No Sleep Till Football

Like Brooklyn Except It's Football


I wrote about the college football coaches on the hot seat yesterday so let’s take a look at the NFL head coaches that could be looking for new jobs in January. There is no particular order to these guys. I’m basically going through the divisions and see who stands out. So let’s start with the AFC East and work our way towards the NFC West. It’s a much shorter list. Only 5 coaches are listed as compared to the 10 coaches I had from the collegiate ranks. Even more interesting to me is that only two coaches on my list actually deserve to be there.

Rex Ryan-Buffalo Bills

I feel about Ryan the way I do about Mike Gundy at Oklahoma St. and Gus Malzahn at Auburn. It’s ridiculous for him to be on this list but there has been some discussion of Ryan being on the hot seat especially after the Bills started the season 0-2. That talk has quieted a bit now that the Bills have back to back wins over Arizona and New England, but I’m sure if the Bills lose a couple the talk of Sexy Rexy losing his job will resurface. The Bills should win their next 3 games and get to 5-2 before the season toughens up. I still think Ryan should keep his job should the Bills not make the playoffs but if Buffalo does somehow miss the postseason, Ryan’s job will be a topic of conversation. I think something else important to the discussion is that Ryan actually is a good head coach and he’s extremely important to the NFL from an interest stand point. He’s good for the league because he makes the league THAT MUCH more interesting.

Gus Bradley-Jacksonville Jaguars

I love Gus Bradley and I think he’s the right guy for the job in Jacksonville but you can’t get around the fact that he’s 13-39 in his 3+ years on the Jaguars sidelines. The Jaguars got off to a tough 0-3 start before going into London and beating the Colts 30-27. I think the Jaguars are doing the right thing. I think the defense is getting REALLY good and they are still REALLY young. I think the offense can be very explosive although Blake Bortles can get interception happy, and therein lies the rub. NFL head coaches are almost beholden to their QBs unless they can build up the team around them. That works to an extent as long as the QB, even if average or below average, doesn’t turn the ball over like it’s his primary duty. Bortles has problems with this and it causes the Jaguars to be a significant disadvantage at times. I think Jacksonville can win their next 3 games and get to 4-3. The hard part will be getting to that next step and getting to 7-8 wins. I still think it’s possible but you almost get the feeling that if they turn in a 3-13 or 4-12 season it could be curtains for Bradley. I’m not sure that’s fair exactly but NFL stands for Not For Long.

Chuck Pagano-Indianapolis Colts 

It’s a dumpster fire in Indianapolis at this point. The drum beat for Pagano & GM Kevin Grigson to be canned is getting louder and louder. I’m not sure there is any way around Jim Irsay making whole sale changes unless the Colts can miraculously turn the season around and get into the playoffs as AFC South champions. The Colts might be able to delay the inevitable should they beat the Bears this week in Lucas Oil, but if that game goes south, Indianapolis could be hurting as the schedule would seemingly set up for them to potentially go 1-8 heading into their bye week. At that point you’d have to figure that Irsay would make wholesale changes if he doesn’t before then. At some point Andrew Luck’s career has to be taken into consideration. I’m not sure I’d trust that career to Chuck Pagano and Kevin Grigson.

Mike McCoy-San Diego Chargers

McCoy is a monster but the Chargers are so unlucky that he might lose his job because the Bolts can’t seem to win a game. McCoy started his career in San Diego well posting a couple of 9-7 seasons including a playoff run in his first season which resulted in a Chargers getting a playoff win. Last year San Diego looked like they regressed to 4-12, but injuries decimated the team and luck was definitely not on McCoy’s side. The same can be true of this season. The Chargers have a better point differential through four games than either Kansas City or Oakland yet the Chargers are 1-3 and in last place in the AFC West. I think they are the best 1-3 team in football and have gift wrapped 3 games to their opponents. I wouldn’t be shocked if San Diego finished 13-3 by winning out for the season. On the other hand I wouldn’t be surprised if they finished 5-11. It’s ridiculous to think McCoy is feeling heat, but there was tons of rumors he might not have kept his job after last season. Another losing season seems likely to sink him.

Jim Caldwell-Detroit Lions

I’m not a huge Jim Caldwell fan, but I thought the Lions did an excellent job last year in giving Jim Bob Cooter the OC job and seeing Matthew Stafford flourish at QB. The Lions went 6-2 in their last 8 games and just missed the playoffs. This season they started the season with a road win over the Colts pushing them to 7-2 in their last 9 regular season games, but since the win in Indianapolis, Detroit has lost 3 straight and Caldwell’s history is brutal. In his first year in Indianapolis with the Colts & Peyton Manning, Caldwell led the Colts to a 14-2 record and a trip to the Super Bowl. In year 2 he was 10-6. In year 3 without Manning the Colts went 2-14 and Caldwell was let go after the season. Detroit hired him and in his first year with Jim Schwartz’s team, Caldwell went 11-5 and made the playoffs. Last year the Lions were 7-9 and missed the playoffs. This year they are 1-3 and on pace for 4-12. Just like Indianapolis is doing with Andrew Luck, you’d hate to see Stafford come into his own only to be wasted by an inferior head coach.


October 8, 2016 - Posted by | Buffalo Bills, Coaching, Detroit Lions, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, NFL, San Diego Chargers

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