This was a big win for Jacksonville because the Chargers are a legitimate playoff team masquerading as a 3-6 squad. It’s ridiculous just how unlucky Los Angeles is. Their move from San Diego to LA certainly didn’t fool Lady Luck. What’s interesting about the Jaguars now is that they are good enough to win even when Blake Bortles is awful. I don’t think they can beat Pittsburgh or New England this way, but they can get to the divisional round of the playoffs even with terrible QB play.
#7 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. The Chiefs got a much needed week off after sputtering their last 4 games, going 1-3 in those contests before their breather. Going forward, Kansas City needs to figure out their defense. They rank 19th in the league in points allowed per game, but advanced metrics say they are even worse than that. The loss of Eric Berry was huge, but the Chiefs have also had DEs Tamba Hali and Dee Ford miss some significant time. To be fair, Kansas City’s backend schedule is brutally weak so they should in theory finish 13-3.
#8 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Dolphins 45-21. The Panthers enter their bye week playing excellent football having crushed the Dolphins by 24 points which was their 3rd straight win. The Panthers are 7-3 and in prime position to make the playoffs. An interesting stat about Cam Newton: In Carolina’s 3 losses, Newton has 1TD and 8INT. In Carolina’s 7 wins, Newton has 13TD and 2INT. I’m sure this is probably true of every QB, but the difference with Newton is startling. Carolina’s chances are directly tied to Newton’s interceptions.
#9 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Redskins 38-30. An odd defensive effort for the Vikings giving up 30 points which is probably masked by the QB controversy brewing in Minnesota. Case Keenum was fantastic again this past week against the Redskins. He’s 5-2 as a starter this season & playing the best football of his life. However, Teddy Bridgewater is now active so you have to wonder when he’s going to get a chance to get back on the field? The Vikings are a Super Bowl threat so it’ll be interesting to see how Coach Zimmer handles this.
#10 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Falcons 7-27. Chaz Green. WOW! Dallas was hammered last week against the Falcons. Many thought the big loss was going to be Ezekiel Elliott, but what we’ve found out is that losing Tyron Smith was a MUCH bigger loss than their 2nd year running back! Green was straight up abused by Adrian Clayborn in Dallas 27-7 loss. He picked up 6 sacks himself in the game while the Cowboys as a unit allowed 8 sacks. Tyron Smith isn’t playing this week either against the Eagles meaning bad things!!
#11 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Cowboys 27-7. The win over Dallas is nice & puts the Falcons back into the playoff picture, but the real test is this weekend with a road game in Seattle. A win and the Falcons might be well on their way back to the Super Bowl. A loss and Atlanta might be dead in the water assuming the teams above them don’t completely tank. The offensive problems with Atlanta are still perplexing. Julio Jones has one touchdown so far this year. One touchdown!?!?!?! I don’t expect Steve Sarkisian to be back next season!
#12 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Cardinals 22-16. Solid win for the Seahawks who find themselves in the #6 seed if the season ended today. Attrition is starting to become a problem for the Seahawks. They still aren’t a good running team and they still don’t have a good O-Line. Now they have defensive players dropping like flies. Kam Chancellor & Richard Sherman are out for the season with injuries which SEVERELY weakens their secondary. Chancellor is one of my favorite players & I feel almost underrated in a way. His loss is huge.
#13 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Bengals 24-20. Something isn’t right here. Tennessee dominated time of possession against the Bengals and did what they wanted to with their running attack, yet they also needed a last minute TD to get a 24-20 win over a Bengals team that simply isn’t very good. It’s hard to ignore this Titans team because they are 6-3 & in theory have a team designed to win in the postseason given their two-headed monster rushing attack, but they have a more difficult time winning games than you would imagine.
#14 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Vikings 30-38. Brutal home loss for the Redskins who were coming off a very emotional road win over the Seahawks the week before. The Redskins had a pretty good game offensively & they did a nice job stopping Minnesota’s rushing attack, but Washington had no answer for Case Keenum & the secondary played poorly. The Skins couldn’t get Minnesota off the field on 3rd down & that’s usually a bad sign. The Skins have been dealing with massive injury issues so nothing is breaking their way in ’17.
#15 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Browns 38-24. Detroit had WAY TOO against a winless Cleveland Browns team. It was interesting to hear that Lions safety Quinton Glover tell reporters after the game that he thought the Browns had top-10 talent. Maybe there is something there, but you have to wonder about the argument that there are certainly a lot of talented football players in the NFL, but that doesn’t always mean that these talented NFL players are actually good football players. Is Cleveland really better than we think they are or…..
#16 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. No game for the Raiders this week, but Oakland did sort of get a win because the Bills are going to sit Tyrod Taylor in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman. Maybe Buffalo actually gets better with Peterman under center, but at this point the Bills hold on the #6 seed in the AFC playoff race seems tenuous meaning there is opportunity for the Ravens, Raiders, & Dolphins to swoop in and take that spot. Can Oakland find the consistency needed to emerge from that pack & take the last playoff seed? Would be interesting if they did.
#17 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Saints 10-47. Losing to the Saints at home by 37 is bad, but benching Tyrod Taylor when you are still a playoff team!? That’s a bold move by HC Sean McDermott, but I guess it’s possible the Bills get better. Maybe Taylor was losing the locker room? Had a drop in confidence? Even more weird is that rookie Nathan Peterman is going to get his first start against the Chargers who have a formidable pass rush. I like this Bills team. I like the defense & I think LeSean McCoy is a game changer. Very odd.
#18 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. Like the Raiders, Baltimore didn’t play a game, but they are seemingly in a better position with Buffalo playing a little loose with their grip on the last playoff spot. There is certainly a lot of football to be played, but I really like Baltimore’s chance to getting into the playoffs. I’ve been preaching this all season long, but if Baltimore can just commit to the run & rely on their defense, I think they make the playoffs with a legit shot at getting a playoff win. Joe Flacco has never been in the playoffs without winning at least one game!
#19 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Jaguars 17-20. GOOD GRIEF! ANOTHER CLOSE LOSS FOR THE CHARGERS! The Chargers are 2-6 this season in games decided by 8 points or less. They were 4-9 in 2016. They were 3-9 in 2015. It’s entirely feasible that the Chargers have been playoff caliber the last three years but are a combined 9-24 in close games. It’s one thing to be unlucky but good grief! In that same time period the Patriots have been 14-5! The Patriots avoid close games & maybe that’s the trick for LA. They need to stay out of close games!
#20 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Bears 23-16. Brett Hundley gets his first win of the season! Hundley was really good against Chicago while he got tremendous help on the ground from Jamaal Williams & Ty Montgomery who ran the ball well. The Packers defense was able to hold Jordan Howard down & the Bears all but ignored Tariq Cohen forcing Mitch Trubisky to make plays through the air which he didn’t do. The Packers aren’t out of the playoff hunt. If they defend Lambeau down the stretch, they should be fighting for the last wild card spot.
#21 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Packers 16-23. Tough loss for the Bears at home. I don’t understand why Chicago isn’t game planning at all to get Tariq Cohen the ball more. He got one carry and 2 targets against the Packers last week. You can make an argument that Cohen is by far Chicago’s most dangerous play maker on offense & they simply don’t dial it up enough for him. It was encouraging for Mitch Trubisky however. The North Carolina product had his best game as a pro going 21 of 35 for 297 yards & a TD with no interceptions!
#22 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Bucs 10-15. Terrible offensive output for the Jets which underscores the fact that New York needs every skill position imaginable on offense going into next season. The defense played exceedingly well holding Tampa Bay to just 15 points, but the offense managed only 3 until a garbage time TD brought their final point total to 10. Of any team going into the 2018 NFL Draft, the Jets are the most likely to draft a QB. Their record is too good to get in on the Sam Darnold/Josh Allen sweepstakes, but Baker Mayfield?
#23 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Titans 20-24. This lost was soul crushing. Cincinnati hasn’t been nearly as good as I thought they’d be, but beating Tennessee would have pushed Cincy to 4-5 with 4 home games and a couple of winnable road games to finish the season. Win those games & the Bengals finish 10-6 & probably make the playoffs. They could still do that, but they’d finish 9-7 if everything breaks right & I think the difference between 9 and 10 wins is pretty big. That said, I wouldn’t count Cincy out just yet. They could make a run.
#24 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Jets 15-10. As if the questions about Jameis Winston couldn’t get any worse? The Bucs are in a terrible position right now because it has gone from a team many thought would make the playoffs to a team that literally needs to be rebuilt. I’m not sold on Winston anyway & given the nature of this latest controversy, I might cut ties with him. This isn’t Big Ben. The Bucs also need to move on from Doug Martin. They also have no pass rush, and could Dirk Koetter be on his way out? This looks like a huge rebuild!
#25 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Panthers 21-45. Miami isn’t completely out of it, but their remaining schedule is pretty bad. They still haven’t played New England or Buffalo meaning they get both of those teams twice. They also have a road game against the Chiefs. Let’s assume they lose in Kansas City & split their divisional games. That means Miami is looking at no better than 8-8 & potentially 7-9 if the Patriots sweep them which seems likely. It’s not on Jay Cutler. Cutler has been a lot better than I thought. He should play in 2018.
#26 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Seahawks 16-22. The Cardinals are now down to Blaine Gabbert playing QB which means they’ve hit rock bottom. Carson Palmer is injured. David Johnson is injured. Now Drew Stanton is injured. They never quite got into the game against the Seahawks. Arizona couldn’t run the ball & had no answer for Russell Wilson. That was a tough loss because it means Arizona is done for the season. They have some winnable games left on the schedule but everything has to break right & that rarely if ever happens in the NFL.
#27 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Patriots 16-41. EEK! In their last 5 games, the Broncos are averaging giving up 33 points. They’ve lost all 5 games. At this point you have to wonder if the defense is giving up on the team knowing they don’t have anywhere near the offense capable of competing for a championship. You’d hope that the Broncos defenders wouldn’t feel this way, but Denver is so bad at the QB position it’s laughable. It’s got to be dramatic for Von Miller going from having Peyton Manning as his QB to having Trevor Siemian.
#28 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Steelers 17-20. SO CLOSE! Big changes are coming for Indianapolis so it’s hard to get a grip on what is going on there now. I think the biggest question is whether or not we are going to see the same Andrew Luck ever again. This past week #12 was in Europe seeking alternative treatments to his ailing shoulder. That is never a good sign no matter how much the media wants to say it’s no big deal. It might not be, but at his point the only way Luck can prove the doubters wrong is to get on the field & show them.
#29 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Giants 31-21. The 49ers finally got a game into the win column by taking advantage of a terrible New York Giants team. CJ Beathard played really well & Carlos Hyde ran well while the defense did just enough to hold the G-men in check for 21 points. San Francisco goes on bye the next week so I’m sure we are going to see Jimmy Garoppolo the following week against Seattle in San Francisco. Amazingly enough, maybe that is a game SF could steal given all the injuries that the Seahawks have been suffering of late.
#30 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Rams 7-33. They’re terrible. In the 6 games that Deshaun Watson started for the Texans, Houston averaged 34.7PPG on offense & went 3-3. In the 3 games that Tom Savage has started for the Texans, Houston has averaged 9.3PPG on offense & went 0-3. I think the rest of the league would have caught up to Watson at some point, but there is no denying that Houston was significantly better with Watson under center than with Savage. I think the players know this as well & are playing like they have no chance.
#31 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to 49ers 21-31. Losing to the 0-9 San Francisco 49ers has to be the low point in New York’s season thus far. When you look at their remaining schedule, the wins are exceptionally difficult to see. A home game against the Redskins? A road game against the Cardinals? The Giants are looking at potentially finishing the season 1-15 which would be the worst record in franchise history. At what point do they roll the dice with Davis Webb? My guess that Eli Manning would have to give his blessing before being benched.
#32 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Lions 24-38. Is Quinton Glover right? Is this really one of the 10 most talented teams in all of football? I don’t know about that, but when you look at the roster, Cleveland does have some pretty good players & it makes you wonder why they are 0-9? If they are talented, you have to wonder what exactly is going on with the coaching. Hue Jackson is now 1-24 in his tenure as Cleveland’s HC. He’s 0-9 against other AFC North squads. What a mess. Do the Browns roll the dice on another QB in the 2017 Draft?
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November 19, 2017 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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