Fantasy Gunslinger

Football with an Emphasis on Fantasy & Gambling

NCAA POWER 25 – 2017 WEEK 6

#1 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Wake Forest 28-14. Not an overly dominant game for the Tigers but after playing Louisville, Auburn & Virginia Tech in 3 of the last 4 weeks, Clemson had to have an off game at some point. The big news is the injury to QB Kelly Bryant that forced Bryant out of the game. The injury doesn’t appear to be serious, but that could be a big loss if Bryant misses time. Then again, Hunter Johnson came in and went 5 of 5 for 42yds and a TD. Seems like Clemson is in good hands.
#2 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Texas A&M 27-19. Solid road win for the Tide going into College Station and beating an Aggies team that had won 4 straight after their insane loss to UCLA to open the season. Alabama beats you with vintage Alabama football. They win the turnover battle. They make offenses one dimensional, and they pound the rock mercilessly en route to beating everyone. RB Damien Harris ran for 124 yards while Jalen Hurts & Bo Scarbrough chipped in 56 & 55 respectively.
#3 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Vanderbilt 45-14. Every time you watch a Georgia game, the announcers always make it a point to tell you how Nick Chubb isn’t the same since coming back from injury, but he keeps getting better each week that I see him. Against Vandy, Chubb went for 138 yards & 2TD on 16 carries. He’s on pace for close to 1,500 yards & that’s with sharing the ball with Sony Michel who ran for 150 yards against the Commodores! This rushing attack rivals Alabama’s. It’s that good!
#4 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Mississippi 44-23. Since losing to Clemson, War Eagle is 4-0 & have outscored their opponents 168-57. I wouldn’t put too much stock in Ole Miss scoring 23 points. Auburn was trashing the Rebels 35-3 at halftime & 41-10 after 3 quarters before Ole Miss scored 13 garbage points. Kerryon Johnson LOST HIS MIND rushing for a career best 204 yards & 3TD while QB Jarrett Stidham as fantastic going 14/21 for 235yds/2TD. Auburn now has 3 road games before Georgia!
#5 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Northwestern 31-7. Keep in mind that Northwestern battled Wisconsin pretty hard before losing to the Badgers 33-24 in Madison. Penn St. annihilated the Wildcats in Evanston! What impressed me most about this game was Penn St.’s defense. Clayton Thorson is starting to get some NFL buzz and the Lions held him in check with relative ease. Penn St. forced 3 turnovers and had 4 sacks & 7 QB hurries against an overmatched Northwestern O-Line. Solid effort here.
#6 Computer Hope Last Week Beat West Virginia 31-24. Great win for the Horned Frogs! Statistically this is probably yet another game the Mountaineers should have won, but TCU played error free football while WVU made a couple of turnovers which was probably the difference in the game. A good question might be whether or not TCU QB Kenny Hill should be in the Heisman discussion? His stats aren’t breathtaking by any definition but he’s got the Frogs to a 5-0 start with some significant wins.
#7 Computer Hope Last Week Beat California 38-7. This seems entirely too low for the Huskies were are now 6-0 and coming off a season in which they won the Pac 12 and made the college football playoffs. The Cal Bears have won or were competitive in every game they’ve played this year until the Huskies showed up. The UW defense held Cal to -40 yards rushing, 9 first downs & 93 total yards. This is the same Cal offense that put 416 total yards on USC. This was a dominant defense effort by UW.
#8 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Nebraska 38-17. I’ve been saying all season that I thought Wisconsin might see some regression in their rushing attack with Corey Clements leaving for the NFL, but Jonathan Taylor is exceeding ALL expectations! Taylor ran for 249 yars/2TD on Nebraska in Lincoln and now has 767yds/9TD for the season! At this pace, Taylor will finish the season with mover 2,700 yards rushing & almost 20TD. Bryce Love gets a lot of attention as a RB, but Taylor shouldn’t be missed.
#9 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Iowa St. 31-38. The loss to Iowa St. is a major blight, but Oklahoma can’t be dropped too far given that they hammered Ohio St. in Columbus. In fairness to Oklahoma, Matt Campbell is a tremendous head coach & the Cyclones are 10 points away from being 5-0 and potentially in the top-10. One other thing to keep in mind is that the Sooners can still finish 12-1 as Big XII champs. Last year Clemson & the year before that Alabama both had losses.
#10 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Maryland 62-14. Different week same results. Ohio St. has been nothing short of dominant since losing to Oklahoma. Since their loss, the Buckeyes are 4-0, outscoring their opponents 204-42! That’s impressive to be sure, but the 4 wins came against Army, UNLV, Rutgers & Maryland. Did they thoroughly dominate the Terrapins this week? Sure, but they should beat Maryland by 40+ in Columbus. Can J.T. Barrett play this well against superior teams with talent?
#11 Computer Hope Last Week Beat North Carolina 33-10. Notre Dame can make a case for ranking 4th just below Georgia considering the Irish lost to the Bulldogs by a single point, 20-19. Against the Tar Heels, the Irish didn’t even play Brandon Wimbush so the backup QB Ian Book took the reigns and while he wasn’t perfect, Josh Adams ran for 118 yards while rFR Deon McIntosh tossed in 124! The Irish running attack is ridiculous, but keep an eye on that pass rush. It’s getting better and better!
#12 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Oregon 33-10. The Cougars are for real. I know Justin Herbert didn’t play for the Ducks on Saturday but you sort of thought Wazzou might have a let down after such an emotional in the week before over USC. Autzen Stadium is brutal to play in & Oregon was up to the challenge. It took the Cougars to a quarter to get over their hangover before outscoring Oregon 26-0 over the last 3 quarters. Luke Falk was dominant & the defense came up with a huge performance.
#13 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Boston College 23-10. The Hokies had a rough time with Eagles edge rushers Harold Landry & Zach Allen, but this was a solid conference road victory even if it doesn’t look overly spectacular. The offense wasn’t as dominant as it could have been but it played great ball control offense & the defense came up huge on 3rd down limiting Boston College to 2 3rd down conversions on 15 attempts. You kind of expected a little let down after losing to Clemson at home.
#14 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Florida St. 24-20. Outstanding 4th quarter comeback win by the Hurricanes! THE U had lost 7 straight games to their in-state rivals coming close quite a bit but never quite getting over the hump! The last time Miami beat FSU in Tallahassee was back in 2009. Malik Rosier found Darrell Langham 26 yards away in the endzone for the final score that sealed the game! Miami didn’t play particularly well, but did just enough at the end to squeak out a win & send FSU to 1-3!
#15 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Louisville 39-25. The Wolfpack are exceeding expectations and look to be the 2nd best team in the ACC Atlantic after beating Louisville this past week which they can add to their win over Florida State. The NC State defense held Lamar Jackson to just 3.8ypc rushing and a 55% completion rate as a passer. Yes Louisville piled up some yardage but NC State’s D-Line was excellent again & the offense was outstanding posting 520 total yards. NC State gets Clemson in Raleigh.
#16 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Oregon St. 38-10. USC bounced back in a big way after losing to Washington St. with a 38-10 route of Oregon State in Los Angeles. Sam Darnold completed 66% of his passes for 316yds & 3TD. The Trojans rushed for 184 yards & forced the Beavers into 3 turnovers. USC themselves had 3 turnovers so the squad could tighten up just a bit. The loss last week to Wazzou looks better now with the Cougars beating the Ducks in Eugene. USC can still win the Pac 12 championship.
#17 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. Tough week for Oklahoma State. On the one hand they saw their in-state rival Oklahoma lose at the hands of Iowa State. On the other, they didn’t get any help from West Virginia as the Mountaineers fell to TCU in Ft. Worth. The trick for the Cowboys is getting to the Big XII championship game. Instead of BEDLAM! not meaning much except for seeding, it now means everything as Oklahoma State needs to beat Oklahoma if it wants the Big XII Championship game.
#18 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Michigan 14-10. Wow! I never thought Michigan St. would go into Ann Arbor with the team they have & beat Michigan! Three things stand out to me. 1)Brian Lewerke is a helluva QB! He’s a game changing QB that can put a team on his back. 2)The Spartans defense is FILTHY. Yes they’re young but guys like Joe Bachie, Kenny Willekes, Chris Frey, & Khari Willis were phenomenal. 3)How good is Notre Dame? Remember the Irish beat MSU 38-18 in East Lansing!
#19 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to Michigan St. 10-14. Brutal loss for the Wolverines on a night that a monsoon struck & changed the game entirely because of the wet surface & ball. QB John O’Korn looked horrific going 16/35 for 198 yards & 3 interceptions. On the whole it was a nightmare game for Michigan who turned the ball over 5 times & was -5 in TO margin. You simply can’t beat a Michigan St. squad coached by Mark Dantonio at -5 in TO margin. That hole is entirely too big to climb out of.
#20 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to TCU 24-31. It’s interesting that West Virginia has lost 2 games, both by the score of 31-24! Both games have come away from Morgantown. It’s worth noting that WVU is -3 in TO margin in their two losses and +4 in TO margin in their 3 wins. With their only losses coming against TCU & Virginia Tech, WVU can make a pretty good case they are a top-15 squad, but they need to beat a real opponent. The wins have come against East Carolina, Delaware St. & Kansas.
#21 Computer Hope Last Week Beat UNLV 41-10. The Aztecs cruised to an easy win over UNLV as Rashaad Penny ran for 170 yards & 2TD on 27 carries. Even backup RB Juwan Washington got in on the fun rushing for 95 yards & a TD on just 10 carries. Penny is on pace for 2,300 yards rushing & 21TD. At what point does he enter the Heisman race especially given that there isn’t an overwhelming candidate at this point? The win over Stanford looks better & better as the Cardinal keep winning big games.
#22 Computer Hope Last Week BYE. The Bulls were on bye this past week, but I think it’s time we start discussing the very real obstacles in their path. On October 21st, the Bulls play at Tulane. The Green Wave aren’t fantastic but they just beat Tulsa 62-28 & HC Willie Fritz has that spread option attack improving by the minute. Another problem is November 24th when the Bulls play at UCF. Knights QB McKenzie Milton has been OUTSTANDING. USF also gets Houston & Tulsa. Land mines all around.
#23 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Utah 23-20. A solid conference road win against a Utah team that was ranked and undefeated coming in. RB Bryce Love had somewhat of an off day as he ran for only 152 yards & 1TD on 20 carries. Coming in Love hadn’t rushed for less than 160 yards in a game this season. The win was also Stanford’s first road win of the year after losing their previous two to USC & San Diego State. The QB situation is an odd one & the defense needs to play better, but they’re good.
#24 Computer Hope Last Week Lost to NC State 25-39. I’m going to still rank Louisville for now. They have lost to both Clemson & NC State which aren’t horrible losses, but the Cardinals struggled against North Carolina & we just saw Notre Dame destroy the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill. They’re are some challenging games on the schedule but if they win out, Louisville finishes the season 10-2! Even if they lost at Florida St., they are still 9-3. That’s a ranked team. I still think there is a big upside to this team.
#25 Computer Hope Last Week Beat Illinois 45-16. This feels like vintage Iowa to me. A squad that can make a VERY real argument to being 6-0, but a couple of close losses force them to 4-2 & they feel like somewhat of an afterthought. If Iowa’s defense holds on their last drive, Iowa beats Penn St. & the loss at Michigan St. doesn’t look so bad with Sparty beating Michigan. This ranking might be short lived. Iowa’s schedule is brutal going forward, but if they win, they’ll keep moving up in the rankings.


#20 FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES: The last time Florida St. started a season 1-3 was back in 1976, the first year under HC Bobby Bowden. To be fair, Florida St. hasn’t had it that easy. Alabama, NC State, Miami-FL & Wake Forest have some outstanding defenses. They rank 4th, 49th, 17th and 14th in scoring defense respectively. NC State ranks 49th but might have the best D-Line in the country. They’ve also played Miami-FL, Wake Forest & NC State with a true freshman QB. Losing Deondre Francois was a season killer and let’s face it, Jacques Patrick & Cam Akers haven’t come close to filling Dalvin Cook’s shoes. The defense has been good enough to win games, but offensively the Seminoles haven’t found their groove. James Blackman will get better as the season progresses. You can already see his improvement and I could see FSU finishing the season as a ranked team.

#21 FLORIDA GATORS: You simply can’t lose a home game to a team that just lost a home game to Troy. Watching Florida/LSU I almost got the feeling that Jim McElwain wouldn’t mind cutting every player on his team and just starting over. The team is ULTRA athletic and quick. You can see how twitched up everyone on the roster is and then you see them play football and you can’t help but wonder what is going on? Outstanding talent, but odd results. The Gators can still win the SEC East obviously. They don’t have Alabama or Auburn on the schedule so if they play to talent, they’ll only have to beat Georgia to win yet another SEC East title.


October 9, 2017 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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