No Sleep Till Football

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2012 SIAC Week 1 – Matchups!

Indiana high school football kicks off on FRIDAY! Time to get ready. I can’t believe it is already time to do weekly matchups but here we are. Obviously I’m doing the SIAC, but I’ll make a point to keep up with the Washington Hatchets for all you Davies County people! Who’s ready for kickoff!?

ROAD PREDICTION HOME
There shouldn’t be any problems here with North. Bosse took on massive losses to their front-7 on defense & North should have a tremendous running game behind Blake Howell & Duvante’ Lane. The big question surrounding North will be the health of QB Max Mooney. Mooney should be ready to go, but if he’s doing more than handing the ball off and throwing passes, then North & HC Mike Wilson are missing the point. Bosse will have to suffer through the transition at QB from Jalen Pendleton who is now at Southern Illinois. The Huskies should have some quality edge pass rushers who should be able to exploit Bosse’s offensive line. The Bulldogs do have RB Carrington Crutcher who might be the best RB in the SIAC, but this will be Crutcher’s first game as the focal point of the offense & I don’t think he carries Bosse to a win. Bosse hasn’t beaten North since 1996 and they won’t break their losing streak in 2012. North expects to be a player in the SIAC this season. They need to play like they mean it to open the season. I think they get it done and hammer the Bulldogs.
I don’t know much about West Vigo other than they they went into Harrison last season and got BOMBED 36-0! In 2010 Harrison traveled to West Vigo having lost 31 straight games. That is 3 consecutive seasons at 0-10. In 2010 the Warriors opened up against West Vigo and beat them 6-0 to end the 0-31 catastrophe. Harrison promptly lost their next 9 games until the season opener at home against West Vigo! That is when the 36-0 bomb happened. To put this in perspective, Harrison is 3-49 in their last 52 games. They are 1-47 against all opponents not named West Vigo. Against West Vigo they are 2-0! I know absolutely nothing about the Vikings this season, but in their last two games against Harrison they’ve been outscored 0-42 while Harrison is 1-47 in their last 48 games that didn’t include West Vigo. Harrison is going to be thin again this year & I don’t see how they win a conference game so they have to cash in on beating the Vikings once again to avoid a potential 0-10 season for 2012. How bad must be West Vigo’s self esteem?
Mater Dei is coming off a storybook season & a tremendous 2-year run behind QB Dane Mauer & RB Cody Hess, but 2011 was the culmination of a 3-year building project by HC Mike Goebel and now the Wildcats are back to the beginning. The Wildcats lost all their receivers and their entire back-7 on defense! Mater Dei is going to have a tough time in the SIAC, but getting Heritage Hills at home to open the season won’t be easy. The Patriots are the most powerful Class 3A team in southern Indiana and 2012 looks to be no different. One interesting twist for Heritage Hills is that they welcome in a new HC after losing long time HC Bob Clayton. Todd Wilkerson now comes in and tries to live up to the standard Clayton set. A former Heritage Hills football player himself, Wilkerson is well aware of the precedent and I’d expect the Patriots not to miss a beat. In any other season this would be a tantalizing opening game, but with Mater Dei losing so much, I’m betting that Heritage Hills invades the West Side and gives these young Wildcats a spanking.
What Mater Dei/Heritage Hill should be, Jasper/Memorial will be! Jasper is a heck of a football program that gets hurt a bit come playoff time because they play in the same sectional as Evansville Reitz & the same regional as Columbus East. Those two teams have been fairly dominant lately so while Jasper is a legitimate top-10 Class 4A program, they get hammered by the absolute best. It wouldn’t matter if they did beat Reitz & Columbus East because next up is Indianapolis Cathedral. No team has a tougher road to state than Jasper. Incredible. I don’t know a ton about Jasper except they were 7-4 last season and typically they follow that up with a tremendous season. I’m high on Memorial and this will be a good test for the Tigers to open up 2012. It’s going to be interesting to see how QB Dane Hurley & RB McKinley Warren play to open up the season. All eyes will be on the O-Linr to see if they can sustain the success they had in 201 despite big losses to graduation. The defense was a problem in 2011 but should be better. A great gauge game for the Tigers.
Over the last 3 seasons, Reitz has made a habit of going into Kentucky and beating on teams from the Commonwealth, posting a perfect 6-0 record. Those days might be gone this season as Reitz heads across the bridge to play Henderson County. The Colonels feel like they got screwed last season in the Reitz Bowl when they took a 21-20 OT loss and will be looking for plenty of revenge at home. It’ll be really interesting to see how Reitz’s defense plays to open up the season. The unit took on massive losses which is going to put pressure on the offense to score some points. Drew Johnston is now the starting QB all by himself and will lean heavily upon KeAndre Vaughn to have another stellar season running the football. I would expect Reitz to go run heavy against Henderson Co., but that will be fairly easy to gameplan for so Johnston will have to make a few plays through the air. With the tremendous losses on defense, I think Reitz will be somewhat down again in 2012. We’ll see how far down they potentially are after a quick trip across the border.
The bottom line is Terre Haute North sucks and Castle might be one of the best 5-6 teams in Indiana’s Class 5A. Castle returns an entire offense that averaged 44 points per game en route to an 11-1 season. If not for a 26-21 upset loss to Bedford, Castle would have been sectional champions with a date with Center Grove in the regional. QB Mitch Gilles was outstanding last season and will look to build upon his legacy with a memory filled senior season. Defensively Castle brings back their top-12 tacklers from a season ago in which the team allowed 20 points per game. All the way around, this year spells domination for the Knights & they need to play like it from the jump. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Castle torch opposing teams for 50 points per game while allowing around 15. Castle took down Terre Haute North last season 44-0 on the road. Now the Patriots have to travel to Paradise, which will be anything but, if Castle plays to their potential. The road to a state championship starts right here with a dominating win. Getting to 12-0 will be easy. Afterwards?
Central takes on Marion Co. (KY) in the SIAC’s lone Saturday game of opening weekend. I don’t know anything about Marion Country, but Central has played Kentucky teams the last two seasons to open up their schedule & have come away winners both times. The Bears are one of the more intriguing teams in the SIAC. Offensively they lose their all-world QB in Jacob Hester although they return quite a few pieces. Last season Central did a good job replacing a ton of skill position talent & went on to win their sectional. Can they be as successful replacing Hester? The defense returns practically intact, but said defense was absolutely horrible last season. Will the defense get better with a year of experience or does Central simply suck at preventing opposing teams from scoring? Remember, Central’s 7-6 record last year included 3 close losses so they could have easily been 10-3. If they show they can effectively replace Hester & the defense actually gets better then Central’s chances of repeating as sectional champions gets significantly better.
Throwing a little Hatchets love to my man Big Timber! Washington kicks off their 2012 season with a Big Eight conference game against the Boonville Pioneers. How great is an opening football game between 2 teams featuring the nicknames Hatchets & Pioneers!? Washington has always been a power running team and this year will be no different with senior RB Trey Parsons. The Hatchets take on some heavy losses on offense although QB Jake Brashear returns. Defensively Washington takes on significant losses as well with 9 starters lost to graduation! Keep in mind that the Hatchers were just a 5-6 team last season so this could certainly be a rebuilding year for HC Kelly Brashear. Booneville is a fair approximation of Washington. They take on tons of losses on both sides of the ball but return their starting QB (Evan Hendrickson) and RB (Seth Lowe). The Pioneers turned in a 7-3 season last year but was HAMMERED by Evansville Reitz in the sectional. This will be a pretty good game to see where both teams are to start the season.
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August 15, 2012 - Posted by | SIAC

2 Comments »

  1. Thanks for the love! I have not had a chance to look into how the Hatchets will be this year. I know that they lost some talent last year hopefully they have some more coming up the ranks. It has been fun the last few years as Coach Brashear has put some competive teams on the field.

    I am just excited to have football season back!!! However changing to college, I think the Hoosiers are in for another tough season. I just don’t see too many wins on that schedule. I hope that Wilson will be the right guy in the end and that people will give him a chance to turn this thing around.

    How hot do you think the seat is getting in South Bend? Again based on the schedule, ND could suffer more losses than I would like. I am hopeful that this is the season that BK’s coaching shines through and ND in back in the BCS hunt for good.

    Comment by BigTimber | August 15, 2012 | Reply

  2. I don’t know about Notre Dame. If they can keep winning at home then the only two bad games they have are road dates against USC & Oklahoma. If they finish 10-2 they’ll get to a BCS game and you can’t really complain about a season like that. In fact, a 10-2 record this year could definitely make the Irish a national championship contender in 2013. They should beat Navy & Purdue. Michigan St. lost their starting QB. While the game is in East Lansing, Notre Dame should win it. They get Michigan at home. I don’t think ND should have lost to Michigan last season. Then it’s a game against Miami-FL in Chicago. The Hurricanes took on massive losses from last season so they are rebuilding. Then comes 2 home games against Stanford & BYU. I’m assuming ND can win their home games but who knows? Stanford lost a ton of key guys but Stepfan Taylor does return. After BYU they travel to Oklahoma. OK that might be a loss. Then a 3 game stretch against Pittsburgh, Boston College & Wake Forest. BC & Wake suck. Pitt has a new HC and all the problems that comes with. The finale against USC in SoCal. OK that might be a loss, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see Oklahoma at 12-0 & USC at 13-0 playing for the national championship. If those wind up 1-2 and ND is 10-2 with losses to both then ND could argue they are the 3rd best team in the country. It’s a weak argument, but an argument.

    ND was -15 in TO margin too. That is supposed to be cyclical. If that bounces back then ND could have a lot of luck coming their way. The downside is I think ND could lose games to Michigan St., Michigan, Stanford, BYU, Oklahoma and USC. Those are all games ND can lose and let’s face it, in recent times games against Purdue, Boston College & Navy haven’t been easy. I think best case for ND is they get lucky and wind up 11-1/10-2. Worst case is 6-6/5-7. You are right. The schedule is BRUTAL! It’s going to be interesting for ND this season. I think a good sign will be if they come out against Navy & Purdue and completely hammer them. If they do that then I think 10-2/11-1 is on the table. If they play like garbage, even if they win both, I think you have to start thinking about 6-6/7-5. EEK. If the worse case scenario happens then I think Kelly starts to feel a little heat. They have to play better this year. How can they not?

    As for Indiana, I’m with you. They got the ol’ schedule switch a roo going on. All of their road games are against teams in the conference they’d have a chance at while all of their home games are against teams they’ll get killed by. Their road schedule is Northwestern, Illinois, Penn St., Purdue (also Navy & UMass) while their home games are Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa & Wisconsin. They won’t win any home games. Forget it. If the home/road was reversed then I think Indiana could potentially beat Northwestern, Illinois, Penn St. & Purdue. If they win their first 3 non-conference games, that would mean a 7-5 season at worse and a 4-4 record in the Big 10! That would be GIGANTIC improvement. But they drew the wrong schedule split. Even playing Navy at home could have possibly been a win which could have pushed IU up to 8-4. I surprise win over Iowa puts them at 9-3. They have some potential with the schedule because they didn’t draw Michigan & Nebraska, but it doesn’t look promising with all their winnable conference games on the road.

    At best I think Indiana goes 4-8 and maybe pulls out a conference win. More than that and Wilson did a great job in his 2nd year.

    Can’t wait for football season to begin!

    Comment by nosleeptillfootball2011 | August 15, 2012 | Reply


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