No Sleep Till Football

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NCAA FOOTBALL POWER 25- 2016 WEEK 11

RANK TEAM COMMENTS
#1 Computer Hope Mississippi St. beat Texas A&M a week ago this week Alabama beats the Bulldogs like an untrained pup 51-3! Jalen Hurts was unstoppable throwing for 347 yards & 4TD while also rushing for 100 yards and a TD. Damien Harris barely played. What’s scary about Alabama is that they are likely to win the national championship this season but Jalen Hurts is around for at least two more seasons! If he sticks around all four years, could he win a national championship in all 4 seasons?
#2 Computer Hope The Buckeyes had no problems destroying Maryland 62-3 to run their record to 9-1, but in the irony of all ironies, the Michigan loss to Iowa puts the screws to Ohio St. in the worst way. If Penn St. wins out and Ohio St. beats Michigan, then Penn St. wins the Big 10 East by virtue of having beaten Ohio State! The Buckeyes could easily be 11-1 to end the season coming off a huge win over Michigan and miss out on both the playoffs & the Big 10 championship game. Every week a season!
#3 Computer Hope My power rankings reflect how I feel about the teams right now. At this point LSU is the #3 team in the nation. Arkansas is a legit top-12 team that a week ago treated Florida like they were Valdosta State. LSU then took Arkansas to the woodshed. Derrius Guice ran for 252 yards & 2TD on 21 carries. Leonard Founette ran for 98yds/3TD on 17 carries. As a team LSU ran for 390 yards in a 38-10 win. They gave Alabama ALL the Tide could handle & Bama is by far the #1 team in the nation.
#4 Computer Hope Losing to Iowa hurts but in the grand scheme of things it doesn’t matter. So you lost on the road 14-13? Big deal. Michigan is still 9-1 and they were going to have to beat Ohio St. anyway if they wanted to win the Big 10. That doesn’t change things here. Win out and you are 12-1 and likely the #2 seed in the playoffs. You can be sure Jim Harbaugh is going to use this game for motivation for the rest of the season. You never want to lose, but if Michigan had to, it’s good it came against Iowa.
#5 Computer Hope This is where the insanity begins. The biggest winner from Iowa’s upset over Michigan is Wisconsin! The Badgers are likely the Big 10 West champions barring they lose to either Purdue or Minnesota, and the crazy part is that they’ll likely take on Penn St. in the Big 10 championship game! If that happens I think Wisconsin wins making the 11-2 Badgers Big 10 champions and likely a playoff team! It would feel hollow with losses to Michigan & Ohio St., but I’m sure Wisconsin won’t mind!
#6 Computer Hope Clemson can’t fall much further than #6. I understand you want the ball in Dashaun Watson’s hands but teams don’t win football games when they pass the ball 70 times! The loss to Pittsburgh hurts, but like Michigan, it doesn’t much matter. As long as Clemson beats Wake Forest next week, they’ll win the Atlantic and likely the ACC Championship making them 12-1 and a lock for a playoff spot. Clemson has lived on the edge for awhile now. You knew it would catch up at some point.
#7 Computer Hope Clemson’s loss to Pittsburgh almost destroys any chance Louisville had of getting into the playoff picture. Now the Cardinals need a tremendous amount of help to somehow get into the thick of things. Wake has to beat Clemson which would push Louisville into the ACC Championship game. A 12-1 Redbird team would be hard to keep out although the resume is surely lacking. Louisville’s only good win came against FSU a lifetime ago and this past week had difficult time with Wake.
#8 Computer Hope It’s like this is a completely different team now that Sam Darnold took over at QB, and the amazing part is that the defense has responded more than the offense. Washington has an DYNAMIC offense and the Trojans tossed them around like they were a solid high school team. Over the past 6-7 weeks, this might be the best team in the nation not named Alabama. Can they win the Pac 12 South? They need Washington St. to beat Colorado and for Colorado to beat Utah. It’s very possible.
#9 Computer Hope As with Michigan and Clemson, the loss to USC doesn’t necessarily mean anything. If Washington takes care of business against Arizona St. & Washington St. then the Huskies emerge as Pac 12 North Champions at 11-1. Unless things fall right they are also in a spot not unlike Wisconsin where they won’t face the opposing division’s best team. Unless things fall right for USC, the Huskies will likely get Utah or Colorado, a couple of teams they should beat. A 12-1 UW is playoff bound.
#10 Computer Hope What a renaissance for the Big 10! I have 4 of their teams in my Power-25 while the SEC has just two! Penn St. escaped Bloomington with a 45-31 win over Indiana that wasn’t as impressive as I had hoped from a defensive perspective, but nice nonetheless because Kevin Wilson is doing a great job with Indiana. As long as Penn St. beats Rutgers and Michigan St. to end the season, they win the Big 10 East if Ohio St. beats Michigan. A win over Wisconsin could mean a playoff berth!
#11 Computer Hope Utah has absolutely no problem with Arizona St. this past weekend hammering the Sun Devils 49-26 despite going down 13-0 early. Utah would outscore ASU 49-13 over the final 3 quarters as Joe Williams and Troy Williams were on FIRE! The defense needs to get a lot better as the Utes have given up 28PPG over their last 7 games, but the simple math is win and get in. The early season win over USC is gold right now. Beat Colorado and the Utes get a show at the Pac 12 title.
#12 Computer Hope The dream season continues for the Buffs as they took care of Arizona and ran their record to 8-2 with a 49-24 win. The Buffaloes couldn’t be in a better position than they are right now. Defensively they are playing extremely well and they finish the season with two home games against Washington St. & Utah. Win both & they win the Pac 12 South with a shot at the Pac 12 championship. The question will be whether an 11-2 Pac 12 Champion Colorado squad can crash the playoffs.
#13 Computer Hope Auburn kept it together for six straight wins but at some point you sort of knew a game like this would happen. Staring RB Kamryn Pettway didn’t play because of injury. QB Sean White is beaten up. The O-Line has a few injuries. The defense actually played well not allowing a TD by the Bulldogs but a couple of 4th quarter FGs sealed the deal. Auburn could still get to 10 wins if they win out, but even if they were to beat Alabama in the Iron Bowl, they can’t win the SEC West crown.
#14 Computer Hope Arkansas certainly got taken to the woodshed by LSU but this is still a 6-4 team with losses to LSU, Auburn, Alabama and Texas A&M (when Texas A&M had a healthy Trevor Knight!). The Hogs should beat Mississippi St. and Missouri to end the season 8-4 despite both games being on the road and a bowl win puts them at 9-4 which would be the best record they’ve posted in the Bret Bielema era. They are the best 6-4 team in the nation & are on the cusp of hitting that 10-11 win mark.
#15 Computer Hope Washington St. put away Cal like it was nothing, beating the Bears 56-21 and doing a pretty good job of limiting Cal’s scoring ability. The Bears had averaged 40PPG coming into this contest and the Cougars held Cal to their lowest point total of the year. Wazzou’s defense has actually been pretty good this season allowing only 24.5PPG. WSU is the last remaining team in the Pac 12 with an undefeated conference record. Their two biggest tests: Colorado & Washington are up next!
#16 Computer Hope Starting 1-2 to open the season seems like ages ago and all Oklahoma has done is win 7 straight to get to 8-2 with a real shot at 10-2 and a conference championship. The Ohio St. loss looks more than reasonable at this point, but for those wondering if a Big XII champion Oklahoma team could make the playoffs, look no further to the fact Ohio St. might not even win the Big 10 East! Still, if OU hammers West Virginia & Oklahoma St. to end the season, they’ll make it quite interesting.
#17 Computer Hope It wasn’t pretty but Oklahoma St. survived Texas Tech 45-44 despite not having the ball for all that much of the afternoon. The last two weeks have been close, but they’ve been wins and keep in mind that Oklahoma St. is the only team to have beaten West Virginia! If the Cowboys win out they’ll win the Big XII and that complicates things because the loss to Central Michigan would loom LARGE over the season. For now they have to beat TCU & Oklahoma. Both coming on the road!
#18 Computer Hope The Mountaineers are the one team that could make it very interesting in the Big XII. If the Mountaineers can get by Oklahoma this week and the Sooners take care of business against Oklahoma St. in BEDLAM, then West Virginia would be an 11-1 conference champion with their only loss coming on the road to a solid Oklahoma St. team. They’d also have wins over Oklahoma, TCU, Baylor, Texas, Texas Tech, BYU & Kansas State. That isn’t a bad resume, but WVU needs to win.
#19 Computer Hope Texas A&M is just a different team without Trevor Knight. It doesn’t make up for the complete meltdown in the 4th quarter against Ole Miss this past week, but the dream season is over. The Aggies still can win out and get to 9-3 which means 10 wins is on the table. Getting to double digit wins would have to feel fairly redemptive for Kevin Sumlin given the mass exodus he had at the QB position heading into the season. They’re better than this, but sometimes the injury bug hits us.
#20 Computer Hope You have to really respect Nebraska with their 24-17 win over Minnesota. The Gophers probably shouldn’t have been in the game, but Minny went up early 7-0 and then stretched the lead to 17-10 at halftime. The Cornhuskers were coming off back-to-back losses to both Wisconsin & Ohio State so some let down could have been expected. Keep this in mind though. If Wisky wins out some think they’ll get to the playoffs at 11-2. If the Badgers lose & Nebraska wins out, they’d be 11-2 also!
#21 Computer Hope The Vols keep their hopes and dreams for winning the SEC East title alive by beating Kentucky 49-36 on Saturday. On the one hand you can look at the offensive output and marvel that Tennessee had almost 3 players go over 100 yards rushing! On the other hand you can look in horror as a Vols fan and see that your defense gave up 36 points to Kentucky & 443 rushing yards! Did I say they played Kentucky? UT should win out & get to 9-3, but even that feels disappointing.
#22 Computer Hope The Aztecs hammered Nevada this past week 46-16 and would actually rank much higher in these rankings if not for the slip up against South Alabama back on October 1st. In hindsight that loss doesn’t make much sense but SD State will definitely get to make up for it if they win out and finish 12-1. It’ll be difficult for them to wind up in the New Year’s 6 if Western Michigan wins out, but SD State is a fun rushing team to watch. They’ll run it down your throats regardless if you stack.
#23 Computer Hope Boise St. is on a collision course with San Diego State in the MWC championship game. Boise’s one slip up came on the road to Wyoming in a 30-28 loss, but they’ve righted the ship including a 52-16 blowout win over Hawaii this past weekend. Boise St. could be the one team to shake up the playoff race. They have a win over Washington State. What if Wazzou wins the Pac 12 and the Big XII champion has two losses while Boise St. wins out and finishes 12-1? Can you keep them out?
#24 Computer Hope ROW THE BOAT!!! Western Michigan’s 37-21 win over Kent St. last week put them at 10-0, a record only matched by Alabama! What’s interesting about Western Michigan at this point is that the two most difficult teams in the MAC for them are probably Ohio & Toledo. They’ll get Toledo in the season finale and Ohio in the MAC Championship but if WMU gets to 13-0 they’ll get in the New Year’s Six. If it happens I hope they draw Louisville, Michigan or Ohio State. Let them play!
#25 Computer Hope I’m not completely willing to cut bait on Virginia Tech just yet. Sure the 30-20 loss to Georgia Tech is a tough one, but the Yellow Jackets are a system team and sometimes that system beats you. Virginia Tech will still in the Coastal as long as they don’t lose to Virginia in the season finale. At the end of the day, the Hokies still have wins over North Carolina, Miami-FL, Pittsburgh & Duke. If you want to put Florida or Florida State here I wouldn’t argue, but I’ll stick with VA Tech.

DROPPING OUT

#18 NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS: Seriously? Lose to Duke 28-27? Carolina has way too much talent to lose to the Blue Devils. The loss stings even more so now that Virginia Tech lost to Georgia Tech which would have opened the door for UNC to get to the ACC title game. Now the Heels have to hope that Virginia Tech loses to Virginia in the Hokies’ season finale. Ten wins is still on the table for UNC but they have to win their final 2 games and their bowl to get to 10-3.

#20 FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES: I guess it’s cool to beat the pants off Boston College, but the Golden Eagles were 1-5 in conference play heading into this game and it was played at Doak Walker. Isn’t this the sort of game Florida St. should win 45-7? The resume for FSU is fairly weak. Sure their 3 losses have come against UNC, Clemson & Louisville, but the Louisville loss was humiliating and their best win is….Ole Miss way back in Week 1? Let’s see them hammer Syracuse & Florida to end the season and we’ll talk.

#25 FLORIDA GATORS: Florida can’t even look good when they are beating South Carolina 20-7. Florida 7-2 but they’ve played exactly 2 teams worth their salt and the Gators were blown out in both games. Florida ends their regular season with back to back road games against LSU and Florida State. Win both games convincingly and Florida will not only garner a lot more respect, but they’ll also find themselves back in the SEC Championship game as SEC East champions. Last year the Gators ended the season on a 3-game losing streak. I’m sure they’d like to avoid a repeat performance.

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November 13, 2016 - Posted by | Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Boise St., Clemson, Colorado, Florida, Florida St., Louisville, LSU, Michigan, NCAA, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Penn St., Power 25, San Diego St., Tennessee, Texas AM, USC, Utah, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St., Week 11, West Virginia, Western Michigan, Wisconsin

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